Thursday, June20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Abbeville, LA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:05AMSunset 8:12PM Thursday June 20, 2019 12:11 AM CDT (05:11 UTC) Moonrise 10:03PMMoonset 8:00AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ435 Vermilion Bay- 950 Pm Cdt Wed Jun 19 2019
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters choppy.
Thursday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters choppy. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Thursday night..South winds around 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop.
Friday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters choppy.
Friday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters choppy.
Saturday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters choppy.
Saturday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters choppy.
Sunday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters choppy. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters choppy.
Monday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters choppy. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters choppy.
GMZ400 Synopsis For Lower Atchafalaya River La To High Island Tx Out 60 Nm Including Sabine And Calcasieu Lakes And Vermilion Bay 950 Pm Cdt Wed Jun 19 2019
Synopsis.. High pressure at the surface east of florida will ridge across the northern gulf of mexico and into the coastal waters during this period, keeping a southerly wind flow. Low pressure at the surface will develop over the plains tomorrow and again over the weekend increasing the southerly winds and building seas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Abbeville, LA
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location: 29.79, -92.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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Fxus64 klch 200457
afdlch
area forecast discussion
national weather service lake charles la
1157 pm cdt Wed jun 19 2019

Aviation
MVFR ceilings are beginning to develop along the coast and will
continue to push inland over the next few hours. The main question
during the overnight hours whether how far south and east
thunderstorms will be able to progress. Kaex is the most likely
to see thunderstorms during the overnight hours. However, there
appears to be enough potential for thunderstorms to move southward
that vcts were included at all TAF sites during the most likely
time frames. Any thunder MVFR ceilings are expected to clear out
of the area during the 10z-14z time range and will give way toVFR
conditions for the rest of the day.

Prev discussion issued 958 pm cdt Wed jun 19 2019
discussion...

currently watching two areas of convection on regional 88ds. First
area is noted passing to our north... High res guidance has had a
good handle on this activity and continues to prog it staying to
our north. Second area upstream moving out of cntl tx and into
e-cntl sern tx at the moment... This activity will bear watching as
current trajectories would carry into our nwrn zones during the
overnight hours, although high res guidance is not in agreement on
an eventual solution. Klch 00z sounding indicated a little
capping around 850 millibars which if translated forward into the
overnight hours could help spell an end to the action as it
approaches. Inherited grids zones showed chance neighborhood pops
for the nwrn zones overnight which still looks good. Elsewhere,
inherited grids zones look fine... Long story short, no evening
update is planned at this time.

25
prev discussion... Issued 237 pm cdt Wed jun 19 2019
discussion... High pressure aloft is centered over the west gulf
this afternoon with ridging stretched into the northwest gulf
coast. An upper disturbance is pushing into the texas panhandle
and this will spark storms later this afternoon and evening across
north texas.

At the surface the bermuda high will remain centered in the
central atlantic and into the north gulf coast. This feature will
remain in place through the period which will keep a warm and
moist south flow in place.

Tonight storms are expected to push across northeast texas and
into louisiana, however the upper ridge is expected to remain in
place as well. This will prompt storms to weaken as they move
into the local area, however enough instability and lift will be
in place that some storms may be still be strong through the lakes
and cenla. The line of showers and storms is expected to decay
through early Thursday much like this morning with the showers and
storms along the old outflow boundary.

The upper ridge is expected to become more established by Friday
and into Saturday before breaking down Sunday. Low to nonexistent
rain chances are expected Friday and Saturday. Heat index values
will also run from 102 to 107 Thursday through Saturday with a few
spotty areas maybe reaching up to 108 for an hour or two well
inland.

Marine... A light to moderate onshore flow is expected through
early Friday, however the pressure gradient is expected to tighten
between the atlantic ridge and a developing area of low pressure
over the plains this weekend. This is expected to cause winds to
increase into the 15 to 20 kt range Saturday and perhaps briefly
hit SCA criteria on the western zones.

Preliminary point temps pops
Aex 74 93 77 94 30 20 0 10
lch 78 91 79 90 20 20 10 10
lft 77 94 79 92 10 20 10 10
bpt 78 91 79 90 20 20 10 10

Lch watches warnings advisories
La... None.

Tx... None.

Gm... Small craft exercise caution through Thursday afternoon for
gmz470.

Aviation... 26


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MRSL1 - Marsh Island, LA / CSI03 24 mi131 min 7 G 12 84°F
AMRL1 - 8764227 - Amerada Pass, LA 49 mi59 min S 1.9 G 4.1 82°F 82°F1011 hPa
EINL1 49 mi53 min SW 12 G 13 83°F 81°F1010.7 hPa79°F
KSCF 49 mi36 min 4.1 84°F 77°F
TESL1 - Tesoro Marine Terminal - 8764044 - Berwick, LA 49 mi59 min S 5.1 G 5.1 80°F 81°F1010.9 hPa

Wind History for Tesoro Marine Terminal, LA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Abbeville Chris Crusta Memorial Airport, LA13 mi36 minS 510.00 miFair78°F76°F95%1010.5 hPa
Acadiana Regional Airport, LA22 mi18 minSSW 810.00 miFair81°F77°F88%1010.9 hPa

Wind History from 7R4 (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----------------------------------------------NW5
1 day ago------------------------------------------------
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Cypremort Point, Louisiana
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Cypremort Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:47 AM CDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:07 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:59 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:35 PM CDT     1.49 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:28 PM CDT     1.37 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:41 PM CDT     1.40 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:10 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:02 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.20.1-0.1-0.100.20.40.60.811.21.31.31.51.51.41.41.41.31.31.110.8

Tide / Current Tables for Weeks Bay, Vermilion Bay, Louisiana
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Weeks Bay
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:00 AM CDT     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:07 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:59 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 10:52 AM CDT     1.53 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:10 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:01 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.2-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.2-00.30.711.31.51.51.51.41.41.31.31.31.31.21.21.10.90.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Lake Charles, LA (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Lake Charles, LA
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.