Thursday, February22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Panama City, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:13AMSunset 5:38PM Thursday February 22, 2018 8:29 PM CST (02:29 UTC) Moonrise 11:38AMMoonset 12:16AM Illumination 53% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 336 Pm Est Thu Feb 22 2018
Tonight..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Friday..Southeast winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Friday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Saturday..Southeast winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Saturday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Sunday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 knots becoming northwest 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 336 Pm Est Thu Feb 22 2018
Synopsis.. Southeasterly winds from 10 to 15 knots will prevail through Saturday with seas near 2 to 4 feet. A cold front will move into area waters late Sunday night into Monday. The front may eventually stall over the northeast gulf of mexico Tuesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Panama City, FL
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location: 30.15, -85.67     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 230221
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
921 pm est Thu feb 22 2018

Near term [through tonight]
00 utc surface analysis shows an area of high pressure off the
southeast in the western atlantic. This has generally light
southeast to southerly flow in place across the region. The local
airmass near the surface remains quite humid with surface dewpoints
in the lower 60s. The 00 utc ktae sounding shows a very dry airmass
in place generally above 850mb.

Primary concern tonight is for fog development. Last couple of
satellite images does show some increasing low cloudiness over
the florida big bend, but no obvious signs of low stratus
developing yet. While there is some potential for fog stratus to
develop across the region by morning, the best chance looks to be
across south central georgia, as shown in the last few runs of the
hrrr. This is currently depicted well in the inherited forecast,
so no changes are planned at this time. Temperatures are on track
and lows should be around 60.

Prev discussion [636 pm est]
Short term [Friday and Saturday night]
Deep layer ridge will slowly be shifting eastward resulting in more
southerly low level flow developing by Saturday. Slightly higher
mainly layer moisture will begin edging eastward into the portions
of the fl panhandle and southeast al Saturday but not enough to
warrant mention of showers due largely to dry air aloft. The large
ridge affecting the region will continue the pattern of warm and
generally dry weather. High temps in the lower to mid 80s with lows
in the lower 60s with some patchy fog possible. By Saturday
night... Large mid to upper level trough over the central conus
pushes ewd as shortwave energy moves into the tn and ohio valley
areas. This will help bring a cold front to from central tn to the
lower ms valley by early Sunday morning. Continued with a low chance
of showers over the WRN zones as moisture ahead of the front
supports a few showers. Warmer overnight lows in the lower to middle
60s expected.

Long term [Sunday through Thursday]
As mid-upper level trough and cold front move into the area Sunday
and Monday elevated rain chances are expected. Some instability will
lead to chances of isolated thunderstorms along with the showers
from Sunday into Monday. A weak wave of low pressure may develop
Monday over al and ga and move northeastward. This low pressure will
help drive the front southeastward but upper level flow becomes less
conducive for ascent as main energy shifts northeast. By Monday
night into Tuesday... 500 mb heights become more zonal and the front
will stall over northeast gulf waters with sfc high pressure builds
north of the area. Lower rain chances anticipated during this period.

Front may work back northward Wed and Thu with a low chance of
showers anticipated again. Highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s are
possible again on Sunday, with highs mainly in the 70s next week
after the front moves slightly south of our area though could see
highs reach around 80 again by Thursday south-southwest low level
flow develops as front pushes back north of the area.

Aviation [through 00z Saturday]
MVFR conditions are expected in the early morning hours at aby and
tlh. Ifr conditions are likely at vld. Patchy fog is expected
also.VFR conditions will return mid to late morning.

Marine
Easterly to southeasterly winds from 10 to 15 knots will prevail
through Saturday... With more southerly flow Sunday ahead of the next
cold front. Cold front will move into area waters Sunday night into
Monday which will then stall then move back northward by mid week.

Seas will generally range from 2 to 4 feet with highest seas across
our southwestern marine zones.

Fire weather
No fire weather concerns are anticipated through the next several
days as high rh values persist across our area.

Hydrology
Little to no rainfall is expected for the next few days. The next
chance of moderate to heavy rainfall will be from Sunday through
Monday, mainly across northern and western parts of our area.

However, latest models have decreased projected rainfall totals
during this period, so widespread flooding does not appear likely.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 59 83 61 83 62 0 0 0 10 10
panama city 62 78 62 77 66 0 0 10 10 20
dothan 60 82 61 82 65 0 0 0 10 20
albany 60 81 61 83 63 0 10 0 10 10
valdosta 60 81 63 84 62 0 20 10 10 10
cross city 59 83 60 84 61 0 10 10 10 10
apalachicola 62 76 63 76 65 0 0 10 10 20

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk until 1 am est midnight cst Friday for
coastal bay-south walton.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Godsey
short term... Ars
long term... Ars
aviation... Mcd
marine... Ars
fire weather... Ars
hydrology... Ars


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 0 mi41 min SSE 5.1 G 6 70°F 73°F1028.2 hPa
PCBF1 12 mi41 min SE 5.1 G 8 69°F 70°F1028.2 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 47 mi41 min W 1 G 1.9 68°F 69°F1027.9 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 49 mi104 min S 1 70°F 67°F

Wind History for Panama City, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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SE6
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G21
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E1
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G31
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G26
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SE7
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G10

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL7 mi33 minSE 310.00 miFair66°F64°F95%1028.1 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL16 mi36 minN 010.00 miFair66°F63°F90%1028.8 hPa

Wind History from PAM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE6CalmE4NE4NE3SE5E5E3CalmE3E3NE3E6SE13SE10
G18
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S14S12S11S12S7SE6SE4SE3
1 day agoSE6E4E4E4E3E3E5E4E8SE8E7SE8SE14
G21
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G24
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SE18S16SE18
G25
S13S12SE9E3SE5
2 days agoCalmE3CalmCalmE7E5E8E8E8E7E6E9E9SE11SE21
G27
SE22
G28
SE21
G28
SE20
G26
SE17SE16SE14SE10SE7E5

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Panama City
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:28 AM CST     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:15 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:37 AM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:18 PM CST     0.91 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:36 PM CST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.90.90.90.80.70.60.50.30.1-0

Tide / Current Tables for Lynn Haven, North Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Lynn Haven
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:04 AM CST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:16 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:37 AM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:05 PM CST     0.99 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:36 PM CST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.1-0.1-0.1-000.10.10.20.30.40.60.70.80.91110.90.70.60.40.2-0-0.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.