Saturday, May27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lynn Haven, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:41AMSunset 7:38PM Saturday May 27, 2017 12:35 PM CDT (17:35 UTC) Moonrise 7:38AMMoonset 9:46PM Illumination 5% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Apalachicola To Destin Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Out 20 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Destin Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1001 Am Edt Sat May 27 2017
Rest of today and tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 1 foot. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast early in the morning. Seas 1 foot. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Destin Out To 60 Nm 1001 Am Edt Sat May 27 2017
Synopsis.. Southwesterly winds around 10 to 15 knots will persist through Monday with generally light seas around 2 feet or less. Winds and seas will become even lighter on Tuesday and Wednesday with variable winds around 5 to 10 knots and seas around 1 foot.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lynn Haven, FL
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location: 30.26, -85.65     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 271718
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
118 pm edt Sat may 27 2017

Aviation [through 18z Sunday]
Vfr conditions thru the rest of the afternoon and evening with
west-southwesterly winds generally AOB 10kts. Expect CIGS to
diminish at all TAF sites overnight, with increasing confidence in
MVFR to ifr CIGS by daybreak. CIGS are expected to slowly improve
Sunday morning, withVFR conditions resuming by late
morning early afternoon. Though vsby restrictions are possible
overnight, non-calm winds will be a factor any reductions in vsby.

Prev discussion [954 am edt]
Near term [through today]
Friday evening's surface and upper air analyses showed a ridge
across much of the southeast from the surface through 500 mb, and
nearly zonal westerlies at 300 mb. Though the troposphere has
moistened over the past 24 hours at tallahassee, it was still too
dry to support any meaningful amount of clouds, and this will
continue through this afternoon. High temperatures will reach the
lower 90s.

Short term [tonight through Monday]
An upper level ridge will build over the eastern CONUS through
Sunday as a broad area of high pressure at the surface gradually
slides southeast of our area. On the western flank of the high,
southwesterly flow will increase moisture closer to normal values
for this time of year (pwat values ranging from 1.2 to 1.5" on
Sunday afternoon) but a lack of forcing and some dry air
persisting at mid-levels will keep our area dry through Sunday. On
Monday, an upper level trough will move into the central conus
with an intensifying jet streak to our north across the ohio river
valley. At the surface a cold front will push southeastward into
al and northern ga by Monday afternoon with instability and deep
layer moisture continuing to increase across our area. With sbcape
around 2000-3000 j kg and effective bulk shear around 30
kts... Showers and thunderstorms that develop southeast of the
front could become organized into multicellular clusters with
possibilities of isolated damaging wind or hail in strongest
storms. The best chance of showers and thunderstorms on Monday
will be across our northwestern area closer to the front.

Temperatures will be warm to hot each day, with highs in the upper
80s to lower 90s inland and lower-mid 80s near the gulf coast.

Lows will range from the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Long term [Monday night through Saturday]
The upper level trough mentioned in the short term discussion will
continue to move eastward into the eastern CONUS on Tuesday and
Wednesday with the core of the upper jet remaining well to our
north across the ohio river valley region. As this occurs, the
relatively weak surface front moving toward our area will
decelerate on Monday night and stall out near over our area from
Tuesday through much of the remainder of the week. This will
provide a focus for scattered showers and thunderstorms each day
with chances maximized during peak heating hours, although
rainfall chances should remain fairly low (mainly 20-30%) with
some mid-level dry air persisting over our area. Moisture pwat
values will remain near normal for this time of year, around 1.5"
across our area each day. Temperatures will also remain near
normal each day, with highs generally ranging from mid 80s to
lower 90s across our area and lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s.

Marine
Southwesterly winds around 10 to 15 knots will persist from today
through Monday with generally light seas around 2 feet or less.

Winds and seas will become even lighter on Tuesday and Wednesday
with variable winds around 5 to 10 knots and seas around 1 foot.

Fire weather
No concerns.

Hydrology
Rivers are expected to remain below flood stage for the next few
days. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible across
portions of our area each day next week, but any heavy rainfall
should be brief and isolated in coverage. Therefore, no significant
river rises are anticipated at this time.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 65 91 68 91 67 10 0 10 20 20
panama city 74 82 74 84 74 10 10 10 20 10
dothan 71 91 72 89 71 10 0 10 50 30
albany 70 90 73 91 71 0 0 10 30 30
valdosta 67 90 70 92 71 0 0 0 20 20
cross city 66 89 71 91 71 0 0 10 10 10
apalachicola 73 86 74 86 73 10 0 10 20 10

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Pullin
short term... Fournier
long term... Lahr
aviation... Pullin
marine... Fournier
fire weather... Lahr
hydrology... Fournier


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 8 mi48 min W 8 G 9.9 79°F 79°F1019.9 hPa
PCBF1 13 mi48 min WSW 7 G 8 77°F 79°F1019.9 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 51 mi48 min SW 8 G 12 82°F 79°F1019.1 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 52 mi111 min S 6 80°F 71°F

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL10 mi43 minW 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F68°F59%1020.1 hPa
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL14 mi40 minW 710.00 miFair83°F68°F63%1019.6 hPa

Wind History from ECP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS9S9S10S10SW5S8S7SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmSW95W8
G15
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1 day agoNW13W4W6SW15W11W11W10SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS6SE6S9
2 days agoW11
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SW7SW7W5W3W5W9W6W6W8W5CalmSW4W9W12W12W14
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Tide / Current Tables for Lynn Haven, North Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Lynn Haven
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:42 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:38 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:31 AM CDT     1.97 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:37 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:46 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:16 PM CDT     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.2-00.20.40.60.81.11.31.51.71.9221.91.71.410.70.3-0-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5

Tide / Current Tables for Alligator Bayou, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Alligator Bayou
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:43 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:39 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:16 AM CDT     1.92 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:37 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:46 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:07 PM CDT     -0.47 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.2-00.20.40.60.91.11.31.51.71.91.91.91.81.61.30.90.60.2-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.