Sunrise 6:54 AM   Sunset 8:14 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM   Moonset 9:04 AM

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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 312 Am Edt Sun Apr 28 2024
.small craft advisory in effect until noon edt today - .
Today - Southeast winds around 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots this morning, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots this afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy.Tonight - East winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Monday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Monday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Tuesday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Tuesday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Wednesday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Wednesday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Seas around 2 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop. Thursday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop. Thursday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 312 Am Edt Sun Apr 28 2024
Synopsis -
elevated southeast winds will continue today with advisory level conditions expected through this morning for the waters east of apalachicola and into early this afternoon for the waters west of apalachicola. Another easterly surge of winds is expected tonight into Monday morning with exercise caution or advisory conditions. Winds and seas will relax to more favorable conditions starting on Tuesday and continuing through the week.

FXUS62 KTAE 280542 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 142 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

New AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 937 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

The main update to tonight's forecast was to tweaking the marine winds by incorporating the latest HRRR, which shows a strong easterly nocturnal surge with gusts near gale force. Coastal observations from Cedar Key down to St Petersburg were reporting gusts around 25 mph this evening. Otherwise, the remainder of the forecast is on track. Mid to upper cloud cover lingers overnight, but shows signs of modest erosion across the Central Timezone counties.

NEAR TERM
(Through Sunday)
Issued at 213 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

A weak surface trough moving through northern Florida along I-10 this afternoon has produced a couple of sprinkles/light showers.
With just just enough low-level moisture in place, especially along the developing sea breeze, decided to go ahead and add a 15 percent chance for sprinkles/light showers along I-10 north into southern Georgia and Alabama this afternoon. Any sprinkles/showers should dissipate by this evening.

High pressure sliding down the eastern seaboard will maintain southeasterly breezes and mild temperatures tonight into Sunday.
Slightly drier air arrives tomorrow and should preclude any showers in the afternoon. Some residual moisture lingering in the mid and upper levels will keep a few clouds streaming overhead through the night and into Sunday. Temperatures tonight should drop into the lower to middle 60s before warming into the lower to middle 80s Sunday afternoon.

SHORT TERM
(Sunday night through Monday night)
Issued at 213 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Ridging will continue to prevail across the area on Monday ahead of a shortwave vorticity maxima that is expected to enter the region on Tuesday. Surface high pressure will continue to remain entrenched off the east coast of Georgia and Florida Sunday night through Monday night. This will continue to maintain easterly to southeasterly surface winds across the area that may be gusty at times during the afternoon hours. Overall, expect another dry day with high temperatures climbing to above average values in the mid to upper 80s, and lows starting in the low 60s Monday morning.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 213 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

The aforementioned shortwave vorticity maxima that is expected to push into the region Monday night into Tuesday, with provide some forcing for ascent across the region. The one caveat to this, is that PWATs will generally remain around 1 inch or less across the region. With the dry airmass entrenched over the region, the coverage of rain showers will be extremely limited. At this time, PoPs are around 15-20%, which is up from yesterday's forecast.
This is likely due to the shortwave forecast to be slightly more amplified than previous forecasts. Beyond this chance for isolated showers, the remainder of the upcoming week looks to remain fairly dry with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, and lows in the low to mid 60s.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 141 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

VFR conditions will prevail at area terminals through the TAF period. Similar to Saturday, breezy southeasterly flow will prevail at all terminals with occasional 15 to 20 knot gusts through the afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 937 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Offshore buoys were reporting easterly winds about 10 to 15 knots, 4-6 ft seas, and a dominant period of 7 seconds this evening. Although current winds and seas are greater near Mobile Bay from a tight pressure gradient, a strong nocturnal easterly surge is poised to develop later tonight and bring more hazardous boating to Apalachee Bay initially before spreading west of Apalachicola through the overnight hrs. Brief gusts to gale force appear possible.

From CWF Synopsis...Elevated southeast winds will continue this weekend with advisory level conditions expected tonight across all marine zones; however, they will initially start across Apalachee Bay before surging west towards the Panhandle marine zones. The strongest winds are likely to be via nocturnal easterly surges, and advisory conditions are expected areawide tonight. Gusts near gale force are likely. Winds and seas will relax to more favorable conditions early next week.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 213 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Fire weather concerns will be somewhat elevated into Monday. Warm and dry conditions continue through the weekend. Southeasterly winds this weekend turn a bit more southerly as we head into early next week. This should allow the sea breeze to push a little more inland Monday and Tuesday. Rain chances will remain low, generally less than 10 percent, through Monday before increasing slightly as more moisture works into the region on Tuesday. High dispersions will remain over much of the region Sunday before lowering some on Monday for all but the I-75 corridor and southeastern Alabama.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 213 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

With near zero rain chances for the upcoming week, there are minimal flooding concerns at this time. Minor flooding is ongoing along portions of the Suwannee River basin; however, these portions of the river should exit minor flood, especially with dry conditions expected areawide over the next week.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 85 62 85 62 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 81 66 81 65 / 10 0 0 0 Dothan 84 62 85 62 / 0 0 10 0 Albany 84 60 85 62 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 84 61 85 63 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 85 59 86 62 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 76 68 77 66 / 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Monday night for FLZ108-112- 114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT today for GMZ730-755-765-775.

Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ750- 752-770-772.

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Rock Islands
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Sun -- 12:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:10 AM EDT     2.75 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 10:56 AM EDT     1.53 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:33 PM EDT     3.57 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Rock Islands, Florida, Tide feet

Spring Warrior Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:07 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:04 AM EDT     2.72 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 10:55 AM EDT     1.53 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:27 PM EDT     3.53 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Spring Warrior Creek, Florida, Tide feet

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