Sunrise 6:31 AM   Sunset 7:53 PM Moonrise 12:39 AM   Moonset 10:54 AM

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GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 403 Am Cdt Tue Apr 30 2024
Today - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast late. Lake waters light chop. Patchy fog this morning. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop.Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Lake waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Wednesday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Lake waters rough. Thursday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Lake waters rough. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Thursday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Lake waters rough. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Friday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the morning. Friday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. Saturday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. Saturday night - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Lake waters light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ400 403 Am Cdt Tue Apr 30 2024
Synopsis - Chances of showers and Thunderstorms will increase through the middle of the week as the surface trough and deep layer upper level trough approaches the area. Onshore flow expected for the the period.

FXUS64 KLCH 300932 AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 432 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday night)
Issued at 319 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Main concern this morning is widespread dense fog forming across the region. Satellite imagery continues to show the expansion of fog and this will continue until sunrise. Expect improvement after sunrise with the dense fog adv expiring at 10 am.

The rest of the day will see highs in the middle 80s with the majority of the area dry. There could be some isolated showers/storms in SETX, but confidence is low at this time.

Wed/Thu confidence increases for showers/storms as multiple disturbances move across the region. Plenty of moisture and instability will be availble for storms. While severe weather is not expected at this time, some of the stronger storms could bring heavy rain. Therefore the WPC, placed portions of the area in a marginal/slight risk for heavy rainfall.

LONG TERM
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 319 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Frontal bndry stalls across the region late week into the weekend, before finally washing out. This will result in daily showers/storms each afternoon into the weekend. It is possible, by early next week, mid-level ridging and a more progressive pattern may finally result in a reduction of POPs/drier weather.

Daytime highs cool a little on Friday with highs in the lower 80s, but warm right back up by the weekend intop the middle/upper 80s.
By early next week, ridging could push some interior locations in TX/LA into the lower 90s.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 319 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Little change from previous TAF thinking with clear skies and light winds now noted areawide. Patchy fog is already seen in area obs although terminal sites remain VFR attm. Still expect areas of BR/FG and possibly some low clouds to develop overnight. Vsby reductions to MVFR are anticipated over the next 2-3 hours, with occasional LIFR vsbys/cigs possible late tonight, mainly at the LA terminals. Conditions should improve to VFR by 15Z at the LA airports with cigs lifting/scattering by 17Z at BPT. VFR/light southerly winds expected to prevail thereafter.

MARINE
Issued at 319 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Chances of showers and thunderstorms will increase through the middle of the week as the surface trough and deep layer upper level trough approaches the area. Onshore flow expected for the the period with an SCA possibly needed by Thursday as the pressure gradient tightens slightly more with winds in the gulf waters increasing above 20kts briefly.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 85 62 86 67 / 0 10 50 10 LCH 85 68 82 71 / 20 10 40 0 LFT 87 69 86 72 / 10 10 40 0 BPT 84 69 83 72 / 20 10 40 10

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for LAZ027>033- 044-045-055-073-074-141>143-152>154-241>243-252>254.

TX...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for TXZ180-201- 259>262-515-516-615-616.

GM...None.

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Mesquite Point
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Tue -- 01:38 AM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:40 AM CDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:33 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:54 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 12:57 PM CDT     1.54 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:52 PM CDT     Sunset
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Mesquite Point, Sabine Pass, Texas, Tide feet

Sabine Naches Canal, Port Arthur, Texas, Tide feet

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Lake Charles, LA,