Wednesday, February20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bridge City, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 6:09PM Wednesday February 20, 2019 11:39 AM CST (17:39 UTC) Moonrise 7:34PMMoonset 7:46AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 912 Am Cst Wed Feb 20 2019
Rest of today..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of rain showers late in the morning.
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of rain showers in the evening, then rain showers likely after midnight.
Thursday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Rain showers likely.
Thursday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of rain showers.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
Friday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. Showers and chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Sunday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of rain showers after midnight.
GMZ400 Synopsis For Lower Atchafalaya River La To High Island Tx Out 60 Nm Including Sabine And Calcasieu Lakes And Vermilion Bay 912 Am Cst Wed Feb 20 2019
Synopsis.. Shower activity will return tonight and continue through Saturday as a series of upper level disturbances move across. Winds will become onshore on late Thursday into Friday as a warm front lifts through the coastal waters.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bridge City, TX
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location: 29.98, -93.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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Fxus64 klch 201522
afdlch
area forecast discussion
national weather service lake charles la
922 am cst Wed feb 20 2019

Update The cold front continues to push east, however it still
hasn't made it out of the area just yet. Temperatures are in the
lower 70s in lower saint martin and saint mary parishes ahead of
the front with the 60s, 50s, and 40s elsewhere. CAA and cloud
cover will keep temps depressed for today and lowered afternoon
highs just a touch, otherwise the previous forecast is on track.

Prev discussion issued 626 am cst Wed feb 20 2019
update...

as expected, cold front has continued to make steady progress to
the southeast and with winds becoming northwest, this has
dispersed the sea fog where front has passed. Therefore, the dense
fog advisory has expired at 6 am for cameron parish and also the
marine dense fog advisory has expired at 6 am for sabine lake,
calcasieu lake, and the near shore waters between high island and
cameron.

Meanwhile, the gradient winds ahead of the front in lower acadiana
have remained elevated, and this is lifting the dense sea fog as
it moves inland. So, the dense sea fog advisory for vermilion,
iberia, st. Mary, and lower st. Martin parishes has been
cancelled.

Areas of dense sea fog will linger ahead of the cold front for
marine locations of vermilion bay and the near shore waters east
of cameron vermilion border to the lower atchafalaya river.

Therefore, the marine dense fog advisory will remain in effect for
those locations until 20 15z or 9 am local.

Rua
prev discussion... Issued 555 am cst Wed feb 20 2019
discussion...

20 12z TAF issuance.

Aviation...

cold front sits roughly from esler field to jennings to the coast
near grand chenier. Winds west of the boundary are northwest
around 10 kt, with vsbys improving toVFR (at bpt lch aex). Ahead
of the front, winds are still southerly 10-15 kt at lft ara. The
front is slowly progressing east and winds should shift west by
14-15z then northwest by 18z. Showers or an isolated TS will be
possible at the acadiana terminals with the front, with vsbys
likely fluctuating between MVFR and ifr. CIGS remain lifr
areawide, but are expected to lift through the morning, bcmgVFR
during the aftn. Winds will shift northerly and diminish this
evening, with lower clouds and a few showers beginning to spread
back to the northwest toward the end of the period.

24
prev discussion... Issued 421 am cst Wed feb 20 2019
synopsis...

a strong and active jet stream will keep a rather unsettled
pattern along with a roller-coaster in temperatures through the
week.

Rua
discussion...

a cold front as of 20 10z is located across the forecast area from
roughly kaex to the coast between sabine pass and cameron. Quite a
temperature range at that time of some 30f degrees with klft at
72f and kjas at 39f. Ahead of the front bands of showers will
continue with a few mainly elevated thunderstorms possible in the
warm sector across acadiana. Also, some dense sea fog will be
possible ahead of the front right along the coast.

This front will move through the forecast area by late morning,
and this will bring a brief break in rain chances, with some
possible sunshine, especially western sections.

However, this will be short lived as the sub-tropical jet aloft
will remain strong and active, typical of an EL nino scenario,
through the forecast period, with an atmospheric river from the
tropical pacific streaming overhead.

The next disturbance will begin to affect the forecast area
tonight with over-running, mainly light rain developing and
continuing into Thursday.

