Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Panacea, FL
May 19, 2024 8:29 PM EDT (00:29 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:38 AM Sunset 8:28 PM Moonrise 4:05 PM Moonset 3:19 AM |
GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 305 Pm Edt Sun May 19 2024 /205 Pm Cdt Sun May 19 2024/
This afternoon - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southwest 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tonight - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southwest 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds and north 1 foot at 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday night - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tuesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 3 seconds and south 1 foot at 7 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tuesday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: east 1 foot at 4 seconds and south 1 foot at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday night - Southwest winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters smooth.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 305 Pm Edt Sun May 19 2024
Synopsis -
west winds tonight will clock around to the northeast on Monday as high pressure builds into the waters. This will lead to a couple of nocturnal surges in winds both Monday night and Tuesday night. By Wednesday, winds become more southerly. Seas generally 2 to 3 feet through Monday, then decreasing to 1 to 2 feet through Friday, with the exception of higher seas up to around 3 feet in due to the nocturnal surges Monday night into Tuesday and again Tuesday night into Wednesday.
west winds tonight will clock around to the northeast on Monday as high pressure builds into the waters. This will lead to a couple of nocturnal surges in winds both Monday night and Tuesday night. By Wednesday, winds become more southerly. Seas generally 2 to 3 feet through Monday, then decreasing to 1 to 2 feet through Friday, with the exception of higher seas up to around 3 feet in due to the nocturnal surges Monday night into Tuesday and again Tuesday night into Wednesday.
Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 192335 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 735 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
New AVIATION
NEAR TERM
(Through Monday)
Issued at 311 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
An upper level trough continues to exit south GA this afternoon.
Some showers have started to pop up with this low and may continue into the evening before dying out after sunset. Then mainly dry conditions continue into Monday. Temps tonight generally fall into the mid 60s, and then warm into the low to mid 80s in our GA and AL counties, and in the mid to upper 80s in our FL counties. A few showers and thunderstorms may pop up in the Big Bend.
SHORT TERM
(Monday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 311 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
While deep layer ridging builds in Monday night through Wednesday, the mid-level trough and an attendant shortwave are close enough on Tuesday to keep a low chance of a shower or rumble of thunder in the afternoon forecast for the far Southeast FL Big Bend. Otherwise for the remainder of the region and timeframe, dry weather is expected.
Highs on Tuesday in the mid-80s to about 90 degrees.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 311 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
Deep layer ridging moves southeast of the region with low to mid- level southerly flow getting underway by Thursday. Deep layer moisture will gradually increase midweek. Cannot rule out a pop-up shower or thunderstorm as the seabreeze pools limited moisture and instability on Wednesday and Thursday afternoons, mainly in the FL counties, but subsidence from the ridge should limit this potential with PoPs NIL for now. Otherwise, the better chance of a shower/t-storm is late Friday and Saturday with the approach of a shortwave aloft. In fact, some models hint at a potential MCS just to our north. If this materializes, it will be watched to see if it propagates further south into our region on either Friday or Saturday. For now, PoPs are NIL on Friday with 20-30% PoPs on Saturday. Highs generally remaining in the upper 80s-lower 90s through the period. With rising heights aloft, highs gradually warm to the upper 80s-lower 90s by Wednesday.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 727 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
Isolated showers move over or near the northern terminals the next couple hrs, but not expecting much effects outside of locally higher north winds around 10 kts. Otherwise, VFR conds prevail until after midnight when low stratus spreads from NE to SW, likely impacting VLD/ABY and perhaps TLH. Have MVFR to IFR cigs at those sites as soon as 7Z before improving mid-late morning.
Confidence is highest at VLD. Winds turn NE at 5-7 kts tmrw.
