Saturday, September23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Spring Ridge, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 7:24PM Saturday September 23, 2017 5:51 PM EDT (21:51 UTC) Moonrise 9:25AMMoonset 8:53PM Illumination 11% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ765 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Apalachicola To Destin Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Out 20 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Destin Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 323 Pm Edt Sat Sep 23 2017
Tonight..East winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms through the night.
Sunday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms through the night.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north 5 to 10 knots in the late evening. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday..Northwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Destin Out To 60 Nm 323 Pm Edt Sat Sep 23 2017
Synopsis..Easterly winds around 15 knots will decrease to 5 to 10 knots on Monday. A cold front will push into the southeast next weekend, allowing for winds and seas to be elevated again. The best chance for showers and Thunderstorms will be Sunday and Monday with the higher chances across the western waters.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Spring Ridge, FL
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location: 29.85, -82.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 232023
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
423 pm edt Sat sep 23 2017

High surf at the northeast florida beaches through Monday...

High rip current risk continues at area beaches through at
least Monday...

Near term through Sunday
Overview: the near term pattern begins with an upper trough
digging across the intermountain west, a ridge over the ohio
valley, the remnants of jose east of the northeastern conus, an
upper low over the western florida panhandle and the northeast
gulf, and hurricane maria east northeast of the bahamas. The upper
trough and upper ridge will push slowly eastward, the remnants of
jose will drift southeastward, the upper low over the
northeastern gulf will continue to slowly retrograde westward, and
hurricane maria will move slowly northward through Sunday.

Rest of today and tonight: breezy east northeasterly flow will
prevail through the afternoon, with showers storms pushing across
the interior. However, coastal showers and embedded storms will
remain possible into the late afternoon. Storms will dissipate in
the evening, with dry conditions expected after midnight.

Overnight lows will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s inland and
the mid 70s along the coast.

Sunday: drier mid level air will begin to move into the region on
Sunday, rotating around hurricane maria. This will lead to much
lower rain chances. Only isolated to widely scattered
showers storms are expected on Sunday. An isolated coastal shower
is possible in the morning, followed by isolated to widely
scattered showers storms across the west and southwestern portion
of the region Sunday afternoon. Afternoon highs will be in the low
to mid 80s along the coast and the upper 80s inland.

Short term Sunday night through Tuesday night
Hurricane maria will make its closest approach to our coast on
Sunday evening, passing just under 500 miles offshore. Low level
flow will shift from northeasterly to northerly overnight, which
will funnel a dry and subsident air mass on the western periphery
of maria into our region. Some high cloudiness may linger over our
area Sunday night, but skies will trend towards fair by Monday
morning and will likely stay fair through at least midweek. Breezy
north-northeasterly winds will continue on Sunday night and
Monday for locations east of interstate 95, with winds shifting to
northwesterly on Monday afternoon at inland locations in northeast
and north central florida. Lows Sunday night will only fall to the
mid and upper 70s at area beaches due to the breezy onshore wind,
with inland locations decoupling and falling into the upper 60s.

Highs on Monday will climb to the upper 80s near 90 inland and the
mid 80s at the beaches. Clear skies, light winds and the dry air
mass in place on Monday and Tuesday nights will allow lows to fall
to the mid and upper 60s at inland locations, with lower 70s at
the coast. Plentiful sunshine and low humidity values will boost
highs to near 90 inland, with a late afternoon sea breeze keeping
coastal highs in the mid to upper 80s.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday
Hurricane maria will slow its forward progress off the carolina
coast on Wednesday and Thursday, keeping our region within a dry
and subsident north-northwesterly flow pattern. The dry air mass
and plenty of sunshine will allow highs to climb into the lower
90s at inland locations, which is just under record high
territory at our climate sites. Sea breezes will be pinned and
late to form, allowing coastal highs to climb to near 90 on
Wednesday and Thursday. Lows will continue to fall to the
mid upper 60s inland and the lower 70s at the coast.

Long-term guidance remains in disagreement on Friday and Saturday
as a pair of cold fronts approach our region from the northwest.

Models indicate that a shortwave trough diving southward from
hudson bay will sharpen and be the impetus to finally accelerate
hurricane maria northeastward away from the north carolina outer
banks, and this feature will also transport deeper moisture
northward from the caribbean and eastern gulf of mexico over our
region. The 12z operational GFS is faster with this moisture
return than the operational 12z ecmwf, and thus model blends
depict chances for isolated convection as early as Friday
afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms appear to be most
probable on Saturday ahead of the amplifying trough aloft surface
cold front. Seasonably hot weather will continue on Friday ahead
of the front, with inland highs in the lower 90s and upper 80s at
the coast. Highs on Saturday should remain in the 80s with
increasing clouds and rain chances.

