Friday, January19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Orange, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 5:42PM Friday January 19, 2018 10:57 AM CST (16:57 UTC) Moonrise 8:51AMMoonset 8:10PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ430 Sabine Lake- 1021 Am Cst Fri Jan 19 2018
Rest of today..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of rain showers through the night. Patchy fog after midnight.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Patchy fog. Slight chance of rain showers.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Areas of fog. Slight chance of rain showers.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..South winds around 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of rain showers in the evening. Slight chance of Thunderstorms through the night. Rain showers after midnight.
Monday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of rain showers in the morning.
Monday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
GMZ400 Synopsis For Lower Atchafalaya River La To High Island Tx Out 60 Nm Including Sabine And Calcasieu Lakes And Vermilion Bay 1021 Am Cst Fri Jan 19 2018
Synopsis.. Winds to swing to the southeast today as surface high pressure moves east of the region. A light to moderate onshore flow will then persist into the weekend, with another front expected to move through late Sunday into early Monday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orange, TX
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location: 30.1, -93.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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Fxus64 klch 191623
afdlch
area forecast discussion
national weather service lake charles la
1023 am cst Fri jan 19 2018
update... Cloudy skies today will hold afternoon temps back a bit
as high pressure has slid off to the east. As a result... Winds
have become southeast this morning with dew points 10 degrees
warmer this am than yesterday. This warming trend will continue
into the weekend ahead of the next system late Sunday.

Radar is noticing light rain moving up the texas coast attm. It
is expected into SE tx spreading into SRN la during the afternoon
hours. Rains will remain generally south of the i-10 corridor.

Prev discussion... Issued 534 am cst Fri jan 19 2018
discussion...

for the 19 12z TAF issuance.

Aviation...

short wave moving out of lower texas is pushing mid level moisture
into the forecast area with a broken cloud deck from 6k to 9k
feet. Some returns are showing up on radar. However, low levels
still look to stay too dry as easterly flow from surface ridge
over the gulf south will provide mainly a continental air mass in
the lowest layers. Therefore, any sprinkle activity or very light
rain should stay south of TAF sites during the day, and conditions
are expected to beVFR at all sites with just the cloud deck
between 5k and 7k feet.

As surface ridge continues to move further east tonight, a bit
more of a southeast flow will develop in the low levels, and this
will help push a coastal trough warm frontal boundary up the texas
coast to near southeast texas and southwest louisiana. Therefore,
ceilings will be lowering at klch to MVFR after 20 06z with vcsh,
and lowering at kbpt to MVFR after 20 03z with vcsh. At kbpt,
ceilings may lower further after 20 08z to near ifr, with some
patchy fog and drizzle possible as the warm frontal boundary nears
the terminal.

Rua
prev discussion... Issued 414 am cst Fri jan 19 2018
discussion...

short term... Today and Saturday...

a widespread stratus deck moved into the region through the
overnight hours in advance of an upper level shortwave trough.

These stratus have limited cooling during the overnight hours with
most locations in the mid to upper 30s. These clouds are expected
to persist through the day and will limit insolation across the
region. However, warm air advection is expected to begin as winds
shift to the southeast in response to surface high pressure moving
east of the region. This should allow temperatures to climb into
the balmy low 50s today.

The development of return flow will also result in deep layer
moisture increasing over the next several days. Meanwhile, the
shortwave trough currently over S texas will lift northeastward
across the region resulting in an environment conducive for
ascent. This will result in increasing chances for scattered
showers today through Saturday. Temperatures will continue to
increase with highs in the low mid 60s expected.

Long term... Sunday through Friday...

model guidance continues to be in agreement that a more
significant upper level trough will progress across the
mississippi river valley from late Sunday through Monday. The
associated cold front will provide forcing for ascent that will
support the development of rain and a slight chance for
thunderstorms during this timeframe. Compared to 24 hours ago, the
latest round of model guidance is slightly less progressive. As a
result, pops were decreased for Sunday and increased for Monday
morning.

