Monday, June26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Orange, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:14AMSunset 8:21PM Monday June 26, 2017 3:51 AM CDT (08:51 UTC) Moonrise 8:03AMMoonset 9:48PM Illumination 5% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 345 Am Cdt Mon Jun 26 2017
Today..East winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..East winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
GMZ400 Synopsis For Lower Atchafalaya River La To High Island Tx Out 60 Nm Including Sabine And Calcasieu Lakes And Vermilion Bay 345 Am Cdt Mon Jun 26 2017
Synopsis.. Light northeast to east winds are expected through Tuesday as a weak frontal boundary meanders near the coast. The weak front, combined with deep moisture, will allow for scattered showers and Thunderstorms through midweek. High pressure settling east of the area will provide a more predominate southeast flow Tuesday night into Wednesday, with winds and seas increasing by the end of the week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orange, TX
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location: 30.1, -93.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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Fxus64 klch 260456
afdlch
area forecast discussion
national weather service lake charles la
1156 pm cdt Sun jun 25 2017

Discussion
For 06z TAF issuance.

Aviation
Other than accounting for ongoing mainly stratiform rains behind
the convection which formed along a significant outflow boundary
which passed earlier this evening, no significant changes to
previous TAF thinking.

25

Prev discussion issued 1120 pm cdt Sun jun 25 2017
discussion... Outflow was generated this evening from a nearshore
waters convective complex. Outflow generated considerable shower
and thunderstorm activity over jefferson and lower orange
counties of southeast texas as it moved inland prompting a flash
flood warning. 2 to 3 inches of rainfall was common across the
warned area and isolated 3 inches plus. Stronger convection has
ended with generally stratiform rains lingering.

No changes to ongoing forecast. Will maintain low end pops through
the remainder of the night over the southern portion of the area
and nearshore waters, dry north.

Prev discussion... Issued 704 pm cdt Sun jun 25 2017
discussion...

for 00z TAF issuance.

Aviation...

maintaining vc mention at all SRN terminals first hour or so given
activity currently associated with weak passing sfc boundary noted
on local 88ds... Thereafter expecting a quiet night rain-wise with
loss of heating. Not expecting much in the way of low clouds
overnight given lack of sfc-h9 moisture in forecast time-height
sections. After sunrise, expectingVFR conditions to continue to
prevail although vcsh was re-introduced as the front meanders
around the region.

25
prev discussion... Issued 315 pm cdt Sun jun 25 2017
discussion...

weather map show frontal boundary to the coast with northeasterly
winds behind it. Slightly drier air with dewpts in the upper 60s
across central louisiana, but further south dewpts still in the
mid upper 70s. Radar shows much less convection than expected
earlier. Left 50% for SE tx S la into the coastal waters for the
next couple of hours of MAX heating, as the hrrr still insists of
development. After sunset this evening, lingering convection if
any should be confined to the coast and coastal waters. Slightly
cooler and drier air will only be noted across central louisiana,
where overnight lows will dip into the upper 60s. Elsewhere, lower
to mid 70s expected.

With the frontal boundary expected to remain nearly stationary
along the coast and coastal waters, at least a lower end chance of
showers and a few thunderstorms will remain across SE tx S la
Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday, the front is expected to
dissipate with a predominate southeast flow resuming across the
region, bringing with it increased gulf moisture and higher
chances of showers and thunderstorms. This trend should continue
into Thursday, with precipitation chances gradually diminishing to
near climatological ~20-30% for the weekend as high pressure aloft
gradually builds westward over the region.

Dml
marine...

light northeast to easterly winds expected this evening and
overnight as a weak frontal boundary stalls near the coast, with a
chance for showers and thunderstorms. Winds and seas will be
higher near the storms. High pressure will ridge across the
northern gulf by mid-week, providing a more predominate moderate
southeast flow and increased seas by Friday.

Preliminary point temps pops
Aex 68 88 69 88 20 20 10 30
lch 73 87 73 87 30 30 20 40
lft 71 87 71 87 30 30 20 40
bpt 73 87 73 88 30 30 20 40

Lch watches warnings advisories
La... None.

Tx... None.

Gm... None.

Aviation... 04


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX 20 mi51 min NE 4.1 G 7 76°F 84°F1019 hPa (-1.3)
BKTL1 23 mi51 min 84°F
SBPT2 - 8770570 - Sabine Pass North, TX 27 mi51 min NNE 8.9 G 11 78°F 86°F1020.1 hPa (-1.5)
LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA 28 mi51 min 75°F 82°F1019.9 hPa (-1.4)
TXPT2 29 mi51 min NE 8 G 9.9 77°F 84°F1018.8 hPa (-1.5)
CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA 30 mi51 min NE 7 G 8.9 77°F 85°F
KCVW 31 mi36 min NNE 8 77°F 75°F
SRST2 - Sabine Pass, TX 33 mi51 min NE 7 G 8 77°F 1019 hPa (-1.6)76°F
KVBS 43 mi31 min N 11 81°F 75°F

Wind History for Port Arthur, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orange, Orange County Airport, TX5 mi56 minNE 310.00 miFair74°F72°F92%1020 hPa
Southland Field, LA18 mi56 minENE 510.00 miFair76°F70°F81%1019.6 hPa

Wind History from ORG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE3NE7NE6NE4NE5E6NE4E4E7CalmN3CalmNE4N4NE8NE6E6CalmSW3CalmN3N4CalmNE3
1 day agoS4CalmCalmCalmNW5W4CalmS6S4SW8NW10
G15
NW4N7N6NE4NE3CalmE3E4E3CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoS8S8S11
G16
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S12S13
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S9S6S4S4S3CalmS5S4S5

Tide / Current Tables for Orange (Old Navy Base), Texas
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Orange (Old Navy Base)
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:10 AM CDT     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:15 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:03 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:22 PM CDT     0.81 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:18 PM CDT     0.71 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:44 PM CDT     0.72 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:20 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:47 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.1-0-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.10.10.30.40.60.70.80.80.80.80.80.70.70.70.70.70.60.5

Tide / Current Tables for Rainbow Bridge, Neches River, Texas
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Rainbow Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:27 AM CDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:16 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:04 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:46 PM CDT     1.00 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:31 PM CDT     0.94 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:15 PM CDT     0.98 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:20 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:48 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.1-0-0.1-0.1-00.10.30.50.70.9111110.90.91110.90.80.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Lake Charles, LA (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Lake Charles, LA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.