Thursday, May23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oriole Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:48AMSunset 7:42PM Thursday May 23, 2019 1:47 AM CDT (06:47 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:55AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 1006 Pm Cdt Wed May 22 2019
Rest of tonight..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday..East winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming light. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday..Winds light becoming south 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1006 Pm Cdt Wed May 22 2019
Synopsis..A light to moderate southerly wind flow will persist through early next week as a broad surface ridge of high pressure continues from the western atlantic to the eastern gulf. The highest winds and seas are expected each afternoon generally over the nearshore waters out to 20 nm including all inland bays and sounds due to daytime heating. A persistent swell from the south will keep offshore wave heights slightly elevated through Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oriole Beach, FL
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location: 30.29, -87.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 230459 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
1159 pm cdt Wed may 22 2019

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Prev discussion issued 1154 pm cdt Wed may 22 2019
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

23 06z issuance... Mostly clear skies through around 23 08z, then
some scattered mid level clouds currently seen on satellite possibly
moving in from the east. Could also see some areas of fog inland,
patchy closer to the coast, after about 23 08z as well. Could see
some very patchy areas of dense fog, as gulf shores has recently
dropped to 3 4 mile. Light winds for the remainder of the night,
generally less than 5 knots. Any fog areas dissipate by around
23 12z-23 15z Thursday morning with mostly clear skies and
southeasterly winds increasing to around 10-12 knots. Could be a
few afternoon showers develop over mainly inland areas Thursday
afternoon, but they will be very isolated. 12 ds
prev discussion... Issued 658 pm cdt Wed may 22 2019
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

23 00z issuance... Mostly clear skies this evening with with a
light south to southeasterly wind flow of 10 mph or less. Just as
the past several nights, some areas of fog will again be possible
late tonight, mainly over interior areas north of the i-10 corridor.

There could be some patchy light fog down near the coast and at
the TAF sites as well. Fog dissipates by around 23 12z Thursday
morning with mostly clear skies and southeasterly winds of 10-15
mph. Could be a few afternoon showers develop over mainly inland
areas Thursday afternoon, but they will be very isolated. 12 ds
prev discussion... Issued 403 pm cdt Wed may 22 2019
near term now through Thursday ... Temperatures continue to
build through the near term and the coming days as the ridge along
the coast of the carolinas deepens and expands westward toward the
southeast and northern gulf of mexico. Locally, light southerly
winds persist through Thursday as we remain on the western side of
the building ridge. The combination of light winds and moisture
filtering inland from the gulf may lead to areas of fog yet again in
the pre-dawn hours on Thursday (although likely not widespread or
dense). High resolution models continue to hint at showers and
storms developing inland along the sea breeze in the afternoon
hours. That said, subsidence across the region should act to dampen
most development, so anything that does develop will be isolated.

High temperatures on Thursday will be warmer than today with mid to
upper 80s expected at the beaches and low 90s across inland
communities. Heat index will soar into the 90s everywhere with some
communities in southwest alabama possibly hitting the century mark
by early afternoon. 07 mb
short term Thursday night through Saturday night ... Deep layer
high pressure will continue to remain the dominant influence on
area weather. Hot and humid conditions will persist and strong
subsidence aloft will likely cap any convection attempting to
develop along the afternoon sea breeze front. Clear to mostly
clear skies will allow radiational cooling to bring temperatures
down to the dewpoint temperature resulting and some late night fog
development. Temperatures continue to trend warmer than normal
through the period ... Climbing into the upper 80s low 90s close to
the coast and low to upper 90s over more inland locations.

Afternoon heat indices climb to near 100 to mid 100s over inland
portions of the florida panhandle and south alabama Saturday
afternoon and mid 90s to near 100 closer to the coast and over se
mississippi. Overnight lows Thursday night and Friday night
bottom out in the upper 60s to low 70s and mid 70s along the
immediate gulf coast. 08
long term Sunday through Wednesday ... A strong high pressure
system remains anchored over the region and the heat continues.

Daytime highs continue to climb into the mid to upper 90s
approaching 100 degrees at some locations over interior locations
and around 90 to low 90s closer to the coast. Afternoon heat
indices rise into the low to mid 100s over inland areas of south
alabama and the western florida panhandle and mid to upper 90s
closer to the coast and over SE mississippi. Upstream short
wave troughs are projected to weaken the ridge some by Wednesday
and result in the main ridge axis being shifted east along the
atlantic seaboard. This would result in temperatures being a few
degrees cooler than previous days... But remain uncertain as to
whether the ridge will weaken significantly and shift east.

Models historically tend to weaken the ridge too quickly this time
of year. Kept the forecast dry throughout the long term as strong
subsidence aloft should hinder the development of shower
activity. 08
marine... Light to moderate southerly winds persist through early
next week as high pressure remains draped across the eastern gulf
and western atlantic. The highest winds and seas are expected over
the nearshore waters, bays, and sounds due to afternoon heating. A
persistent swell from the south will keep offshore wave heights
slightly elevated through Saturday. 07 mb

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 9 mi29 min S 5.1 G 6 80°F 84°F1019 hPa
PPTA1 23 mi47 min 81°F 1019.3 hPa (+0.0)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 28 mi67 min 3 ft
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 38 mi77 min E 6 1018.6 hPa
WBYA1 38 mi29 min 81°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 39 mi62 min 70°F 1019 hPa69°F
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 48 mi29 min SSE 14 G 16 80°F 1018.9 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL11 mi1.9 hrsSE 510.00 miFair77°F72°F85%1019.2 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL13 mi54 minN 010.00 miFair75°F73°F94%1019.2 hPa

Wind History from NPA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8S9S9S8S10S9S11SE9SE10SE7
G15
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS7S9S11SE11S13S13S15S13SE13S12S10SW8S6S7S9SE10S10S10S12
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE6S8SE10SE10S11S10S11S10S8S8S5SW5S5S8S6S4

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
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Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:43 AM CDT     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:50 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:54 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:59 PM CDT     1.61 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:40 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.100.20.30.50.711.21.31.51.61.61.61.51.31.10.90.60.40.2

Tide / Current Tables for Warrington, 2 miles south of, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Warrington
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:22 AM CDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:50 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:55 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 01:51 PM CDT     1.46 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:41 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.10.10.20.40.50.70.91.11.21.41.41.51.41.31.210.70.50.30.1-0

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.