Wednesday, December12, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Panama City, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:28AMSunset 4:44PM Wednesday December 12, 2018 2:02 AM CST (08:02 UTC) Moonrise 11:31AMMoonset 10:32PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 239 Am Est Wed Dec 12 2018
Today..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light to moderate chop. Slight chance of rain after midnight.
Thursday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 4. Protected waters choppy. Chance of rain.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Gusts to 35 knots possible in the evening. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas up to 10 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Rain showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas up to 10 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Rain likely and isolated Thunderstorms.
Friday night..West winds 20 knots. Seas 8 to 11 feet with occasional seas up to 12 feet. Protected waters choppy. Chance of rain.
Saturday..West winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet with occasional seas up to 11 feet. Protected waters choppy. Slight chance of rain.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Sunday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet in the afternoon. Protected waters a light to moderate chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 239 Am Est Wed Dec 12 2018
Synopsis.. Light easterly winds will increase by tomorrow morning. Small craft advisory level winds are likely tomorrow through Saturday morning. Rain and possibly a few strong to severe Thunderstorms are likely Thursday night and Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Panama City, FL
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location: 30.15, -85.67     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 120743
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
243 am est Wed dec 12 2018

Near term [through today]
A benign pattern with zonal flow aloft and ridging at the surface is
expected across the southeast today. High-level cloudiness will
build through the day, though it will not be near as gloomy as the
past couple of days. Highs may reach 60 degrees across parts of
north florida, and will likely remain in the upper 50s elsewhere.

Short term [tonight through Friday]
In the upper levels a cut-off low will move through the lower
mississippi valley on Friday. A few minor shortwaves will move
through the pattern Thursday night and Friday. At the surface a low
over texas will move to the northeast. A cold front will move
through Thursday night and Friday. This system could bring a few
strong to severe storms. Instability will be very low but deep layer
shear will be high at 40 to 60 knots. The best chance for rain and
thunderstorms will be Thursday night and Friday. Lows will be in the
upper 30s and lower 40s on Wednesday night. Lows will be in the 50s
on Thursday night. Highs will be in the 60s.

Long term [Friday night through Wednesday]
In the upper levels a cut-off low will be over the southeast until a
ridge builds in on Sunday night. At the surface a low will be over
the southeast until a weak high moves in Sunday night. The best
chance for rain will be Friday night. Wrap around moisture behind
the low will keep clouds over the region on Saturday and possibly
Sunday. Lows will be in the 40s. Highs will be in the upper 50s and
lower 60s.

Aviation
[through 06z Thursday]
with the exception of a brief period of MVFR visibilities around vld
and tlh near sunrise,VFR will prevail through the TAF under
increasing high-level cloudiness.

Marine
Light easterly winds will increase by tomorrow morning. Small craft
advisory level winds are likely tomorrow through Saturday morning.

Rain and possibly a few strong to severe thunderstorms are likely
Thursday night and Friday.

Fire weather
Low dispersion indices are expected over the next couple of
afternoons. Red flag conditions are not expected.

Hydrology
The middle and lower suwannee river continue to rise. While the
contribution from the withlacoochee is nearing its peak, there's
still additional water on the way from the alapaha and upper
suwannee. Even with the additional water is beginning to look less
and less likely that ellaville and dowling park will reach minor
flood. However, further downstream, minor flooding is likely at
luraville and branford in the next few days.

The next storm system is expected to affect the region starting
Thursday night and continuing through Friday. While there are some
uncertainties with the overall track and intensity of the system, it
looks as though at least a couple of inches of rain are possible
across the region with some of the heaviest totals up to 4 inches
mainly across the eastern half of the region.

Even though the region is considerably wet after recent rains, a
widespread 1-2 inch rainfall event should have limited impact on
area river systems. But a heavier event exceeding 3 inches would
move some of the smaller basin rivers back to at least minor flood
stage.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 60 41 66 58 68 0 0 10 90 70
panama city 59 48 65 58 67 0 10 30 90 70
dothan 57 42 61 53 64 0 0 20 90 70
albany 57 39 62 55 66 0 0 10 80 70
valdosta 59 39 65 58 68 0 0 10 80 80
cross city 61 42 69 61 70 0 0 10 80 90
apalachicola 59 50 64 60 68 0 10 30 90 70

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... Frost advisory until 8 am est 7 am cst this morning for
coastal bay-coastal dixie-coastal franklin-coastal gulf-
coastal jefferson-coastal taylor-coastal wakulla-south
walton.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Harrigan
short term... Mcd
long term... Mcd
aviation... Harrigan
marine... Mcd
fire weather... Harrigan
hydrology... Godsey


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 0 mi32 min NNE 4.1 G 5.1 43°F 60°F1026.1 hPa
PCBF1 12 mi32 min NE 7 G 7 43°F 63°F1026 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 47 mi32 min N 4.1 G 5.1 44°F 55°F1025.6 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL7 mi66 minN 010.00 miFair39°F36°F92%1026.4 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL16 mi69 minN 010.00 miFair33°F32°F96%1026.8 hPa

Wind History from PAM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW10N11N12N9
G15
N9NE5N6N6N8N8N5CalmW4NW5W6W6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4Calm
1 day agoN12N13
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N9NW9NW8NW11NW8N9N8NW7NW7N7W9N5N7N6N8N8N6NW7N6NW6NW9
2 days agoW9W9W12W13W14NW15
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W16W14W12NW11NW12NW10NW11NW8N10N9N13N13N14NW13NW15NW10

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Panama City
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:17 AM CST     1.22 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:29 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:30 AM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:16 AM CST     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:43 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 09:33 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.21.110.80.60.40.20-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.100.10.30.40.60.70.80.91

Tide / Current Tables for Laird Bayou, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Laird Bayou
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:26 AM CST     1.42 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:28 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:29 AM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:40 PM CST     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:42 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 09:32 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.41.41.31.210.80.60.30.1-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.2-0.1-00.10.30.40.60.80.91.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.