Thursday, November15, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Orange, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:39AMSunset 5:19PM Thursday November 15, 2018 4:02 AM CST (10:02 UTC) Moonrise 1:06PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 48% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 300 Am Cst Thu Nov 15 2018
Today..Northwest winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Tonight..West winds up to 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Friday..Southwest winds up to 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Friday night..South winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Saturday..Southeast winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Saturday night..East winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Sunday night..East winds around 5 knots becoming north after midnight. Lake waters smooth increasing to a light chop after midnight. Slight chance of rain showers.
Monday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of rain showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of rain showers.
GMZ400 Synopsis For Lower Atchafalaya River La To High Island Tx Out 60 Nm Including Sabine And Calcasieu Lakes And Vermilion Bay 300 Am Cst Thu Nov 15 2018
Synopsis.. Northerly winds will continue to weaken as the center of a high pressure system moves into the region. Winds will then swing around to a southerly direction by the weekend as the high moves east of the area. This onshore flow will be short-lived as another front moves into the northwestern gulf of mexico late Sunday into Monday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orange, TX
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location: 30.1, -93.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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Fxus64 klch 150830
afdlch
area forecast discussion
national weather service lake charles la
230 am cst Thu nov 15 2018

Discussion
Wx map shows cold 1029mb sfc high over E tx la this morning, with
crystal clear skies areawide. Winds remain calm along and north of
i-10, with a few locations reporting 5 mph or less across the
coastal parishes counties. Thus, temperatures ranging from 28-32
north of i-10 with the calm winds, mid 30s further south so far,
but expected to fall further temps thus made slight adjustments to
the freeze warning for this morning.

For today, expect only light winds and slightly warmer temperatures
with highs reaching the lower to mid 50s. With the high weakening,
Friday morning low expected in the mid to upper 30s over SE tx s
la, and lower mid 30s with perhaps a few areas reaching 32 across
c la at daybreak Friday morning.

Warming trend expected for Friday through Sunday as the surface
high moves east and southerly winds prevail over the region. The
combination of another weaker cold front and upper level
disturbance late Sunday into early Monday expected to bring a
chance of showers and slightly cooler conditions. The highest
chances will remain across SE tx and adjacent coastal waters.

For Tuesday through thanksgiving, less confidence today in this
period of the extended forecast than yesterday. All guidance shows
various degrees of moisture and lift anywhere across tx la and
the NW gulf during this period, problem being some, such as the
gfs ECMWF differ by more than a day, and several hundred miles.

Thus, kept chances of precip in the 30-50% range, showing some
improvement from west to east on thanksgiving. Solutions will
likely change several times by early next week, when the closer
time period should consolidate to more agreeable solutions.

Dml

Marine
Northerly winds will continue to weaken as the center of a high
pressure system moves into the region. Winds will then swing
around to a southerly direction by the weekend as the high moves
east of the area. This onshore flow will be short-lived as
another front moves into the northwestern gulf of mexico late
Sunday into Monday.

Preliminary point temps pops
Aex 53 36 65 40 0 0 0 0
lch 55 39 65 45 0 0 0 0
lft 53 37 64 42 0 0 0 0
bpt 55 40 65 47 0 0 0 0

Lch watches warnings advisories
La... Freeze warning until 9 am cst this morning for laz027>033-
041>045-052>055-073-074.

Tx... Freeze warning until 9 am cst this morning for txz180-201-215-
216-259>262.

Gm... None.

Public... 08


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX 20 mi33 min NNW 4.1 G 6 39°F 59°F1027 hPa
BKTL1 23 mi33 min 58°F
SBPT2 - 8770570 - Sabine Pass North, TX 27 mi33 min NW 2.9 G 8 42°F 60°F1028.5 hPa
LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA 28 mi33 min 35°F 52°F1026.5 hPa
TXPT2 29 mi33 min WNW 2.9 G 6 39°F 53°F1026.4 hPa
CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA 30 mi33 min N 11 G 12 40°F 56°F1025.1 hPa
KCVW 31 mi18 min N 5.1 39°F 32°F
SRST2 - Sabine Pass, TX 33 mi63 min NW 2.9 G 4.1 35°F 1027.3 hPa (-0.6)
KVBS 43 mi28 min NNE 11 46°F 25°F

Wind History for Port Arthur, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orange, Orange County Airport, TX5 mi68 minN 010.00 miFair32°F32°F100%1027.4 hPa
Southland Field, LA18 mi68 minN 010.00 miFair34°F30°F86%1027.4 hPa
Beaumont/Port Arthur Southeast Texas Regional Airport, TX19 mi70 minN 010.00 miFair32°F28°F85%1026.6 hPa

Wind History from ORG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW4NW3NW4NW3NW4N5N5N10
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NW7NW3CalmCalmNW3CalmNW3NW3NW3N4CalmCalm
1 day agoN11
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N6N7NW4NW7NW5NW4NW3
2 days agoE5E5N4N5N6NE6NE3NW4N6
G15
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G19
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G18

Tide / Current Tables for Mesquite Point, Sabine Pass, Texas
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Mesquite Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:40 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:54 AM CST     First Quarter
Thu -- 01:05 PM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:09 PM CST     0.45 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:19 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 11:58 PM CST     1.38 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.41.31.31.21.21.11.11.110.90.80.70.60.50.40.50.50.60.80.91.11.31.4

Tide / Current Tables for Sabine Pass, North, Texas
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Sabine Pass
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:39 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:54 AM CST     First Quarter
Thu -- 01:05 PM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:07 PM CST     0.49 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:19 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 11:49 PM CST     1.54 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.51.41.31.21.21.11.11.11.110.90.80.70.50.50.50.60.811.21.31.41.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Lake Charles, LA (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Lake Charles, LA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.