Sunrise 6:50 AM   Sunset 8:17 PM Moonrise 2:24 AM   Moonset 1:28 PM

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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 326 Pm Edt Thu May 2 2024 /226 Pm Cdt Thu May 2 2024/
This afternoon - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Areas of dense fog. Friday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Patchy dense fog in the morning. Friday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet after midnight. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 4 seconds, becoming south 1 foot at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Saturday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Saturday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Sunday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Monday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 326 Pm Edt Thu May 2 2024
Synopsis -
high pressure off the atlantic will lead to tranquil boating conditions through the period. Light winds, generally out of the south-southeast, are expected with seas around 1 to 2 feet into the weekend. There may be a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday.

FXUS62 KTAE 021726 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 126 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

New AVIATION

NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 434 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Dense fog will likely overspread the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend early this morning and may extend into portions of SE Alabama and SW Georgia before dissipating around mid/late morning. Very warm conditions are expected to continue today with deep layer ridging overhead. A few showers and storms may be able to develop, particularly along the east coast sea breeze as it eventually pushes into our area. Forecast soundings with an inverted V and DCAPE over 1000 J/kg indicate any storms that do develop today could become strong to severe with gusty winds and hail the primary threats.
Given the ridging, though, coverage is expected to be pretty sparse.
Highs are forecast to soar into the upper 80s to low 90s areawide, with lows overnight in the low to mid 60s. Fog will be possible again overnight tonight into early Friday morning.

SHORT AND LONG TERM
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 434 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

A pair of shortwaves look to move across the southeast this weekend.
The first one on Saturday looks to move directly overhead, allowing for some decent forcing for ascent. Our best rain chances look to be across our SW Georgia counties, with lower probabilities as one moves southwest towards the FL Panhandle. Sunday into Monday a shortwave further to our north moves northeast. Forcing for ascent will be weaker with this shortwave, leading to lower precip chances than the Saturday shortwave. Regardless of the day, scattered showers and a few strong storms could be possible. Severe weather is not expected. The synoptic pattern looks to change for most of CONUS by mid-week with a trough deepening across central CONUS. However, across the southeast the ridge doesn't budge and actually builds back. This will lead to persistent above average temps as surface high pressure dominates.

Expect daytime highs generally in the upper 80s to low 90s with overnight lows generally in the mid to upper 60s.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 125 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

VFR conditions will prevail at KABY and KVLD through the period. KTLH and KDHN may see MVFR visibilities tomorrow morning, though there is some uncertainty. The site with the highest confidence is KECP where IFR visibilities will occur beginning as early as 04z. Reduced visibilities will occur at the aforementioned sites through 13-14z before clearing up.

MARINE
Issued at 434 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

High pressure off the Atlantic will lead to tranquil boating conditions through the period. Light winds, generally out of the south-southeast, are expected with seas around 1 to 2 feet into the weekend. There may be a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 434 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Warm and moist conditions are expected to continue through the next several days with southeast to south flow across the area.
Expect the seabreeze to move inland each afternoon across the FL zones. A few showers and storms will be possible this afternoon and Friday, with rain chances increasing a bit dramatically on Saturday.
Very high mixing heights could lead to high dispersions across portions of the FL Panhandle and SE Alabama during the afternoons.
Dense fog will be possible in the mornings, particularly across the Florida zones.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 434 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Minor flooding continues along the Lower Suwannee River for about another 24 hours. Additional riverine flooding is not expected, generally less than half an inch of rain is forecast through the next week.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 65 89 67 87 / 0 20 10 50 Panama City 66 84 68 85 / 0 10 0 20 Dothan 64 89 67 87 / 0 10 10 50 Albany 66 88 67 86 / 20 20 20 70 Valdosta 67 89 67 84 / 20 20 10 60 Cross City 65 89 66 86 / 20 10 0 40 Apalachicola 68 80 69 80 / 0 0 0 20

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

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Aucilla River entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:59 AM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:00 AM EDT     2.78 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:27 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:22 PM EDT     1.65 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:06 PM EDT     2.76 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Aucilla River entrance, Florida, Tide feet

St. Marks River Entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:54 AM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:57 AM EDT     2.99 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:17 PM EDT     1.79 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:03 PM EDT     2.96 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

St. Marks River Entrance, Florida, Tide feet

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