Thursday, March30, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Orange Beach, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 7:08PM Thursday March 30, 2017 7:31 PM CDT (00:31 UTC) Moonrise 8:42AMMoonset 10:09PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ633 Perdido Bay- 351 Pm Cdt Thu Mar 30 2017
Tonight..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west. A light chop becoming smooth to a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop.
Friday night..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Smooth to a light chop becoming smooth.
Saturday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast. Smooth becoming smooth to a light chop.
Saturday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast. Smooth to a light chop becoming smooth.
Sunday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Smooth to a light chop becoming a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Choppy to rough. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Choppy to rough. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop.
Tuesday..West winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 351 Pm Cdt Thu Mar 30 2017
Synopsis..A light to moderate southerly wind flow will shift west to northwest overnight as a line of strong Thunderstorms moves east and a weak cold front advances through the marine area. Light westerly winds will follow Friday and Friday evening...then shift to the north after midnight as another weak cold front approaching from the north moves offshore. Southerly winds redevelop over the weekend and increase Sunday night into Monday as another upper system approaches from the west.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orange Beach, AL
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location: 30.22, -87.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 302331
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
631 pm cdt Thu mar 30 2017

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
00z issuance... As a line moves east of the area, lifr/ifr
cigs/visbys will rise to generalVFR over the area. With the rain
received over the area, as skies clear, am expecting a drop in
visbys due to fog overnight, with a good chance of lifr level
visbys in dense fog over a good portion of the area. After this
fog burns off in the morning, generalVFR level cigs/visbys for
the day Friday.

/16

Prev discussion /issued 300 pm cdt Thu mar 30 2017/
near term /now through Friday/... Ongoing strong to potentially
severe thunderstorms east of the alabama river will continue to
move east this evening, with the thunderstorms exiting the eastern
portion of the forecast area between 10 pm and midnight. Isolated
to scattered rain showers in the wake of the line of
thunderstorms and along a weak cold front approaching the region
from the northwest will linger through this evening, and then
finally move east of the forecast are by late tonight as the front
passes through. Skies will clear on Friday followed by sunny
skies and continued above normal temperatures.

Low temperatures tonight will range from 52 to 57 degrees, and
around 60 degrees along the beaches. High temperatures Friday will
range from 78 to 83 degrees inland areas, with mid 70s along the
beaches. /22
short term /Friday night through Sunday night/... Upper riding
builds over the area through Saturday as a trough digs over the
southwestern states. This results in dry weather with above normal
temperatures. Highs on Saturday and Sunday will be in the low to
mid 80s in most areas. The ridge begins to move eastward on Sunday
as the strong shortwave and an associated sfc low move east.

Showers and thunderstorms will begin to move into the area late in
the day on Sunday with the better chances coming Sunday night. /13
long term /Monday through Thursday/... As this system ejects
northeast Sunday night into Monday it will take on a neutral to
slightly negative tilt. Based on the position of the upper
shortwave and associated sfc low, the central gulf coast will be
in a favorable position for seeing strong to severe thunderstorms
Sunday night into Monday. Deep layer wind fields along with
instability levels will set the stage for all modes of severe
storms. Strong forcing along with slow movement will also lead the
potential of very heavy rain. This will definitely bear watching
over the next few days. A dry period follows on Tuesday into early
Wednesday. The next system approaches on Wednesday as northern
stream trough moving across the ohio valley sends a cold front
southward toward the gulf coast. This will bring the next chance
of showers and storms Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night.

/13
marine... Moderate southerly wind flow will shift west to northwest
overnight and diminish to 10 to 15 knots. Southerly winds redevelop
over the weekend and building by early next week as another upper
system approaches from the west. /22

Mob watches/warnings/advisories
Al... High rip current risk until 6 am cdt Friday for alz265-266.

Fl... High rip current risk until 6 am cdt Friday for flz202-204-206.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.Gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PPTA1 4 mi61 min E 8.9 67°F 1008.8 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 11 mi41 min E 18 G 21 67°F 71°F3 ft1007.1 hPa (-2.8)61°F
WBYA1 20 mi43 min 76°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 20 mi106 min 64°F 62°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 22 mi43 min NE 9.9 G 15 1008.7 hPa
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 25 mi43 min E 21 G 26 67°F
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 27 mi31 min ESE 23 G 25 68°F 1005.3 hPa (-5.1)
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 28 mi61 min ESE 26 67°F 1005.4 hPa
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 31 mi61 min ESE 17 69°F 1006.4 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 35 mi61 min ESE 24 1005.1 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 37 mi61 min ESE 8 64°F 1006.4 hPa
PTOA1 40 mi43 min 66°F 60°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 40 mi43 min E 8.9 G 12 66°F 74°F1006.9 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 42 mi43 min 1006.1 hPa
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 47 mi106 min ESE 14 68°F 1008 hPa62°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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S7
S6
G9
SE4
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G6
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G11
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G13
S9
G13
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G16
S11
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G14
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SW6
G9
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G8
SW3
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G8
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G11
S12
G17
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G15
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G17
S9
G15
W8
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N7
G11
NE3
G7
1 day
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S10
SW7
G10
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G11
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G11
SW7
G10
SW6
G9
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G8
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SE2
SE1
SE1
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G5
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G6
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G9
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G10
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G7
2 days
ago
S9
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G11
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G11
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G12
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G12
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G11
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G9
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SW6
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S8
G11
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S9
G13
S9
G14
S9
SW8
G12
SW7
G11
SW8
G11

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jack Edwards Airport, AL8 mi36 minSSE 610.00 miLight Drizzle63°F62°F99%1007.8 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL16 mi35 minENE 1010.00 miLight Rain65°F62°F90%1008.1 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL24 mi56 minESE 1110.00 miLight Rain61°F60°F100%1007.1 hPa

Wind History from JKA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE11SE10SE11
G17
SE8
G15
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S7S7S7S6S3SE4SE11
G15
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G18
SE13
G20
SE14
G21
SE14
G22
SE15
G19
NW11
G23
NW9
G17
N5E8
G15
E17
1 day agoS8S8S9S8S7CalmSE3SE4SE5SE5SE4S5SE8SE10
G14
SE11
G15
SE12
G18
S10
G16
SE8
G14
S10
G14
SE8
G17
S9
G14
SE12
G16
SE10SE10
G15
2 days agoS7S8S6S7S6S6S6S5S6S6S4S4SW4SW6SW8S6SW8
G15
--S7
G14
SW8S6S8S7S7

Tide / Current Tables for Bon Secour, Bon Secour River, Alabama
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Bon Secour
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:42 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:42 AM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:46 PM CDT     1.49 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:08 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:09 PM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:55 PM CDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.40.50.60.60.70.80.80.911.11.21.41.51.51.41.31.20.90.70.50.30.20.2

Tide / Current Tables for Nix Point, Perdido Bay, Florida
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Nix Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:48 AM CDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:40 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:41 AM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:19 PM CDT     0.63 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:07 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:08 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0000.10.10.20.20.30.30.40.40.40.50.60.60.60.60.60.50.50.40.30.20.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.