Aviation
Showers storms will continue to push across the interior this
afternoon, affecting kgnv. East northeast winds 10-15 knots will
prevail through the afternoon, with winds diminishing overnight.

Patchy fog is possible tonight across the interior. Otherwise,VFR
conditions are expected. East northeast winds will increase again
to 10-15 knots on Sunday.

Marine
Hurricane maria will move slowly northward through the weekend,
which will bring increasing swells to the regional waters. East
northeast winds will also be 15 to 20 knots. Seas in the near
shore waters will build to 6-9 feet from tonight through Monday
night. 6 to 9 foot waves offshore will peak in the 9-12 foot range
late tonight through Monday. SCA level seas are likely to persist
for much of next week in the offshore waters due to large swells
from maria, which is expected to turn northeastward by late next
week. Maria will pass our latitude on Monday well to our east,
allowing winds to shift to a northerly and then northwesterly
direction with decreasing speeds by late Monday and Tuesday.

Rip currents: high risk of rip currents through Monday due to
increasing swells from hurricane maria. High surf advisory in
effect late tonight through Monday morning for surf 7 feet or
higher along the coast of northeast florida. Beach erosion will
become an increasing concern during times of high tide through
early next week.

Hydrology
A coastal flood advisory remains in place through the Sunday night
high tide cycle for the st. Johns river basin, as minor flooding
continues during each high tide cycle from jacksonville southward
to palatka. Further south, flooding approaches moderate levels
into the welaka and ocklawaha river basins. Strengthening onshore
winds may keep the risk of minor to moderate flooding in place
during times of high tide through early next week.

Moderate flooding continues along portions of the santa fe and st.

Mary's rivers, with minor flooding along the satilla river east of
waycross and portions of the upper suwannee river north of i-10.

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 69 87 67 88 10 10 0 0
ssi 75 84 75 85 10 20 0 10
jax 73 86 70 88 20 20 0 10
sgj 74 84 77 85 30 20 10 10
gnv 70 86 69 90 20 20 0 10
ocf 71 89 70 90 20 30 0 10

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through Monday evening for coastal duval-
coastal nassau-flagler-st. Johns.

Coastal flood advisory until 6 am edt Monday for clay-coastal
duval-flagler-inland duval-putnam-st. Johns.

High surf advisory from 11 pm this evening to 5 am edt Monday
for coastal duval-flagler-st. Johns.

Ga... High rip current risk through Monday evening for coastal camden-
coastal glynn.

Am... Small craft advisory until 5 am edt Tuesday for coastal waters
from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm-
coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl
out 20 nm-coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler
beach fl out 20 nm-waters from altamaha sound ga to
fernandina beach fl from 20 to 60 nm-waters from fernandina
beach to st. Augustine fl from 20 to 60 nm-waters from st.

Augustine to flagler beach fl from 20 to 60 nm.

Kennedy nelson corless


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 50 mi51 min E 13 G 16 82°F 1012.1 hPa (-1.3)
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 53 mi51 min ENE 11 G 13 85°F 1011.8 hPa (-1.4)72°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 74 mi51 min NNE 16 G 17 82°F 83°F1013.2 hPa (-1.0)82°F

Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Gainesville, Gainesville Regional Airport, FL24 mi58 minE 910.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F70°F67%1013.9 hPa

Wind History from GNV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE10E7E5E5CalmCalmNE3CalmCalmN3N3N4N3CalmN9
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1 day agoE4NE4E4E3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4CalmCalmN6NE9E10
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2 days agoS3E3CalmE4CalmCalmS4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4CalmE6NE7NE6

Tide / Current Tables for Steinhatchee River ent., Deadman Bay, Florida
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Steinhatchee River ent.
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:00 AM EDT     3.49 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:27 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:42 AM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:42 PM EDT     3.39 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:38 PM EDT     1.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.52.12.83.33.53.32.92.21.50.90.50.40.71.32.12.83.33.43.12.621.51.21.1

Tide / Current Tables for Suwannee, Salt Creek, Florida
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Suwannee
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:47 AM EDT     3.58 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:53 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:33 PM EDT     3.36 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:55 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:01 PM EDT     0.90 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.322.93.43.63.32.82.21.50.90.40.30.61.32.12.83.33.33.12.621.51.10.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.