Tuesday, September25, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bell, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 7:18AMSunset 7:22PM Tuesday September 25, 2018 8:42 AM EDT (12:42 UTC) Moonrise 7:07PMMoonset 6:42AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ765 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 309 Am Edt Tue Sep 25 2018
Today..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday-Thursday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night-Saturday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 309 Am Edt Tue Sep 25 2018
Synopsis.. Southeasterly winds continue through tonight with winds shifting slightly to the south starting on Wednesday before returning to southeast by Friday. Winds should be around 5 to 10 knots through the period with seas around 1 to 2 feet. Scattered Thunderstorms will be present each day and through the early evening hours. Winds and seas will be higher in Thunderstorms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bell, FL
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location: 29.76, -82.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 250702
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
302 am edt Tue sep 25 2018

Above average warmth continues...

Near term Through tonight...

scattered marine cumulus moving ashore this morning with isolated
showers possible along the immediate coast. Seeing a few places
with a slight reduction in visibility from a shallow fog layer but
no widespread issues at this time. Ridge of high pressure to the
east continues to promote easterly flow. Invest 98l moves north
along the western edge of the ridge and away from the area. For
this afternoon, less coverage in way of showers and thunderstorms
as drier air filters in from the east, especially along the coast.

Weak easterly flow still present today so expecting showers to
initially start along the i-95 corridor before slowly working
inland. Best chance for thunder will also be inland (i-75
corridor) during the afternoon hours. Coastal areas then become
dry from late afternoon through evening as an area of below
average moisture (pwat <1.5 inches) settles in along the coast.

More efficient moisture content (pwat 1.6 to 1.9 inches) remains
inland so isolated to scattered convection expected there.

Tonight, the western periphery of the ridge extends over the
peninsula leading to a dry conditions overnight.

Temperatures remain above average with upper 80s lower 90s along
the coast and lower to mid 90s inland. Heat indices between
100-104 inland as well so despite a couple hours of less heating,
much of the area will see the heat continue.

Short term Wednesday through Friday ...

ridging aloft and at the surface will persist over the adjacent
western atlantic during the period. The western third of the
upper ridge will build over the region this mid and end week. A
cold front will migrate over northern georgia, central alabama and
southern central mississippi. For the most part this pattern will
result in a prevailing warm and moist southerly flow, with mainly
diurnally driven scattered storms, with highs in the lower 90s,
lows in the lower to mid 70s. By Friday, as 850-500 mb high
bisects the region along the fl ga border, steering winds will be
swly across southeast ga pushing the storms back toward the coast
for evening storms near the golden isles.

Long term Friday night through Monday ...

high pressure will be stacked across the region this weekend
keeping a deep easterly steering flow in place across northeast
florida and southeast georgia. This pattern is expected to yield
isolated to widely scattered coastal showers during the morning
hours. The convective activity will transition inland through the
afternoon, with storms increasing to scattered areal coverage and
strengthening due to diurnal influences.

Temperatures will be coolest inland at night, and warmest at the
coast. The opposite is expected in the afternoons. This is mainly
due to the water temperatures in the 80s, with onshore flow pushing
relatively milder air off the atlantic at night, and relatively
cooler air in during the day. Hence, little change in day to day
temps given the persistent easterly flow.

Aviation
Marine cumulus causing few-sct ceilings of MVFR criteria for
coastal TAF sites this morning. As weak easterly flow less than 10
knots continues today, will see a few showers near coastal taf
sites before drying out in the afternoon. Best chance of seeing
thunder inland near gnv so vcts in tafs given low probability.

Everyone dry through the overnight hours.

Marine
With high pressure to the northeast, light easterly flow continues
over the waters along with isolated showers. Pressure gradient
stays weak throughout the week keeping wave heights of 3-5 feet. A
front attempts to push south into the area during the weekend, but
is expected to dissipate before affecting the waters.

Rip currents: moderate risk for all area beaches. Long period
swells of 8 to 9 seconds and onshore flow persist today.

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 91 72 92 73 30 10 40 40
ssi 86 76 89 76 30 10 20 30
jax 90 73 91 74 30 0 40 40
sgj 88 75 89 75 30 10 30 10
gnv 93 73 92 73 30 20 40 20
ocf 92 73 92 72 30 20 40 30

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Am... None.

Mcginnis cordero


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 39 mi42 min ENE 6 G 8 74°F 1019.3 hPa (+1.1)74°F
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 44 mi42 min E 7 G 7 80°F 1019.4 hPa (+1.3)75°F
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 78 mi108 min E 5.1 G 9.9 80°F 84°F1017.9 hPa

Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cross City Airport, FL16 mi67 minN 07.00 miFair73°F72°F99%1019.3 hPa

Wind History from CTY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE6E8E7SE8E5SE5S5E3W5NE4N3NE4NE4N3NE3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoE3E6E7E3NE3SE3NE4E5E5E5CalmCalmCalmE4E3E4E3CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmE3
2 days agoNE5E4NE5E4E6E5E6SE3E9E4E9N3N4NE4CalmNE3E3CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmE3

Tide / Current Tables for Steinhatchee River ent., Deadman Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Pepperfish Keys, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.