MARINE
Issued at 311 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
West winds tonight will clock around to the northeast on Monday as high pressure builds into the waters. This will lead to a couple of nocturnal surges in winds both Monday night and Tuesday night. By Wednesday, winds become more southerly. Seas generally 2 to 3 feet through Monday, then decreasing to 1 to 2 feet through Friday, with the exception of higher seas up to around 3 feet in due to the nocturnal surges Monday night into Tuesday and again Tuesday night into Wednesday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 311 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
Mostly quiet and dry conditions are expected over the next few days, with the potential for high dispersions being the main fire weather concerns. Tuesday, areas east of the Flint and Apalachicola Rivers may have high dispersions and on Wednesday SE AL and the W FL Panhandle.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 311 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
Heavy rainfall from Friday and the weekend will lead to ongoing or developing minor flooding at several rivers over the next few days as rainfall works its way into the system. Withlacoochee River in Georgia and northern Florida is currently climbing and will likely crest sometime this week. Rises in the lower Withlacoochee will likely rise through much of the upcoming week.
Rises into solid action stage in the middle and lower Suwanee Rivers are likely later this week and next weekend.
Further west across the Ochlockonee basin the river will generally hold steady or rise slowly through the week. The Apalachicola at Blountstown will rise into minor flood stage by Monday. Across the Panhandle in the Choctawhatchee Basin rivers rises to near flood are likely through the week.
Aside from increasing rivers from heavy rainfall, no new hydrological concerns are anticipated to develop with the area likely moving into a drier pattern for the next 5 to 7 days.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 67 86 65 88 / 10 10 0 0 Panama City 68 87 68 86 / 0 10 0 0 Dothan 65 84 64 85 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 65 84 62 85 / 10 0 0 0 Valdosta 66 85 63 87 / 20 10 0 10 Cross City 66 86 62 88 / 20 30 10 20 Apalachicola 69 82 71 82 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 4 AM EDT /3 AM CDT/ Monday for FLZ108-112-114-115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 735 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
New AVIATION
NEAR TERM
(Through Monday)
Issued at 311 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
An upper level trough continues to exit south GA this afternoon.
Some showers have started to pop up with this low and may continue into the evening before dying out after sunset. Then mainly dry conditions continue into Monday. Temps tonight generally fall into the mid 60s, and then warm into the low to mid 80s in our GA and AL counties, and in the mid to upper 80s in our FL counties. A few showers and thunderstorms may pop up in the Big Bend.
SHORT TERM
(Monday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 311 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
While deep layer ridging builds in Monday night through Wednesday, the mid-level trough and an attendant shortwave are close enough on Tuesday to keep a low chance of a shower or rumble of thunder in the afternoon forecast for the far Southeast FL Big Bend. Otherwise for the remainder of the region and timeframe, dry weather is expected.
Highs on Tuesday in the mid-80s to about 90 degrees.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 311 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
Deep layer ridging moves southeast of the region with low to mid- level southerly flow getting underway by Thursday. Deep layer moisture will gradually increase midweek. Cannot rule out a pop-up shower or thunderstorm as the seabreeze pools limited moisture and instability on Wednesday and Thursday afternoons, mainly in the FL counties, but subsidence from the ridge should limit this potential with PoPs NIL for now. Otherwise, the better chance of a shower/t-storm is late Friday and Saturday with the approach of a shortwave aloft. In fact, some models hint at a potential MCS just to our north. If this materializes, it will be watched to see if it propagates further south into our region on either Friday or Saturday. For now, PoPs are NIL on Friday with 20-30% PoPs on Saturday. Highs generally remaining in the upper 80s-lower 90s through the period. With rising heights aloft, highs gradually warm to the upper 80s-lower 90s by Wednesday.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 727 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
Isolated showers move over or near the northern terminals the next couple hrs, but not expecting much effects outside of locally higher north winds around 10 kts. Otherwise, VFR conds prevail until after midnight when low stratus spreads from NE to SW, likely impacting VLD/ABY and perhaps TLH. Have MVFR to IFR cigs at those sites as soon as 7Z before improving mid-late morning.
Confidence is highest at VLD. Winds turn NE at 5-7 kts tmrw.
