Wednesday, November14, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Villano Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 5:30PM Wednesday November 14, 2018 7:30 PM EST (00:30 UTC) Moonrise 12:36PMMoonset 11:31PM Illumination 44% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ454 Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 306 Pm Est Wed Nov 14 2018
.small craft exercise caution...
Tonight..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming east winds 10 to 15 knots, then becoming west southwest in the morning. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop. Showers likely and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..West northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday..North northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Inland waters a light chop.
Saturday..North northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Inland waters a light chop.
Saturday night and Sunday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Inland waters mostly smooth.
Sunday night..North northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Inland waters a light chop.
Monday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 306 Pm Est Wed Nov 14 2018
Synopsis.. An area of low pressure will move northeast across area waters tonight, then up the east coast Thursday. Elevated conditions will persist through much of Thursday. The current advisory will likely need to be extended. High pressure will build from the west Thursday, then to the northwest into Friday. Broad high pressure will be north/northwest of the region over the weekend. After a weak cold frontal passage Sunday night, high pressure will build to the northwest for the first half of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Villano Beach, FL
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location: 29.92, -81.3     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 141911
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
211 pm est Wed nov 14 2018

Near term through Thursday ...

gusty winds will continue along the coast through the evening, with
precipitation coverage increasing. Have expanded coverage of wind
advisory to include coastal duval.

Developing area of low pressure over NE gulf will track northeast
across the region tonight. The center of this low is expected to
move mainly over NE fl, leaving areas to the south and east of the
low most prone to instability leading to thunderstorm potential. A
more stable airmass will be located north of the low track. A few
strong storms will be possible through this evening, mainly south of
a line from ocala to st augustine. Temperatures will be fairly mild
south of the low track tonight, with readings still a little above
normal north of the track due to cloud cover.

The low will track northeast up the east coast late tonight into
Thursday morning, with wrap around showers lingering over SE ga
Thursday morning. Othwerwise, high pressure will build from the west
Thursday afternoon, with skies clearing from west to east. The flow
will turn from the northwest Thursday afternoon, driving the
cooler air all the way across forecast area. In general, the highs
on Thursday, will not be much more than 5 degrees higher than the
morning lows.

Short term Thursday night through Sunday ...

high pressure will build to the northwest Thursday night into
Friday. This will continue the northwest flow, ushering an
unseasonably cool airmass. Lows Thursday night in the 30s will be
common, except along the coast, with highs Friday ranging from the
middle 50s over inland SE ga, to the lower 60s over coastal NE fl.

A little bit of patchy frost can not be ruled out, mainly over
inland SE ga Thursday night.

A broad ridge of high pressure will settle to the north northwest of
the region over the weekend. After another night with readings into
the 30s in many locations Friday night, temperatures will moderate
back to near normal levels by Sunday. With winds expected to go near
calm Friday night, readings could be just as cold Friday night as
Thursday night.

Long term Sunday night through Wednesday ...

a weak cold front will push south across the region Sunday night,
with a few coastal showers possible. High pressure will build to the
north northwest for the first half of the week, with a dry weather
expected, and near seasonal temperatures.

Marine
An area of low pressure will move northeast across area waters
tonight, then up the east coast Thursday. Elevated conditions will
persist through much of Thursday. The current advisory will likely
need to be extended. High pressure will build from the west
Thursday, then to the northwest into Friday. Broad high pressure
will be north northwest of the region over the weekend. After a
weak cold frontal passage Sunday night, high pressure will build
to the northwest for the first half of next week.

Rip currents: SE ga: high risk through tonight, moderate Thursday.

Ne fl: high risk through tonight, moderate Thursday.

Aviation
Low MVFR to ifr will prevail this afternoon, with ifr to lifr
prevailing overnight into Thursday morning. North to northeasterly
winds 10-15 knots with gusts to 25-30 knots will prevail along the
coastal areas into the evening hours. An area of low pressure
across the eastern gulf will slide east northeastward across
northeast florida tonight, with northwesterly winds developing
behind the area of low pressure. Ceilings will begin to improve
near the end of the TAF period.

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 51 55 36 57 80 20 0 0
ssi 57 62 40 59 80 20 0 0
jax 59 64 39 60 70 10 0 0
sgj 64 68 42 61 70 10 0 0
gnv 61 65 37 62 80 10 0 0
ocf 62 66 39 63 80 10 0 0

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through late tonight for coastal duval-
coastal flagler-coastal nassau-coastal st. Johns.

Wind advisory until 9 pm est this evening for coastal duval-
coastal nassau.

Ga... High rip current risk through late tonight for coastal camden-
coastal glynn.

Wind advisory until 9 pm est this evening for coastal camden-
coastal glynn.

Am... Small craft advisory from 1 am to 1 pm est Thursday for waters
from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl from 20 to 60 nm.

Small craft advisory until 1 pm est Thursday for waters from
fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl from 20 to 60 nm.

Small craft advisory until 9 am est Thursday for coastal waters
from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm-waters
from altamaha sound ga to fernandina beach fl from 20 to 60
nm.

Small craft advisory until 9 pm est this evening for coastal
waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 5 mi30 min NE 19 G 22 74°F 74°F1016.6 hPa (-0.9)
RCYF1 16 mi30 min 75°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 18 mi45 min NE 11 75°F 1018 hPa73°F
LTJF1 33 mi30 min 72°F 68°F
MYPF1 - 8720218 - Mayport (Bar Pilots Dock), FL 34 mi30 min NE 20 G 25 71°F 73°F1017.7 hPa (-0.9)
DMSF1 35 mi30 min 74°F
BLIF1 35 mi30 min NNE 15 G 20 1018.7 hPa (-0.9)

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Northeast Florida Regional Airport, FL4 mi34 minno data5.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist73°F71°F94%1017 hPa

Wind History from SGJ (wind in knots)
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1 day agoS5S6S5SW3W5S7S6S7S4S4S3S3S4SW66S10S8SW8SW8SE8SE7SE6SE55
2 days agoNE12--E12E14E12E9E8E8NE6NE5E7E5CalmSE6E6SE15
G21
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SE15SE13
G19
SE11SE4S7SE6

Tide / Current Tables for Vilano Beach Bridge, Tolomato River, Florida
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Vilano Beach Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:48 AM EST     1.13 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:49 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:49 AM EST     -1.54 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:36 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:12 PM EST     1.96 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:29 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:42 PM EST     -1.60 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:31 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.10.80.2-0.5-1-1.4-1.5-1.2-0.50.31.11.721.81.20.5-0.3-1-1.5-1.6-1.2-0.6-0

Tide / Current Tables for East Tocoi, St. Johns River, Florida (2)
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East Tocoi
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:27 AM EST     4.99 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:50 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:00 AM EST     5.69 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:37 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:41 PM EST     4.99 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:30 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:29 PM EST     5.79 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:32 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.1555.25.45.55.65.75.65.55.35.25.1555.15.45.65.75.85.85.65.55.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.