Sunrise 6:51 AM   Sunset 8:16 PM Moonrise 1:46 AM   Moonset 12:21 PM

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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 902 Pm Edt Wed May 1 2024 /802 Pm Cdt Wed May 1 2024/
Rest of tonight - West winds around 5 knots, becoming east late. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters smooth. Patchy fog late. Thursday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 2 seconds and south 1 foot at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 2 seconds and south 1 foot at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Friday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 2 seconds and south 1 foot at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Saturday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Saturday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Sunday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Sunday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Monday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 902 Pm Edt Wed May 1 2024
Synopsis -
high pressure off the atlantic will lead to tranquil boating conditions through the period. Light winds, generally out of the southeast, are expected with seas around 1 to 2 feet into the weekend. There may be a small chance of showers and Thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday morning for waters east of apalachicola.

FXUS62 KTAE 020050 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 850 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

New UPDATE

UPDATE
Issued at 845 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Added a slight chance for showers in the Florida Big Bend and southeast Alabama as some light returns remain on radar and expected to decrease through 9-10pm ET. Overnight, expanded patchy to areas of fog through much of the tri state area south of Albany to the coast. There is not a strong signal for dense fog at this time but a few more fog prone spots could experience visibilities down to a quarter mile in the predawn hours. Will keep any advisories in the pocket at this update and allow the next shift to evaluate and monitor observations and trends.

NEAR TERM
(Through Thursday)
Issued at 316 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

The Sea breeze is currently making its way inland across the eastern Florida Panhandle and Big Bend with isolated showers and a few lightning strikes developing. Coverage should remain rather sparse and will quickly fade after sunset. Another round of fog, possibly locally dense, is expected tonight, mostly across the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend, though it could nudge its way into southern Alabama and southern Georgia. Lows tonight will be in the mid-60s.

Generally southeasterly flow is expected tomorrow, though another sea breeze may set up across the eastern Big Bend. This could collide with the Atlantic sea breeze late in the afternoon, yielding scattered showers and storms near the Suwannee River, eastern Big Bend, and I-75 corridor. Looking at forecast soundings, dry air aloft and steep low-level lapse rates could result in some gusty winds with the strongest storms. DCAPE values peak around 1000 J/kg in the eastern Big Bend, which usually tends to be favorable for some stronger winds during these summertime sea breeze scenarios.
Elsewhere, showers and storms are currently not expected. Highs tomorrow afternoon will peak near 90 away from the coast with mid- 80s near the beaches.

SHORT TERM

LONG TERM

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 702 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Isolated pop-up showers and thunderstorms will continue this evening around all terminals except for ABY. The convection will end by 01z.

Overnight, another round of fog is expected to affect all terminals, except ABY. ECP and TLH terminals will be impacted by possibly dense fog, resulting in LIFR vsbys (and VLIFR for TLH with 1/4SM vsbys) between 08z and 13z Thursday morning. The DHN terminal will be along the edge of the fog bank where it may be affected with potentially IFR conditions. The ABY terminal may fall to MVFR cigs, but is expected to remain VFR as it will likely be too far north for the fog to settle in. The VLD terminal is forecast to fall to MVFR but, confidence is low given persistence trends which would bring cigs down to LIFR. Conditions are expected to return to VFR by mid morning.

MARINE
Issued at 316 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

High pressure off the Atlantic will lead to tranquil boating conditions through the period. Light winds, generally out of the southeast, are expected with seas around 1 to 2 feet into the weekend. There may be a small chance of showers and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday morning for waters east of Apalachicola.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 316 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Generally southeasterly to southerly transport winds around 10 mph are expected each day across the area. Daily sea breeze pattern will promote winds becoming more southerly during the afternoon, especially over the Florida zones. This combined with high mixing heights during the afternoon will yield good to locally excellent dispersions each afternoon. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible Thursday afternoon near the Suwannee River and I-75 corridor and Friday afternoon across southwest Georgia. Rain chances increase on Saturday across the entire forecast area with the greatest rain chances over southwest Georgia.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 316 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

No changes to the forecast as minor river flooding remains on the Lower Suwannee this afternoon and should fall below minor flood stage in the next day or so. With rainfall amounts staying below 0.50 inches the next few days, no additional riverine flooding is expected.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 66 90 66 88 / 20 10 0 10 Panama City 67 84 66 84 / 0 0 0 10 Dothan 65 89 64 88 / 10 10 0 10 Albany 64 89 66 86 / 0 10 0 20 Valdosta 66 90 67 89 / 10 30 0 20 Cross City 63 90 65 89 / 0 30 0 10 Apalachicola 68 81 68 80 / 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 4 AM EDT /3 AM CDT/ Thursday for FLZ108-112-114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

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Alligator Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:45 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:49 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:27 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Wed -- 09:46 AM EDT     2.09 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:21 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:34 PM EDT     1.54 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:42 PM EDT     2.30 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Alligator Point, St. James Island, Florida, Tide feet

Turkey Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:43 AM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:46 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:27 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Wed -- 10:54 AM EDT     2.51 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:07 PM EDT     2.32 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:53 PM EDT     2.64 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Turkey Point, FSU Lab, Florida, Tide feet

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