Wednesday, May23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mexico Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:42AMSunset 7:36PM Wednesday May 23, 2018 5:51 AM CDT (10:51 UTC) Moonrise 2:05PMMoonset 2:13AM Illumination 61% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 344 Am Edt Wed May 23 2018
Today..South winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Saturday..Southeast winds 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Protected waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts to around 35 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Protected waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Sunday..Southeast winds 20 knots. Gusts to 35 knots early in the morning. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Protected waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 344 Am Edt Wed May 23 2018
Synopsis..Initial winds of 10 knots or less will increase for the weekend to at least around 20 knots as a tropical disturbance currently in the caribbean moves northward into the eastern or central gulf of mexico. There is still uncertainty in the track of the disturbance and if it will develop into to a tropical system and given this, boaters should Monitor the forecast closely. Regardless of development though, we will remain in a wet pattern over the next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mexico Beach, FL
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location: 30.03, -85.47     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 231040
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
640 am edt Wed may 23 2018

Aviation [through 12z Thursday]
Ifr CIGS will continue until mid morning.VFR conditions will return
by early afternoon. Showers and a few thunderstorms will develop by
late morning. Activity will increase in the afternoon hours. Rain
showers will persist overnight tonight in parts of georgia and
alabama.

Prev discussion [341 am edt]
Near term [through today]
In the upper levels a ridge is over the central u.S. And a trough is
over the northeast. At the surface a weak low is over the southeast
today. With abundant low level moisture across the region another
soggy day is expected. Showers and thunderstorms will develop late
this morning. Activity will increase during the afternoon hours. 60
to 80 percent pops are expected for most areas. Immediate coastal
areas will be a little drier with 20 to 40 percent pops. Mostly
cloudy skies are expected today with highs in the 80s.

Short term [tonight through Friday]
This wet pattern will continue through the short term. Pw values
of 1.5-1.75 inches will be above normal over the next few days
and will see pops in the 30-70 percent range during the day and
more limited at night to 20-50 percent with the loss of daytime
heating. The higher rain chances will be further inland. Some
minor flooding is possible in the short term with the heavy
rainfall and over any areas that storms train. High temperatures
will range from the mid to upper 80s with lows in the low to mid
70s. While the high temperatures are fairly close to normal, lows
are well above normal for this time of year.

Long term [Friday night through Wednesday]
The long term is expected to be wet with the focus on a tropical
disturbance and rainfall amounts. Models are still in disagreement
with the track of a tropical disturbance that is currently in the
caribbean with guidance spanning the eastern and central gulf of
mexico as the disturbance moves northward. NHC has given the area
a 50% chance of development in the next five days. Regardless of
if the system does develop though or it's exact track, significant
rainfall amounts are expected with 7 day rainfall totals of 3-7
inches (locally higher amounts possible). Given these amounts,
will need to closely monitor the long term for flooding. Pops
remain high through the long term (chance and likely categories)
with no dry days in the forecast. Expect highs in the 80s with
lows in the 70s.

Marine
Initial winds of 10 knots or less will increase for the weekend to
at least around 20 knots as a tropical disturbance currently in
the caribbean moves northward into the eastern or central gulf of
mexico. There is still uncertainty in the track of the disturbance
and if it will develop into to a tropical system and given this,
boaters should monitor the forecast closely. Regardless of
development though, we will remain in a wet pattern over the next
week.

Fire weather
A wet pattern will be in place for the next week. No fire weather
concerns.

Hydrology
The wet pattern will continue over the next week with widespread
rainfall totals of 3-7 inches expected with locally higher
amounts. In regards to river flooding, the rivers have been able
to handle the rain so far and only a few sites are in action
stage or forecast to reach action stage. With additional rainfall
over the next week though, this will have to be monitored closely.

Besides the rivers, localized minor flooding will be possible the
next few days with the flash flood risk increasing for this
weekend.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 86 70 87 71 85 50 10 40 20 60
panama city 82 74 83 74 83 50 20 40 30 50
dothan 85 71 86 70 85 70 40 70 50 70
albany 86 71 86 71 85 80 40 60 50 70
valdosta 86 70 88 70 85 60 20 70 50 70
cross city 86 70 88 70 84 40 10 50 40 60
apalachicola 82 73 84 73 82 20 10 20 20 40

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Mcd
short term... Fieux
long term... Fieux
aviation... Mcd
marine... Fieux
fire weather... Mcd
hydrology... Fieux


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 13 mi51 min SSE 11 G 12 77°F 81°F1017.5 hPa (-0.0)
PCBF1 25 mi51 min S 11 G 12 78°F 80°F1017.4 hPa (-0.0)
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 33 mi51 min SSW 7 G 9.9 78°F 81°F1017.4 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL7 mi1.9 hrsS 710.00 miPartly Cloudy77°F72°F88%1017.2 hPa

Wind History from PAM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4SE5S6S5S10S11S12S13S12S12S11S10S10S8S7S7S6S6S6S7S8S6S7S7
1 day agoNE5E3E4E4SE9E6SE8S11S14S11--------------SE5SE7SE6E5SE6E6E7
2 days agoNE4CalmNE3E6E6E5E7SW6SW9S14S12SW4E4E5NE3NE4NE3NE7NE6NE4NE8NE6NE7NE3

Tide / Current Tables for Allanton, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Allanton
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:12 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:13 AM CDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:44 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 02:04 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:30 PM CDT     1.01 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:33 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.20.20.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.91111111110.90.90.80.6

Tide / Current Tables for Laird Bayou, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Laird Bayou
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:12 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:51 AM CDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:44 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 02:05 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:06 PM CDT     1.02 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:33 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.40.30.30.20.30.30.40.50.60.70.80.90.91111110.90.90.80.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.