Sunrise 6:34 AM   Sunset 8:09 PM Moonrise 5:43 AM   Moonset 8:08 PM

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AMZ452 Expires:202405090915;;873615 Fzus52 Kjax 090010 Cwfjax
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 810 pm edt Wed may 8 2024
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-090915- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 810 pm edt Wed may 8 2024
Rest of tonight - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Thursday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Thursday night - Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers, mainly in the evening. Friday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 3 seconds and southeast 2 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Friday night - West winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: west 2 feet at 3 seconds and southeast 2 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Saturday and Saturday night - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: northeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Sunday - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters light chop. Monday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Monday night - Southeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 810 Pm Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis -
atlantic high pressure will continue to extend its axis westward across the florida peninsula through Thursday night. Southerly evening wind surges are expected this evening and again on Thursday evening, bringing wind speeds up to caution levels for the offshore waters. Meanwhile, a strong cold front will enter the southeastern states on Thursday night, with chances for showers and Thunderstorms increasing ahead of this boundary from late Thursday afternoon through Friday evening. A few rounds of strong to severe Thunderstorms will be possible during this time frame, with damaging wind gusts, hail, and frequent lightning strikes possible within any severe Thunderstorms that develop. The cold front will cross our local waters on Friday afternoon and evening, with high pressure then gradually building to the north of our area later this weekend and early next week in the wake of this frontal passage, resulting in prevailing onshore winds during this time period.
Gulf stream -
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 07, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
64 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 73 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 85 nautical miles east southeast of jacksonville beach. 99 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KJAX 082317 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 717 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

New AVIATION

NEAR TERM
(through Tonight)
Issued at 315 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Breezy southwesterly winds in the boundary later overnight will likely advect another stratus layer inland from the northeast Gulf of Mexico across the Suwannee Valley and inland southeast GA after midnight, with this stratus layer then potentially shifting eastward across U.S. Highway 301 during the predawn hours. Lows tonight will only fall to the upper 60s and lower 70s area-wide.

SHORT TERM
(Thursday through Friday night)
Issued at 315 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Breezy southwest winds will be in place ahead of a cold front moving south to the area. Ahead of the cold front, a line of showers and storms will begin to move across the area on Thursday afternoon/evening. With the latest update, SPC has placed areas north of Waycross, GA into an Enhanced Risk (level 3 out of 5) for severe thunderstorm development, with the primarily concern of damaging wind gusts (with gusts from 50-70 mph), along with Hail up to 1" as well as the possibility of isolated tornadoes as the line of storms moves through SE GA into NE FL. Storms will begin to move offshore by the early evening hours, allowing for a respite from the more severe storms during the overnight hours.

By Friday morning, activity will begin to increase as the cold front begins to move across the area. The majority of the area will be in a Marginal Risk (1 out of 5) for severe thunderstorm development, again damaging wind gusts will be the main concern for storms that do develop. Activity will begin to dwindle as evening arrives, as the cold front will have move through to the south of NE FL.

Before the cold front's arrival, Thursday's daytime temperatures will again reach near record levels as most areas will see daytime highs in the mid 90s, leading to Heat Index values ranging from the mid 90s to 100s. Temperatures will trend down a bit on Friday as the front begins to move through the area, locations north of the I-10 corridor will top out in the mid to upper 80s, while locations along the St. Johns River Basin will top out in the lower 90s.

LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 315 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

The weekend will be marked by a quiet weather pattern with high pressure beginning to build into the area after the cold front's passage. The next round of activity currently looks to move in during the early portion of the following week as high pressure begins to weaken over the area.

The cold front will usher in cooler temperatures through the weekend and into next week, as daytime temperatures will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s over SE GA and from the lower 80s to upper 80s.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 717 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

VFR conditions are expected through the evening, with occasional gusty winds. Overnight, MVFR visibilities at VQQ are possible, and a lower MVFR ceiling at GNV just before sunrise. Gusty southwesterly winds will fill in after sunrise, at this time only SSI has VCTS in the TAFs given the timing uncertainty and progression of severe thunderstorms southward tomorrow. The Duval sites will likely see thunderstorm activity just near or after 00Z.

MARINE
Issued at 315 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Atlantic high pressure will continue to extend its axis westward across the Florida peninsula through Thursday night. Southerly evening wind surges are expected this evening and again on Thursday evening, bringing wind speeds up to Caution levels of 15 to 20 knots for the offshore waters. Seas of 2-4 feet will prevail through Thursday night for the near shore waters, with 3-5 foot seas prevailing offshore.

Meanwhile, a strong cold front will enter the southeastern states on Thursday night, with chances for showers and thunderstorms increasing ahead of this boundary from Thursday afternoon through Friday evening. A few rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible during this time frame, with damaging wind gusts, hail, and frequent lightning strikes possible within any severe thunderstorms that develop. The cold front will cross our local waters on Friday afternoon and evening, with high pressure then gradually building to the north of our area later this weekend and early next week in the wake of this frontal passage, resulting in prevailing onshore winds during this time period. Seas of 2-4 feet will prevail both near shore and offshore from Friday through the weekend.

Rip Currents: Breezy onshore winds developing this afternoon and again on Thursday afternoon will combine with a northeasterly ocean swell to create a moderate rip current risk at all area beaches on both afternoons. Breezy offshore winds on Friday should reduce the risk to low at all area beaches.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 315 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Southwesterly transport winds will strengthen further on Thursday, creating high daytime dispersion values for most locations east of the Interstate 75 corridor during the afternoon hours.
Otherwise, a hot and dry air mass over our region will result in minimum relative humidity values falling to around 35 percent at most inland locations this afternoon, with minimum values again around 35 percent forecast for most locations east of I-75 on Thursday afternoon. Strong west-southwesterly transport winds on Friday will again create good to marginally high daytime dispersion values, except for high values across portions of north central FL. A few rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible from Thursday afternoon through Friday evening, with damaging wind gusts, hail, and frequent lightning strikes possible within any severe thunderstorms that develop. Surface and transport winds will shift to northwesterly on Saturday, with a cooler and drier air mass dropping relative humidity values to the 30-35 percent range at inland locations on Saturday afternoon.

CLIMATE
Issued at 1232 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Daily record Maximum Temperatures at the local climate sites for...

Today, May 8th
JAX 96/1959
CRG 93/1977
GNV 97/1955
AMG 95/1962

Thursday, May 9th
JAX 96/1962
CRG 93/2008
GNV 95/2011
AMG 95/1962

Friday, May 10th
JAX 94/2017
CRG 95/2003
GNV 95/2011
AMG 95/2011

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 69 92 72 85 / 10 40 40 80 SSI 74 93 74 86 / 0 20 40 80 JAX 70 95 73 89 / 0 10 20 80 SGJ 73 95 73 91 / 0 10 10 70 GNV 70 92 72 88 / 0 10 10 80 OCF 71 92 73 89 / 0 0 10 60

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.

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Oak Landing
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:10 AM EDT     -2.33 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:34 AM EDT     1.57 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:20 PM EDT     -2.87 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:08 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Oak Landing, ICWW, Florida (2), Tide feet

St. Johns River Entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:45 AM EDT     -2.69 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:41 AM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:42 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 08:10 AM EDT     2.06 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 11:03 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 01:49 PM EDT     -2.37 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:24 PM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:23 PM EDT     3.03 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 09:08 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 11:39 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

St. Johns River Entrance, Florida Current, knots

Full Color Weather Map

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Jacksonville, FL,