Wednesday, November14, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Panacea, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 5:41PM Wednesday November 14, 2018 11:15 PM EST (04:15 UTC) Moonrise 12:49PMMoonset 11:44PM Illumination 46% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 921 Pm Est Wed Nov 14 2018
.small craft should exercise caution...
Rest of tonight..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Rain early in the evening, then rain likely after midnight.
Thursday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night..North winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Friday night..North winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 2 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Saturday..North winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 10 knots. Seas 0 to 1 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Sunday night..North winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 921 Pm Est Wed Nov 14 2018
Synopsis..Northwest winds will remain moderate to strong today and tonight with exercise caution conditions in the nearshore waters and advisory conditions in the offshore waters. Winds will remain elevated through Friday then a decrease in winds and seas heading into the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Panacea, FL
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location: 29.9, -84.41     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 150106
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
806 pm est Wed nov 14 2018

Update
Light to moderate rain will continue through the overnight hours.

Clouds will start to clear out over the fl panhandle and se
alabama around daybreak. Cold, dry air will move in behind the
front in the early morning hours. Lows will be in the mid 30s in
the westernmost counties and much warmer in the 40s and 50s to the
east. No significant changes were made during the evening update.

Prev discussion [647 pm est]
Near term [through tonight]
So far this afternoon, the isentropic lift has been focused across
the northwestern and southwestern thirds of the forecast area, with
mostly dry conditions in between from panama city to tallahassee.

However, this area is still expected to fill in by late afternoon
into the overnight hours as the upper low over arkansas pushes
northeastward and divergence aloft increases.

After midnight, drier air will begin to push in from west to east as
the lift moves out. Low-level cold air advection will push
temperatures well into the 30s across the western portions of the
forecast area by morning. Expect to see mid 30s for portions of the
central panhandle and SE alabama by sunrise.

Short term [Thursday through Friday night]
A small window for light rain will exist early Thursday across the
florida big bend before drier air infiltrates the entire area. The
low pressure system will continue to move northeast and away from
the area with surface high pressure building in from texas.

Clearing skies and light winds will allow temperatures to fall
into the low to mid 30s Thursday night. If winds can become calm
there is a potential for frost but as it stands now the high is
further west for that to happen but will need to be watched.

Plenty of sunshine but cool conditions as we head into Friday with
highs around 60 degrees.

Long term [Saturday through Wednesday]
Surface high pressure will move east and weaken this weekend as a
trough moves into the southern plains. This will support a weak
frontal passage Monday into Tuesday with high pressure moving
across the mid south. Very little moisture available so expect a
dry passage with just an increase in cloudiness. Moderating
temperatures through this period with near 70 for highs by the end
of the weekend and lows in the mid 40s.

Aviation
[through 00z Friday]
an expanding area of light to moderate rain will continue moving
slowly eastward overnight. Ifr lifr conditions will prevail until
the rain clears, with a gradual clearing to follow. All sites
should return toVFR by Thursday afternoon. While gusty winds will
not be common, sustained winds are forecast between 10-15 knots.

Marine
Northwest winds will remain moderate to strong today and tonight
with exercise caution conditions in the nearshore waters and
advisory conditions in the offshore waters. Winds will remain
elevated through Friday then a decrease in winds and seas heading
into the weekend.

Fire weather
Dry air will move into the region by Friday. Rh values will remain
above the critical red flag threshold. Low dispersion indices below
20 are possible tomorrow afternoon in the eastern big bend.

Hydrology
One to two additional inches of rainfall is possible through
tonight with this low pressure system departing from west to east
tonight into Thursday. Dry weather is expected the rest of this
period.

There are some river basins, especially across the florida
panhandle, that are in action stage with forecasts into flood such
as the chipola, apalachicola, and the choctawhatchee near bruce. The
kinchafoonee creek may also reach flood stage over the next few days
in southern georgia. In the longer range, the flint river is
expected to eventually rise into action stage due to increasing
flows from moderate to heavy rain in central georgia.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 48 55 35 60 38 100 0 0 0 0
panama city 42 55 39 60 44 90 0 0 0 0
dothan 36 49 33 58 38 100 0 0 0 0
albany 46 52 35 59 38 100 10 0 0 0
valdosta 52 56 35 58 38 100 10 0 0 0
cross city 57 62 36 61 38 80 20 0 0 0
apalachicola 47 58 38 61 43 100 0 0 0 0

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 7 am est Thursday for waters from
suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm-waters
from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm-
waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl
from 20 to 60 nm.

Update... Mcd
near term... Camp
short term... Scholl
long term... Scholl
aviation... Harrigan
marine... Scholl
fire weather... Mcd
hydrology... Scholl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 13 mi82 min NNW 7 G 13 58°F 65°F1018.9 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 33 mi28 min NNE 12 G 14 57°F 68°F1018.9 hPa
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 41 mi16 min NNE 19 G 21 60°F 1018.7 hPa (-0.6)58°F
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 44 mi16 min N 8 G 14 58°F 1017.7 hPa (+0.4)58°F

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Apalachicola, Apalachicola, FL35 mi23 minNNE 1110.00 miLight Rain55°F53°F93%1019 hPa

Wind History from AAF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN9N8NE10N7N6N8N7NE10N9NE12NE9NE11NE8N10NE8NE6N4NW8NW11NW12N10N11NE11NE11
1 day agoN5N5CalmE6N4NE6NE4E4NE4E5E5CalmSW3S7CalmNE6N13
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Tide / Current Tables for Alligator Point, St. James Island, Florida
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Alligator Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:40 AM EST     2.15 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:01 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:48 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:53 PM EST     0.52 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:42 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:18 PM EST     1.98 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:44 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.51.722.12.121.91.61.310.70.60.50.60.91.21.61.8221.81.61.5

Tide / Current Tables for Turkey Point, FSU Lab, Florida
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Turkey Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:05 AM EST     2.50 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:02 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:43 PM EST     0.58 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:49 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:42 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:55 PM EST     2.25 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:44 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.81.92.12.32.42.52.42.21.91.51.10.80.60.60.711.31.722.22.22.22.12

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.