Sunday, May19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Panacea, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:39AMSunset 8:28PM Sunday May 19, 2019 6:46 AM EDT (10:46 UTC) Moonrise 8:25PMMoonset 6:24AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 243 Am Edt Sun May 19 2019 /143 Am Cdt Sun May 19 2019/
Today..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Monday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast around 5 knots early in the morning. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters smooth.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Tuesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots early in the morning. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south late in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east 10 to 15 knots in the late evening. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 243 Am Edt Sun May 19 2019
Synopsis.. Tranquil boating conditions are expected through the period, with a dominant southeasterly flow around 10 knots or less, and seas at or below three feet. In addition, a dry stretch of weather is expected.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Panacea, FL
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location: 29.9, -84.41     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 191024
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
624 am edt Sun may 19 2019

Aviation
[through 12z Monday]
some patchy fog at ecp this morning which should dissipate by mid
morning. Otherwise...VFR conds are expected with southeast winds
aob 10 knots.

Prev discussion [250 am edt]
Near term [through today]
Will start off the morning with some patchy fog over the western
florida panhandle and extreme southeast alabama which should
dissipate by mid morning. Surface high pressure will remain
entrenched over the southeast us while mid upper level high remains
over the bahamas. For the most part, dry air and subsidence will
continue across the area. Low level moisture underneath the
subsidence decreases somewhat so even with the seabreezes this
afternoon, there isn't much in the way of moisture to activate
convection. So, no mention of rainfall this afternoon. Highs today
will be on par with yesterday but did bump up highs around a degree
everywhere based on 00z guidance.

Short term [tonight through Tuesday]
A weak cold front and associated precipitation will approach from
the northwest Sunday night into Monday. But with shortwave ridging
aloft holding firm across the area, any shower and isolated thunder
chances will be confined to southeast alabama and the far western
panhandle. In addition, the sea-breeze circulation each afternoon
and evening may lead to an isolated shower rumble of thunder over
the florida panhandle, but coverage should be very limited given
the lack of instability and dry air aloft with increasing mid-level
ridging. Cannot rule out some patchy fog each morning from the
valdosta - tallahassee - dothan corridor and points south. Daily
average temperatures will be several degrees above seasonal
averages.

Long term [Tuesday night through Sunday]
The big story will be the heat with a persistent deep layer ridge
building near the region. By late this week into next weekend, 500
hpa heights are modeled around 594 decameters, about 2-3 standard
deviations above normal and near record levels per SPC sounding tlh
climatology. Based on 850 hpa temperatures and full mixing to this
level, highs in the mid to upper 90s are likely, approaching 100
degrees on Friday and Saturday. The last official 100 degree days
(measured at each airport) for the following areas are as
follows:
dothan, al: july 1, 2012
valdosta, ga: august 23, 2014
panama city, fl: august 26, 2014
tallahassee, fl: june 13, 2016
albany, ga: june 25, 2018
daily high temperature records will likely be challenged each day
from mid-week onward in some of these areas.

By Friday and Saturday, the humidity levels may become more of a
factor, with wpc guidance indicating a relatively high probability
by day 7 of heat index values reaching 105 f. Therefore, the
combination of heat and humidity may reach excessive, unhealthy
levels. Given the upcoming holiday weekend and potential prolonged
period of heat, now is a good time to review heat safety tips.

Visit

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 13 mi112 min NE 2.9 G 5.1 74°F 79°F1015.4 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 33 mi28 min E 4.1 G 6 75°F 80°F1015.3 hPa
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 44 mi46 min E 8 G 9.9 67°F 1016.3 hPa (+0.3)62°F

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tallahassee - Tallahassee International Airport, FL35 mi53 minE 510.00 miFair70°F69°F97%1015.3 hPa

Wind History from TLH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmN3N3S4CalmS44CalmSE8S7E4SW7S7S5SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3E3E5
1 day agoCalmE7SE3SE333SW6NW4SW4SE9SW14
G25
W5S5SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3Calm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4CalmW3N9N6N10CalmN5S5SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Alligator Point, St. James Island, Florida
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Alligator Point
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Sun -- 03:30 AM EDT     2.59 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:24 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 09:03 AM EDT     1.00 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:43 PM EDT     3.04 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:07 PM EDT     -0.47 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.52.22.52.62.31.91.51.111.11.52.12.6332.82.31.60.90.2-0.3-0.5-0.3

Tide / Current Tables for Turkey Point, FSU Lab, Florida
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Turkey Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:57 AM EDT     3.01 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:24 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:54 AM EDT     1.90 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:27 PM EDT     3.53 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 09:48 PM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.82.52.932.92.62.221.922.42.83.23.53.53.22.51.810.3-0.1-0.20

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.