Thursday, September21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oriole Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 6:46PM Thursday September 21, 2017 1:51 AM CDT (06:51 UTC) Moonrise 7:52AMMoonset 7:58PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 946 Pm Cdt Wed Sep 20 2017
Rest of tonight..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming north. Smooth.
Thursday..North winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast. Smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming east. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northeast. Smooth becoming smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..East winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..East winds 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..West winds 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 946 Pm Cdt Wed Sep 20 2017
Synopsis..Light offshore winds tonight will be followed by a light and primarily easterly flow for Thursday through Friday. A light to moderate easterly flow is expected this weekend, becoming southeasterly on Monday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oriole Beach, FL
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location: 30.29, -87.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 210448
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
1148 pm cdt Wed sep 20 2017

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
06z issuance...VFR conditions prevail for the next 24 hours except
for MVFR conditions in patchy fog late tonight followed by mainly
isolated showers and storms which develop during the day on
Thursday. Light winds continue through the period. 29

Prev discussion issued 1004 pm cdt Wed sep 20 2017
discussion... See updated information for land areas below.

Update... Have updated to remove pops for the remainder of the
night and also to lower overnight lows slightly based on the
latest trends. Made other minor adjustments. 29
prev discussion... Issued 618 pm cdt Wed sep 20 2017
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance... MVFR conditions in isolated showers and storms will
mainly affect extreme southwest alabama and southeast mississippi
through the early evening hours, with convection dissipating later
this evening. May still see some MVFR conditions in patchy fog
again late tonight, followed by isolated to potentially scattered
showers and storms redeveloping again during the day on Thursday.

29
prev discussion... Issued 354 pm cdt Wed sep 20 2017
near term now through Thursday ... Convection will rapidly
decrease this evening with the loss of daytime heating. Some
patchy fog will be possible late tonight, especially in areas that
receive rain. Lows tonight will fall into the low 70s inland to
mid 70s along the coast. The best deep layer moisture on Thursday
will reside near the coast with slightly drier air inland. This
will result in the highest rain chances (scattered) near the coast
with isolated coverage inland. The best coverage will be during
the afternoon and early evening hours during with peak daytime
heating. Outside of any cooling from showers and storms, hot and
very muggy conditions will continue. Highs will be in the upper
80s to near 90 inland to mid 80s along the coast. 13
short term Thursday night through Saturday night ... An upper
level ridge extending from the central texas to the great lakes
region will remain nearly stationary through the near term. A
cutoff upper low pressure area is expected to develop out of an
upper level trough over the southeast states and northeastern
gulf of mexico by Saturday morning. The upper low is then expected
to slowly drift west over the forecast area throughout the day
Saturday. A surface ridge across the eastern CONUS and gulf of
mexico will also remain intact as hurricane jose remains stalled
off the coast of new england, and hurricane maria tracks east of
caribbean islands. Isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms will continue through the short term, mainly during
the afternoon and early evening hours during maximum instability.

Patchy fog should form again each night across the forecast area
after midnight into the early morning hours.

Low temperatures each night will be in the upper 60s to lower
70s. High temperatures will be in upper 80s to lower 90s inland
areas, with mid 80s along the immediate coastal sections. 22
long term Sunday through Wednesday ... The upper low over the
region will shift more to the west through the long term period
filling and become less organized Mon through tue. As a result
less coverage of showers and thunderstorms can be expected
beginning Sun continuing through tue. The threat for strong to
severe weather still remains low. Both high and low temperatures
will be been near seasonal levels with little change in the
humidity levels also expected. 32 ee
marine... High pressure centered over the marine area through
tonight will break down by early Thursday, but a general ridge
of high pressure will continue to extend into the marine area from
the northeast through the weekend. Light and variable winds
expected tonight, before becoming primarily light to moderate
northeast to east Thursday through the end of the period. Little
change in seas over the next few days. 13

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 9 mi52 min 79°F 84°F1015.8 hPa (+0.0)
PPTA1 23 mi52 min N 1.9 77°F 1015.9 hPa (+0.0)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 28 mi62 min W 3.9 G 5.8 82°F 84°F1 ft1015.2 hPa (-0.4)75°F
WBYA1 38 mi52 min 83°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 39 mi67 min 74°F 1015 hPa73°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 48 mi82 min N 4.1 78°F 1015.9 hPa
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 48 mi52 min N 1.9 G 2.9 80°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL11 mi56 minN 0 miFair73°F70°F90%1015.6 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL13 mi59 minN 010.00 miFair77°F73°F88%1015.7 hPa

Wind History from NPA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4NW5NW7CalmS6SW7SW6S10S10SW9SW4W3W3NW3CalmN3CalmCalm
1 day agoW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW6NW53S8S11SW11SW12--SW8SW84SW4SW4SW3SW4CalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4NW3SW4SW6S8S9S11S10SW9SW8SW5SW4W3W3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
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Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:29 AM CDT     1.16 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:36 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:51 AM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:14 AM CDT     0.82 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:01 PM CDT     1.18 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:45 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:24 PM CDT     1.09 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:58 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.11.21.21.11.110.90.90.80.80.9111.11.21.21.21.11.11.11.11.11.21.3

Tide / Current Tables for Warrington, 2 miles south of, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Warrington
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:21 AM CDT     1.06 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:36 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:53 AM CDT     0.75 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:52 AM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:53 PM CDT     1.07 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:03 PM CDT     0.99 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:46 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:59 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.11.1110.90.80.80.70.80.80.9111.11.11.1111111.11.21.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.