Thursday, June20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lynn Haven, FL

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:39AMSunset 7:48PM Thursday June 20, 2019 12:51 AM CDT (05:51 UTC) Moonrise 10:38PMMoonset 8:32AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Expires:201906200930;;757482 Fzus52 Ktae 200044 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 844 Pm Edt Wed Jun 19 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-200930- Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 844 Pm Edt Wed Jun 19 2019 /744 Pm Cdt Wed Jun 19 2019/
.small craft exercise caution...
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Isolated showers in the evening. Isolated Thunderstorms through the night. Scattered showers after midnight.
Thursday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Friday night-Sunday night..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 844 Pm Edt Wed Jun 19 2019
Synopsis.. Moderate southwest flow will continue through Friday with wind then lessening through the weekend as high pressure builds. Three to four foot seas Thursday and Friday will subside this weekend. Scattered showers and storms remain possible.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lynn Haven, FL
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location: 30.26, -85.65     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 200521
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
121 am edt Thu jun 20 2019

Aviation
[through 06z Friday]
MVFR CIGS will be possible this morning, mainly around day break
and a few hours after that. Expect scattered tsra earlier than
normal again in the ecp to tlh area generally from 12-17z and
while a few thunderstorms are possible at the other TAF sites, the
better chances will be late this afternoon into the evening as a
line of storms from the north sinks southward.

Prev discussion [842 pm edt]
Near term [through tonight]
A shortwave trough will continue to move east out of the area
overnight with storms already diminishing with sunset and the loss
of instability. There should be a brief break in most areas but
with pw values rising again in the early morning hours, combined
with the exiting shortwave, isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms will form again near the coastal regions. The
highest coverage will remain in the big bend with the consistent
w-sw flow. Didn't make any changes to the lows which will be in
the mid to upper 70s.

Short term [Thursday through Friday night]
Not as much coverage of convection expected on Thursday as there
is a little bit of capping and the mid levels dry out somewhat.

There will be storms around hwvr initially along the seabreeze and
in the vicinity of any outflows from today's storms then spreading
north as the activity feels a bit of forcing from a shortwave
clipping through the tn valley. Enough instability and dape for a
cpl strong to severe cells. Activity will wane diurnally tmrw
night then refire Friday as a band of deeper mstr lingers over the
region.

Long term [Saturday through Wednesday]
Ridging really builds over the region through the weekend into
early next week. Continue to see signals that an MCS may try to
work around the ridge from the north into the i-75 corridor on
Saturday and will maintain low pops to account. Mainly dry sun-mon
although isolated diurnal storms cannot be ruled out given all the
lingering llvl mstr from recent rains. After Monday the ridge
retrogrades leaving a broad upper level weakness over the area.

This will lead to increasing cvrg of storms heading into the
middle of next week.

Marine
Moderate southwest flow will continue through Friday with wind
then lessening through the weekend as high pressure builds. Three
to four foot seas Thursday and Friday will subside this weekend.

Scattered showers and storms remain possible.

Fire weather
With recent rainfall and relative humidity values expected to remain
above critical levels, red flag conditions are not expected for the
next several days.

Hydrology
Localized very heavy rains continue to affect parts of the area
hwvr area river systems have been able to handle the runoff so
far. Drier weather is expected through the weekend across the
region.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 92 75 93 73 96 40 20 30 0 20
panama city 86 79 89 78 89 40 20 20 0 10
dothan 93 75 94 74 95 40 20 40 0 20
albany 93 75 93 75 95 40 30 40 0 30
valdosta 91 75 94 73 94 40 10 40 0 30
cross city 87 75 90 75 91 40 10 20 0 10
apalachicola 87 78 89 76 89 40 10 20 0 10

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Ln
short term... Johnstone
long term... Johnstone
aviation... Fieux
marine... Johnstone
fire weather... Dvd
hydrology... Johnstone


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 8 mi58 min S 13 G 18 85°F
PCBF1 13 mi58 min SSW 17 G 20 84°F 85°F1012.8 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 51 mi58 min WSW 12 G 15 83°F 84°F1013.5 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL10 mi59 minS 610.00 miA Few Clouds82°F75°F82%1013.1 hPa
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL14 mi1.9 hrsSSW 1410.00 miA Few Clouds83°F77°F83%1012.8 hPa

Wind History from ECP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6SW6S8S5S9W9W9W5S6S4SW14
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SW14SW8SW8S5S5S7S6
1 day agoE4E5E3CalmCalmCalmE3E5S5S10S12S9
G17
S145NW105NE9SE10SE5SE5S3SW5CalmSE5
2 days agoNW3CalmE7E5NE5CalmE5NE5E5E7SE9E7S11
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SE12S8S11S6S4CalmNE3CalmE3

Tide / Current Tables for Lynn Haven, North Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Lynn Haven
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:08 AM CDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:41 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:32 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 01:13 PM CDT     1.86 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:47 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:37 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-0.2-0.1-00.10.30.50.811.31.51.71.81.91.81.71.61.31.10.80.50.30.1-0

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Panama City
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:41 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:33 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 12:35 PM CDT     1.60 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:46 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:37 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:43 PM CDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-0.1-00.10.30.40.60.811.21.41.51.61.61.51.41.210.70.50.30.1-0-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.