Late Thursday into Friday, the frontal system that moves through
today will come back north as a warm front as a storm system
develops east of the rockies increasing southerly flow. A few
elevated thunderstorms will be possible ahead of the warm front
Friday afternoon and SPC has a marginal risk for severe storms,
with hail being the main concern.

The storm system will move eastward and push a pacific cold front
across the forecast area on Saturday afternoon. Really good shear
and plenty of gulf moisture ahead of this front for the likelihood
of bands of showers and storms developing ahead of it. If the gulf
marine layer can be modified enough to increase instability and
higher capes, then a few strong to marginally severe storms will
be possible. Right now SPC has a 15 percent chance for severe
storms hatched out just to the north and north of the forecast
area.

Some drier and more stable conditions will move in for Sunday
before the process starts all over again on Monday.

Rua
marine...

some dense sea fog will be possible this morning ahead of a cold
front that will move through the coastal waters by late morning.

Modest offshore flow will then develop behind the front. The
modest offshore winds will persist until late Thursday, when winds
will become onshore as a warm front moves north through the
coastal waters. The onshore winds will then increase and become
gusty on Friday into Friday night as a storm system develops east
of the rockies. Small craft exercise caution or a small craft
advisory may be needed by late Friday into Friday night.

A cold front will then move through the coastal waters late
Saturday, briefly ending rain chances and bring offshore winds
again.

Rua

Preliminary point temps pops
Aex 60 45 57 50 30 40 80 70
lch 61 53 62 57 30 70 70 50
lft 66 55 70 64 80 70 70 40
bpt 62 52 61 57 20 60 70 50

Lch watches warnings advisories
La... None.

Tx... None.

Gm... None.

Public... 05


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX 10 mi40 min NNW 9.9 G 13 49°F 57°F1015.9 hPa (+1.7)
SBPT2 - 8770570 - Sabine Pass North, TX 18 mi40 min N 11 G 16 51°F 59°F1017.1 hPa (+1.9)
TXPT2 20 mi40 min N 16 G 19 49°F 56°F1014.9 hPa (+2.0)
SRST2 - Sabine Pass, TX 24 mi40 min NNW 15 G 17 49°F 1015.6 hPa (+1.9)46°F
CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA 28 mi40 min N 17 G 19 51°F 57°F1014 hPa (+2.1)
BKTL1 30 mi40 min 59°F
KCVW 30 mi20 min NW 11 G 16 52°F 52°F
LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA 35 mi40 min 51°F 58°F1015.3 hPa (+2.1)
KVBS 36 mi20 min NNE 16 52°F 48°F
HIST2 41 mi40 min NNW 11 G 15 49°F 56°F1015.9 hPa (+2.0)

Wind History for Port Arthur, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orange, Orange County Airport, TX6 mi65 minNNW 910.00 miOvercast49°F47°F94%1016.3 hPa
Beaumont/Port Arthur Southeast Texas Regional Airport, TX12 mi47 minNNW 810.00 miOvercast52°F46°F80%1015.8 hPa
Beaumont Municipal Airport, TX23 mi65 minNNW 810.00 miOvercast50°F45°F83%1016.6 hPa

Wind History from ORG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE10NE8E8E10E11E7NE5N4CalmCalmNW5CalmCalmNW4CalmNW5NW5NW7N5N4N4NW5N7N7
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Tide / Current Tables for Mesquite Point, Sabine Pass, Texas
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Mesquite Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:16 AM CST     1.02 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:50 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:45 AM CST     Moonset
Wed -- 10:12 AM CST     -0.59 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:48 PM CST     0.93 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:08 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:34 PM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:31 PM CST     0.41 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.81110.80.50.1-0.2-0.5-0.6-0.6-0.4-0.10.20.50.70.90.90.80.70.50.40.4

Tide / Current Tables for Sabine Pass, North, Texas
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Sabine Pass
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:50 AM CST     1.37 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:50 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:45 AM CST     Moonset
Wed -- 10:03 AM CST     -0.52 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:09 PM CST     1.26 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:08 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:34 PM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:16 PM CST     0.57 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.21.31.41.31.10.70.3-0.1-0.4-0.5-0.4-0.20.20.60.91.21.31.21.10.90.70.60.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Lake Charles, LA (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Lake Charles, LA
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.