Thursday, July19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Orange Beach, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:58AMSunset 7:52PM Thursday July 19, 2018 1:08 AM CDT (06:08 UTC) Moonrise 12:57PMMoonset 12:13AM Illumination 37% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ633 Perdido Bay- 938 Pm Cdt Wed Jul 18 2018
Rest of tonight..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming west. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Saturday..West winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..West winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..West winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 938 Pm Cdt Wed Jul 18 2018
Synopsis..Moderate westerly winds diminish overnight into Thursday morning. The westerly flow becomes moderate to occasionally strong this weekend before diminishing again on Monday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orange Beach, AL
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location: 30.22, -87.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 190454 aac
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
1154 pm cdt Wed jul 18 2018

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
06z issuance... Radar trends indicate that much of the area is
void of weather. Satellite and surface observations indicate cloud
cover over the local area is at mid and high levels but there are
indications for the potential development of ifr MVFR CIGS by and
after 19.08z at mob. Forecasters are seeing some of this over
southern ms and southeast la. Elsewhere,VFR cigs. Winds light.

Another round of convection forecast during the day Thursday. 10

Prev discussion issued 932 pm cdt Wed jul 18 2018
discussion... See updated information for land areas below.

Update... Have updated to adjust pops for numerous showers and
storms well inland which are gradually diminishing. Small pops
follow for the overnight hours over the southern portion of the
area as the diminishing convection continues slowly southward.

Made additional adjustments to temperature trends and winds. 29
prev discussion... Issued 712 pm cdt Wed jul 18 2018
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance... Have kept in -shra as prevailing weather thru
19.02z along the gulf coast given radar trends and to allow time
for further dissipation. Additional clusters of tsra over the
interior, but do not anticipate these making any impacts over
coastal terminals. Cig bases generally at mid and high levels with
light west to northwest winds thru the night. 10
prev discussion... Issued 530 pm cdt Wed jul 18 2018
near term now through Thursday ... No significant changes to the
near term package. Mean mid level troughing will continue to
extend southward across our forecast area through Thursday
afternoon. Scattered showers and storms over the region late this
afternoon should diminish in coverage through the evening. Another
round of scattered to numerous showers and storms should develop
late Thursday morning into Thursday afternoon, with storms most
numerous along a weak trough surface boundary where theta-e deep
layer moisture will be enhanced during the afternoon hours.

Outside of convection, heat indices will be higher across the
region Thursday afternoon, with MAX values ranging between
102-107. 21
short term Thursday night through Saturday night ... An upper
level trough is forecast to deepen across the ohio and tennessee
valley region and across the southeastern u.S. Through Saturday
night, while an upper level ridge builds across the southern
plains. A mean northwest flow pattern aloft will prevail across
our area between these features through Saturday night. Deep layer
moisture is expected to shift farther south and east, with
slightly drier air advecting into our western and northern zones.

Will maintain low end scattered pops Friday afternoon, with the
best coverage mainly along and east of i-65. A more active
convective day is still anticipated on Saturday as a more vigorous
shortwave trough pushes southeastward across our area on the
southwestern periphery of the aforementioned trough axis. Medium
range guidance indicates that better coverage of convection may be
east of our area, but there will be enough moisture for isolated
to scattered storms across our region. Increased deep layer shear
with the digging shortwave trough along with decent afternoon
instability CAPE values over 2000 j kg may result in a few strong
to severe storms and will need to monitor closely. Heat will
otherwise remain a concern as maximum heat indices could
potentially range between 105-110 on Friday and Saturday
afternoons. 21
long term Sunday through Wednesday ... Medium range guidance is
in relatively good agreement with shifting the deep upper level
trough located from the tennessee valley southeastern u.S. Sunday
southwestward toward the central gulf coast region early next
week. Better moisture and convective chances may remain confined
east of our area Sunday, before better coverage potentially
returns early next week with increasing deep layer moisture
associated with the southwestward shifting trough axis. Plenty of
heat humidity otherwise continues through the extended. 21
marine... A light to moderate westerly flow will prevail over the
marine area through the weekend as a ridge of high pressure
extends across the central and southern gulf of mexico and a weak
trough extends just north of the gulf coast.

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PPTA1 4 mi39 min 80°F 1012.9 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 11 mi29 min W 3.9 G 3.9 82°F 1013.5 hPa76°F
WBYA1 20 mi39 min 83°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 20 mi84 min 75°F 1013 hPa74°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 22 mi39 min WNW 4.1 G 5.1 79°F 87°F1012.9 hPa
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 25 mi39 min WSW 2.9 G 4.1 79°F
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 27 mi69 min WNW 4.1 G 5.1 79°F 1013 hPa (-0.6)74°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 28 mi69 min SW 4.1 80°F 1012.5 hPa (-1.0)
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 31 mi69 min WNW 1.9 78°F 1012.9 hPa (-0.7)
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 35 mi69 min WNW 2.9 80°F 1013.5 hPa (-0.3)
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 37 mi39 min WSW 2.9 79°F 1013.2 hPa
PTOA1 40 mi39 min 77°F 74°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 40 mi39 min W 1.9 G 2.9 76°F 86°F1012.8 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 42 mi39 min 77°F 88°F1012.7 hPa
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 47 mi84 min Calm 76°F 1014 hPa74°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Jack Edwards Airport, AL8 mi74 minN 010.00 miFair75°F74°F97%1013.2 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL16 mi3.2 hrsWNW 510.00 miMostly Cloudy76°F73°F91%1014 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL24 mi74 minN 010.00 miFair73°F73°F100%1013.2 hPa

Wind History from JKA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmW3W5CalmCalmW3CalmNW5CalmNW8
G18
W8SW7SW12--W10W12
G17
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G17
NW6
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NW3W3CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE7S9
G16
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CalmCalmCalmCalmW3
2 days agoCalmN6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW6S6
G16
W8SW10SW5SW6W6W6NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Bon Secour, Bon Secour River, Alabama
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Bon Secour
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:13 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:01 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:57 AM CDT     1.05 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:58 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:03 PM CDT     0.89 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:13 PM CDT     0.89 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:53 PM CDT     First Quarter
Thu -- 07:52 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:45 PM CDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.60.70.80.90.9111110.90.90.90.90.90.90.80.80.70.70.60.60.6

Tide / Current Tables for Nix Point, Perdido Bay, Florida
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Nix Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:12 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:03 AM CDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:00 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:40 AM CDT     0.53 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:56 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:53 PM CDT     First Quarter
Thu -- 07:51 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.20.20.20.20.20.30.40.50.50.50.50.50.40.40.30.30.20.20.20.20.20.20.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.