The cold front still looks like it should be out of the region by
Monday afternoon. Fortunately, the airmass in the wake of the next
cold front will not be of canadian origin. Thus, temperatures
behind it are not expected to be as extreme over the past several
weeks and should fall to near climatological normals through the
middle of next week. High pressure will keep conditions dry until
the next upper level trough approaches the region around the
timeframe of late next week into next weekend. However,
confidence in the exact timing of the progression of this trough
is low as it will be dependent on the evolution of a trough over
the northern pacific.

Marine...

winds to swing to the southeast today as surface high pressure
moves east of the region. A light to moderate onshore flow will
then persist through the weekend. The onshore flow will usher
warm, moist air over the cool coastal waters and likely result in
the formation of areas of sea fog. Patchy areas of sea fog will
develop tonight then become more widespread Saturday and Saturday
night. The areas of sea fog are expected to persist through late
Sunday before a cold front moves through the coastal waters. In
addition to ending any fog, the cold front will bring the
potential for thunderstorms over the coastal waters through Monday
morning.

Preliminary point temps pops
Aex 48 41 65 53 10 10 20 20
lch 53 48 68 56 20 30 20 10
lft 53 45 67 55 10 10 20 10
bpt 55 51 69 58 30 40 30 20

Lch watches warnings advisories
La... None.

Tx... None.

Gm... None.

K. Kuyper


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX 20 mi57 min E 7 G 8.9 42°F 1027.8 hPa (+0.7)
BKTL1 23 mi57 min 50°F
SBPT2 - 8770570 - Sabine Pass North, TX 27 mi57 min NE 6 G 8 43°F 49°F1029.5 hPa (+1.1)
LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA 28 mi57 min 44°F 47°F1028 hPa (+0.5)
TXPT2 29 mi57 min ENE 9.9 G 12 42°F 45°F1027.3 hPa (+1.2)
CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA 30 mi57 min ESE 8 G 8.9 43°F 46°F1027 hPa (+0.8)
KCVW 31 mi42 min E 8 45°F 30°F
SRST2 - Sabine Pass, TX 33 mi57 min E 8 G 11 45°F 1028.1 hPa (+1.4)36°F

Wind History for Port Arthur, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orange, Orange County Airport, TX5 mi62 minE 47.00 miOvercast43°F32°F65%1029.1 hPa
Southland Field, LA18 mi62 minESE 510.00 miOvercast45°F26°F49%1028.8 hPa
Beaumont/Port Arthur Southeast Texas Regional Airport, TX19 mi64 minE 810.00 miOvercast44°F30°F60%1027.5 hPa

Wind History from ORG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE6CalmE4SE4E3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3NE3CalmCalmCalmE4E3NE3E5E4
1 day agoN8
G16
N7NE6NE6N7N5N3N3N4N3NE3NE3NE4CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE5NE8NE7CalmNE6E5
2 days agoN11
G18
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N7
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G17
N10N9N5N8N6--N8--N4N5N6N7----N5NE8
G14
N9NE11
G16
N8

Tide / Current Tables for Orange (Old Navy Base), Texas
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Orange (Old Navy Base)
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:36 AM CST     0.62 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:04 AM CST     0.72 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:10 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:50 AM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:04 PM CST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:40 PM CST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:10 PM CST     Moonset
Fri -- 10:59 PM CST     0.69 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.70.60.60.60.70.70.70.70.60.50.40.20.1-0-0-00.10.20.30.50.60.70.7

Tide / Current Tables for Rainbow Bridge, Neches River, Texas
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Rainbow Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:15 AM CST     0.25 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:36 AM CST     0.27 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:11 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:51 AM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:28 PM CST     -0.64 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:41 PM CST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:11 PM CST     Moonset
Fri -- 10:55 PM CST     0.30 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.30.30.20.30.30.30.20.20-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.6-0.6-0.4-0.2-0.10.10.20.30.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Lake Charles, LA (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Lake Charles, LA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.