Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Parker, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:42AMSunset 7:36PM Friday May 24, 2019 12:10 PM CDT (17:10 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 10:43AM Illumination 69% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Expires:201905242230;;383553 Fzus52 Ktae 241349 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 949 Am Edt Fri May 24 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-242230- Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 949 Am Edt Fri May 24 2019 /849 Am Cdt Fri May 24 2019/
Rest of today..Southeast winds 10 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Saturday..East winds 5 to 10. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Saturday night..West winds 5 to 10. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 10 knots until early morning becoming light and variable winds. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Monday..Light and variable winds becoming west 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Monday night-Tuesday..Northwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 949 Am Edt Fri May 24 2019
Synopsis.. With surface high pressure right overhead, light winds of less than 10 knots may fluctuate in direction but will overall settle back to southerly each afternoon. Seas will be 1 to 3 feet throughout the weekend. The next chance of rain won't be until the end of the next workweek.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Parker, FL
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location: 30.13, -85.62     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 241417
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
1017 am edt Fri may 24 2019

Update
No changes to the forecast necessary.

Prev discussion [552 am edt]
Near term [through today]
A strong ridge is centered over the region today. At the surface
high pressure is centered over the southeast. A dry air mass will be
in place today with pops near zero. Skies will be mostly sunny
except for maybe some patchy fog this morning. Today will be
hotter than yesterday with highs in the mid to upper 90s away from
the immediate coast.

Short term [tonight through Monday]
The center of the deep layer ridge should be right over the fl
panhandle tonight with surface high pressure encompassing much of
the southeastern state. This ridge stays firmly in place through the
weekend with heights slowly rising. Dry weather will continue.

In terms of temps and dew point forecasts, dew points in many spots
have mixing out into the 50s the last two days which has not been
forecast by the models. It's also tough to figure out which way
to nudge the model temp forecast because we're only running about
a deg too warm. But the blends always underestimate the temps in
these strong high pressure days. Then again, just starting to
notice additional moisture coming in for mon-wed so the blended
temps that are lower than previously advertised may work out.

Saturday, Sunday and Monday will see highs around 97-100 (away
from the immediate coast). Originally, Sunday and Monday were the
hottest days but I think the clouds may keep the temps a little
more suppressed. This puts heat index values around 100-103. This
is a tad lower than previous forecasts because I manually lowered
the afternoon dew points based on trends.

Long term [Monday night through Friday]
As mentioned above, looks like some mid level clouds will be more
prevalent than previous forecasts which will continue to Tuesday and
Wednesday afternoons. The upper level ridge starts to flatten out
Wednesday night with a front and upper trough approaching on
Thursday. These really dry regimes sort of provide a feedback loop
to the atmosphere because then most fronts dry out before they get
here which is what most of the guidance is showing. We should see an
increase in clouds Thu and Fri at least. However, blended guidance
is showing some low pops Thu into Fri as the front stalls across the
area. Point of the story is that temps don't cool down. Tue will
still see highs in the upper 90s, Wed Thu in the mid to upper 90s
and then Friday in the lower to mid 90s. Tue, Wed and Thu will have
heat index values around 100 again (once again, all lower temps
will be at the immediate coast).

The last official 100 degree days (measured at each airport) for
the following areas are as follows:
dothan, al: july 1, 2012
valdosta, ga: august 23, 2014
panama city, fl: august 26, 2014
tallahassee, fl: august 23, 2016
albany, ga: june 25, 2018
record high temperatures and record high minimum temperatures at
tallahassee, fl:
may 24: 100 in 1941
high min: 71 in 1899
may 25: 100 in 1953
high min: 73 in 1938
may 26: 100 in 2012
high min: 73 in 1951
may 27: 102 in 1953
high min: 71 in 1972
may 28: 100 in 2000
high min: 70 in 1934
record high temperatures at albany, ga:
may 24: 99 in 1941
may 25: 99 in 2012
may 26: 101 in 1962
may 27: 100 in 1962
may 28: 101 1962

Aviation
[through 06z Saturday]
mostly sunny clear skies are expected this TAF cycle. Some patchy
fog is possible this morning mainly near vld. Winds will be light
today with the exception of ecp getting the usual summertime
afternoon seabreeze winds.

Marine
With surface high pressure right overhead, light winds of less
than 10 knots may fluctuate in direction but will overall settle
back to southerly each afternoon. Seas will be 1 to 3 feet
throughout the weekend. The next chance of rain won't be until the
end of the next workweek.

Fire weather
A very dry air mass is in place with relative humidity values
around 30 percent today and slightly lower tomorrow. Fuels are
also dry in most locations. Red flag criteria will not be met
since winds will be light today and relative humidity values are
not quite low enough. A southerly seabreeze around 10 mph is
expected near the coast today.

Hydrology
No rain is forecast through the next week so no flooding or
hydrology concerns are expected.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 97 69 99 73 98 0 0 10 0 10
panama city 89 72 92 75 90 0 0 10 0 0
dothan 95 70 98 72 98 0 0 10 0 10
albany 96 72 99 75 98 0 0 0 0 10
valdosta 96 68 100 72 98 0 0 0 0 10
cross city 94 67 97 70 95 0 0 0 0 0
apalachicola 87 71 90 74 89 0 0 0 0 0

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Update... Nguyen
near term... Mcd
short term... Ln
long term... Ln
aviation... Mcd
marine... Ln
fire weather... Mcd
hydrology... Ln


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 3 mi59 min SSW 5.1 G 7 82°F
PCBF1 15 mi59 min S 8 G 8.9 80°F 83°F1022.3 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 44 mi53 min SE 5.1 G 8 80°F 81°F1022.3 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL4 mi4.2 hrsESE 710.00 miFair80°F70°F73%1021.3 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL18 mi18 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F63°F41%1022.3 hPa

Wind History from PAM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE7E7E6S8SW10S13S13
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S13S16S13S9S6CalmCalmCalmNW3E3E4NE3NE5E5E5SE5E7
1 day agoE4SE4S5SW6SW8--SW8SW8SW9SW7SW6SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--E5E9E7E6E7SE10
2 days agoS8S5S9S8S11S8S6S7S7--SW6--CalmCalmCalmSE3E4CalmCalmCalmCalmE3E4E4

Tide / Current Tables for Parker, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Parker
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:59 AM CDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:44 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:43 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:56 PM CDT     1.62 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:34 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0-0.1-0.2-0.1-00.10.20.40.60.811.21.41.51.61.61.61.51.31.20.90.70.50.3

Tide / Current Tables for Lynn Haven, North Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Lynn Haven
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:00 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:57 AM CDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:44 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:43 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:55 PM CDT     1.62 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:35 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0-0.1-0.2-0.1-00.10.20.40.60.811.21.41.51.61.61.61.51.31.20.90.70.50.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.