MARINE
Issued at 311 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
West winds tonight will clock around to the northeast on Monday as high pressure builds into the waters. This will lead to a couple of nocturnal surges in winds both Monday night and Tuesday night. By Wednesday, winds become more southerly. Seas generally 2 to 3 feet through Monday, then decreasing to 1 to 2 feet through Friday, with the exception of higher seas up to around 3 feet in due to the nocturnal surges Monday night into Tuesday and again Tuesday night into Wednesday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 311 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
Mostly quiet and dry conditions are expected over the next few days, with the potential for high dispersions being the main fire weather concerns. Tuesday, areas east of the Flint and Apalachicola Rivers may have high dispersions and on Wednesday SE AL and the W FL Panhandle.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 311 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
Heavy rainfall from Friday and the weekend will lead to ongoing or developing minor flooding at several rivers over the next few days as rainfall works its way into the system. Withlacoochee River in Georgia and northern Florida is currently climbing and will likely crest sometime this week. Rises in the lower Withlacoochee will likely rise through much of the upcoming week.
Rises into solid action stage in the middle and lower Suwanee Rivers are likely later this week and next weekend.
Further west across the Ochlockonee basin the river will generally hold steady or rise slowly through the week. The Apalachicola at Blountstown will rise into minor flood stage by Monday. Across the Panhandle in the Choctawhatchee Basin rivers rises to near flood are likely through the week.
Aside from increasing rivers from heavy rainfall, no new hydrological concerns are anticipated to develop with the area likely moving into a drier pattern for the next 5 to 7 days.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 67 86 65 88 / 10 10 0 0 Panama City 68 87 68 86 / 0 10 0 0 Dothan 65 84 64 85 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 65 84 62 85 / 10 0 0 0 Valdosta 66 85 63 87 / 20 10 0 10 Cross City 66 86 62 88 / 20 30 10 20 Apalachicola 69 82 71 82 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 4 AM EDT /3 AM CDT/ Monday for FLZ108-112-114-115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL | 13 mi | 155 min | NNW 7G | 87°F | 56 ft | 29.83 | 66°F | |
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL | 27 mi | 89 min | W 9.9 | 85°F | 29.89 | 71°F | ||
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL | 33 mi | 65 min | WNW 4.1G | 84°F | 79°F | 29.87 | ||
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL | 41 mi | 89 min | 78°F | 29.88 |
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Airport Reports
EDIT HIDE  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Tide / Current for Alligator Point, St. James Island, Florida
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Alligator Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:29 AM EDT 2.08 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:18 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 06:26 AM EDT 0.97 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:41 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 12:25 PM EDT 2.46 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:05 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 07:20 PM EDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:26 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:29 AM EDT 2.08 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:18 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 06:26 AM EDT 0.97 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:41 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 12:25 PM EDT 2.46 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:05 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 07:20 PM EDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:26 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Alligator Point, St. James Island, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
2.1 |
1 am |
2.1 |
2 am |
1.9 |
3 am |
1.7 |
4 am |
1.4 |
5 am |
1.1 |
6 am |
1 |
7 am |
1 |
8 am |
1.2 |
9 am |
1.5 |
10 am |
1.9 |
11 am |
2.2 |
12 pm |
2.4 |
1 pm |
2.4 |
2 pm |
2.2 |
3 pm |
1.8 |
4 pm |
1.4 |
5 pm |
0.9 |
6 pm |
0.6 |
7 pm |
0.4 |
8 pm |
0.4 |
9 pm |
0.7 |
10 pm |
1.2 |
11 pm |
1.6 |
Turkey Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:51 AM EDT 2.62 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:19 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 06:25 AM EDT 1.52 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:42 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 12:14 PM EDT 3.00 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:05 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 07:13 PM EDT 0.67 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:27 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:51 AM EDT 2.62 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:19 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 06:25 AM EDT 1.52 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:42 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 12:14 PM EDT 3.00 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:05 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 07:13 PM EDT 0.67 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:27 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Turkey Point, FSU Lab, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
2.6 |
1 am |
2.6 |
2 am |
2.5 |
3 am |
2.3 |
4 am |
2 |
5 am |
1.7 |
6 am |
1.5 |
7 am |
1.6 |
8 am |
1.8 |
9 am |
2.1 |
10 am |
2.5 |
11 am |
2.8 |
12 pm |
3 |
1 pm |
2.9 |
2 pm |
2.7 |
3 pm |
2.2 |
4 pm |
1.7 |
5 pm |
1.2 |
6 pm |
0.8 |
7 pm |
0.7 |
8 pm |
0.7 |
9 pm |
1 |
10 pm |
1.5 |
11 pm |
2 |
Tallahassee, FL,
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