Sunrise 6:39 AM   Sunset 8:08 PM Moonrise 3:25 AM   Moonset 3:34 PM

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AMZ452 Expires:202405042115;;606958 Fzus52 Kjax 041321 Cwfjax
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 921 am edt Sat may 4 2024
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-042115- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 921 am edt Sat may 4 2024
Rest of today - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms this afternoon. Tonight - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Sunday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Sunday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Monday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Monday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Tuesday through Wednesday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 921 Am Edt Sat May 4 2024
Synopsis -
high pressure will remain anchored northeast of the local waters through the weekend. Afternoon sea breeze development will continue each afternoon for the next several days as high pressure repositions further south, shifting winds toward a southeasterly direction early this week. Winds should trend offshore toward the end of next week as a cold front approaches from the northwest.
Gulf stream -
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 02, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
71 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 85 nautical miles east southeast of saint augustine beach. 92 nautical miles east northeast of jacksonville beach. 86 nautical miles east of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KJAX 041256 AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 856 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

New UPDATE

UPDATE
Issued at 847 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

Forecast remains on track as mid level trough pushing through the SE US is enhancing ongoing convection across inland SE GA with pockets of heavy rainfall just to the west of Waycross with isolated totals of 2-3 inches. The moisture associated with this trough will spread to the SE and interact with local sea breeze circulations across coastal SE GA and NE FL where scattered afternoon showers and storms are expected, where more heating well into the 80s will provide enough instability for a few strong storms with gusty winds to 40-50 mph and locally heavy rainfall.
Convection should fade after sunset this evening and shift into the Atlantic Coastal Waters with partial clearing during the overnight hours and patchy/areas of fog can be expected over inland areas, especially where rainfall occurs today.

NEAR TERM
Today and Tonight...

Fog development this morning will be fairly sparse and generally shallow, as elevated southerly flow maintains a somewhat mixed boundary layer. Otherwise, a few showers continue to stream across inland southeast GA early this AM as upper level diffluence enhances downstream from an approaching shortwave just to the west.

As that shortwave makes its way slowly eastward, the associated cooling aloft and moistening mid levels will offer a sufficient amount of diurnal instability this afternoon. With those ingredients in play along with the sea breezes, scattered to numerous showers are expected to develop during the mid and late afternoon hours, mainly across interior SE GA and inland NE FL west of Highway 301. Steep low level lapse rates will allow potentially strong outflow winds in the vicinity of pulsing storms. Outflow and sea breeze interaction may lead to a few strong storms this afternoon and evening. Given a fairly weak westerly steering flow, motion of storms today will be outflow driven with a tendency to slowly drift back toward the east coast as they weaken. In addition to a few strong gusts with the more robust convection, PWATs pushing toward the 90th percentile according to sounding climo will allow for localized heavy rain (which will be beneficial given the ongoing dry spell).

Convective debris clouds will drift eastward tonight as convection wanes with mostly quiet conditions through the overnight hours.
There will be another chance for at least patchy inland fog, particularly in locations that receive a decent amount of rain.

Temps today will be modulated by cloud cover and the onshore flow which should keep most of SE GA and coastal NE FL high temp readings in the low/mid 80s while the rest of NE FL warms into the upper 80s to near 90 this afternoon. Another mild night will follow the warm afternoon with lows in the mid/upper 60s except at the coast where onshore flow will keep lows from falling below 70F.

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

SHORT TERM
(Sunday through Monday night)

Pattern of diurnal convection will continue through Sunday and Monday as a series of mid level short waves pass over the region.
Shower and storm developments are expected to be largely scattered with developments becoming more numerous along the diurnal sea breeze boundaries and areas of convergence. High temperatures for this period will be in the upper 80s and lower 90s for inland areas and in the lower to mid 80s along the coastline.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Friday)

Predominantly dry weather through the rest of the week as high pressure ridging dominates the weather pattern. Sea breeze winds will be largely pinned to the coast by midweek as prevailing flow shifts to become more out of the southwest due to the positioning of the high pressure axis. Temperatures will rise into the mid 90s as the week progresses with temps potentially reaching record seasonal levels by the end of the period.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 717 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

Amid a more unstable airmass, sea breeze interaction and a passing disturbance will lead to scattered thunderstorms mainly along and east of Highway 301 during the late afternoon (after 20z).
Convective impacts are most likely at KGNV; however, outflow may impact terminals with vicinity showers/storms. As storms weaken this evening, the remnant showers will drift eastward and possibly pass across coastal terminals in NE FL. Outside of outflow influence, predominant winds will be east to east-southeasterly around 7-12 knots then trending lighter after 00z. Late in the TAF period expecting better chances for at least MVFR fog/stratus development in the moist airmass at VQQ/GNV after 07Z.

MARINE

High pressure will remain anchored northeast of the local waters through the weekend. Afternoon sea breeze development will continue each afternoon for the next several days as high pressure repositions further south, shifting winds toward a southeasterly direction early this week. Winds should trend offshore toward the end of next week as a cold front approaches from the northwest.

Rip Currents: Risk will only increase to a low-end moderate level as the Atlantic sea breeze develops during the afternoon hours.
Otherwise, low surf and light wind will keep risk low.

CLIMATE
Issued at 219 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Daily record Maximum Temperatures at the local climate sites for...

Tuesday May 7th
JAX 94/1977
CRG 94/1977
GNV 96/1955
AMG 93/1962

Wednesday May 8th
JAX 96/1959
CRG 93/1977
GNV 97/1955
AMG 95/1962

Thursday May 9th
JAX 96/1962
CRG 93/2008
GNV 95/2011
AMG 95/1962

Friday May 10th
JAX 94/2017
CRG 95/2003
GNV 95/2011
AMG 95/2011

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 84 64 88 66 / 60 40 50 20 SSI 79 70 82 69 / 20 20 40 20 JAX 85 67 87 66 / 30 20 40 10 SGJ 83 68 85 68 / 20 20 40 10 GNV 88 66 88 65 / 40 40 60 10 OCF 90 66 89 66 / 40 40 60 10

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.

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Peoria Point, Doctors Lake, Florida, Tide feet

Doctors Lake
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Sat -- 04:23 AM EDT     5.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:53 AM EDT     6.10 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:32 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:34 PM EDT     5.30 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:30 PM EDT     6.25 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Doctors Lake, Peoria Point, Florida, Tide feet

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