Tuesday, March26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bell, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:24AMSunset 7:45PM Tuesday March 26, 2019 5:58 AM EDT (09:58 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 10:37AM Illumination 71% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ765 Expires:201903261430;;354701 Fzus52 Ktae 260718 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 318 Am Edt Tue Mar 26 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-261430- Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 318 Am Edt Tue Mar 26 2019 /218 Am Cdt Tue Mar 26 2019/
Today..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Tonight..North winds 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Slight chance of rain showers in the evening. Slight chance of Thunderstorms through the night. Chance of showers after midnight.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday night..East winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Friday through Saturday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 318 Am Edt Tue Mar 26 2019
Synopsis.. Winds and seas will increase today with the approach of another system from the northwest. Expect at least cautionary conditions by this evening, with a period of advisory level conditions overnight into Wednesday morning. Winds and seas will gradually decrease through Wednesday afternoon, with offshore areas potentially seeing cautionary conditions persisting into Wednesday night. Calmer conditions will persist Thursday into the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bell, FL
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location: 29.76, -82.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 260842
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
442 am edt Tue mar 26 2019

Expecting nor'easter starting late today with windy
conditions along coastal areas...

Locally heavy rain possible tonight...

Near term
Cold front extends southwest into our area from low pressure
system along the N carolina coast. A band of showers associated
with the front moved through the NRN parts of our area early this
morning. Not expecting much additional precip until this afternoon
when a strong shortwave trough diving southeast over ms al and
wrn fl panhandle enhances sfc troughing from northeast fl to sw
ga. Isolated to scattered showers expected to develop as this sfc
trough secondary front pushes southward. Increasing clouds will
support highs in the lower to mid 70s over southeast ga but upper
70s around 80 further south with later frontal passage and delayed
cloudiness.

Tonight, frontal boundary pushes south of the area, while sfc low
off the east central fl coast shifts southeast. Given strong
northeast winds developing have issued wind advisory for the
coast through Wednesday for winds 15-25 mph with gusts 30-40 mph.

In addition, the combination of the upper level trough swinging
through in tandem with strong convergence will lead to scattered
to widespread showers overnight. In particular, the ERN zones from
duval county through clay, putnam, st johns and flalger will have
the highest chances. There is a low potential for rainfall amounts
in the 1-2 inch range for local portions of st johns and flagler
counties based on consensus guidance. Strong cooling aloft may
support a few thunderstorms as well over parts of northeast fl.

Lows cooler over southeast ga and suwanee valley area in the mid-
upper 40s, and generally 50-55 for northeast fl.

Short term (Wednesday-Thursday night)
Nor'easter event expected Wednesday as a strong surface ridge
wedges into the southeast u.S. Setting up a strong NE flow
along the coast. In addition... Models continue in good agreement
in having a large mid upper trough traversing the area which will
produce added lift resulting in widespread rain with locally
heavy possible along portions of the lower NE fl coast during
the morning. The pcp will end during the afternoon as the
mid upper trough swings out of the area and drier air begins
to move in from the northwest. Nor'easter conditions will also
begin to end Thursday as the gradient decreases and there is deep
layer ridging over the area. Temps held to below normal with
highs Wednesday only in the 60s everywhere. Highs Thursday will
warm to the lower to mid 70s inland but will still be held
to the upper 60s along the coast. Lows will be in the 40s
inland and 50s coast.

Long term (Friday-Monday)
Deep layer ridging will continue across the area Friday
followed by a near zonal flow with a broad and weak surface
ridge over the area this weekend. This pattern will support
dry conditions with a warming trend. A southern stream system
will bring a chance of showers to the area Monday. Temps
warm to above normal over the weekend followed by below
normal high temps and near normal min temps early next week.

Aviation
Tafs areVFR at this time. Low stratus deck and mist may affect
gnv early this morning with potential for ifr. Some potential
for scattered stratus for jax metro tafs. Otherwise,VFR conds
into the afternoon with the frontal passage then strong n-ne flow
develops at ssi early aftn with MVFR CIGS and then into jax metro
taf sites by 20-21z, then to gnv by 22z. Scattered to numerous
showers tonight with prevailing MVFR expected.

Marine
West to northwest flow near 10-15 kt will turn to the north and
then northeast by tonight and increase dramatically as sfc low
forms off the east central fl coast and strong pressure gradient
materializes. Have upgraded advisory and watches to gale warning
as strong northeaster is expected to be underway tonight. Gale
warning GOES into Wed night with peak gusts of about 35-38 kt,
and peak seas of 15 ft offshore waters. Numerous to widesrpead
showers and a few storms are expected tonight as an upper level
disturbance moves through. By wed, precip will be moving southeast
of the area but strong northeast flow continues with rough seas.

Northeast flow weakens a bit by Thu and especially by Friday as
high pressure ridge moves into the region.

Rip currents: moderate risk today as surf gradually builds as
winds turn to the north and northeast. High risk expected
Wednesday and Thursday with rough surf.

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 72 44 66 42 40 40 0 0
ssi 70 50 62 50 20 30 0 0
jax 77 52 64 51 20 50 10 0
sgj 75 55 64 55 20 80 40 10
gnv 80 52 68 50 20 80 20 0
ocf 80 54 70 50 20 70 30 0

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... Wind advisory from 2 am to 8 pm edt Wednesday for coastal duval-
coastal flagler-coastal nassau-coastal st. Johns.

Ga... Wind advisory from 9 pm this evening to 4 pm edt Wednesday for
coastal camden-coastal glynn.

Am... Gale warning from 5 pm this afternoon to 11 pm edt Wednesday for
waters from altamaha sound ga to fernandina beach fl from
20 to 60 nm-waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine
fl from 20 to 60 nm-waters from st. Augustine to flagler
beach fl from 20 to 60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 4 pm this afternoon to 9 pm edt this
evening for coastal waters from altamaha sound to
fernandina beach fl out 20 nm-coastal waters from
fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm-coastal
waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm.

Gale warning from 9 pm this evening to 11 pm edt Wednesday for
coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl
out 20 nm-coastal waters from fernandina beach to st.

Augustine fl out 20 nm-coastal waters from st. Augustine to
flagler beach fl out 20 nm.

Shashy peterson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 39 mi59 min W 9.9 G 12 66°F 1015.8 hPa (-1.6)63°F
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 44 mi59 min WNW 6 G 8 67°F 1016.2 hPa (-0.9)63°F
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 78 mi125 min W 6 G 8 63°F 65°F1015.7 hPa

Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cross City Airport, FL16 mi64 minSW 310.00 miMostly Cloudy61°F60°F98%1015.9 hPa

Wind History from CTY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW6S5SW9W9
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1 day agoE3CalmCalmCalmE6SE7SE7E7S8S7SW9SW9SW9
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmNE3NE8NE11N8N4N5SE3W3SE4W8W7W4CalmCalmE5CalmCalmE3NE3CalmNE3

Tide / Current Tables for Steinhatchee River ent., Deadman Bay, Florida
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Steinhatchee River ent.
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Tue -- 12:37 AM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:51 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:49 AM EDT     2.22 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:31 AM EDT     1.39 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:39 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:16 PM EDT     2.99 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0-0.10.20.71.31.82.12.22.11.81.61.41.41.622.42.832.92.72.31.81.30.8

Tide / Current Tables for Pepperfish Keys, Florida
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Pepperfish Keys
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:32 AM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:51 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:44 AM EDT     2.19 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:26 AM EDT     1.39 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:11 PM EDT     2.96 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.1-0.10.20.71.31.82.12.221.81.61.41.41.622.42.832.92.62.21.81.20.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.