Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Laguna Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:42AMSunset 7:49PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 8:55 PM CDT (01:55 UTC) Moonrise 10:37AMMoonset 11:41PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
GMZ635 Choctawhatchee Bay- 347 Pm Cdt Wed Jun 28 2017
Tonight..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop becoming smooth to a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. Smooth to a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Smooth to a light chop becoming a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop becoming smooth.
Saturday..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots increasing to 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 347 Pm Cdt Wed Jun 28 2017
Synopsis..A surface ridge of high pressure over the eastern conus continues to shift east and south, reaching the eastern seaboard and western atlantic tonight and leading to better onshore flow through the rest of the week. Rain chances increase tonight into Friday, with a more summertime pattern then setting up this weekend into next week. The best coverage of showers and storms over the marine area will occur during overnight and morning hours through Friday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Laguna Beach, FL
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 30.3, -86.04     debug


Area Discussion for -
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 ktae 290023
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
823 pm edt Wed jun 28 2017

Update
No major changes planned for the overnight hours. Convection
inland will continue to gradually wane over the next several hours
with the loss of daytime heating. However, a broad shortwave
trough will continue to move into the region overnight, advecting
additional deep tropical moisture into the area, and increasing
rain chances across the western third of the CWA prior to sunrise.

Prev discussion [729 pm edt]
Near term [through tonight]
Showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop across the
florida panhandle and big bend through the afternoon before
diminishing after sunset. A weak shortwave aloft will move northeast
into the panhandle overnight. This will lead to an increase in
showers over the coastal waters and panhandle coast after midnight.

Short term [Thursday through Friday night]
Model guidance continues to be in good agreement in the
development of offshore convection early in the day on Thursday
and then spreading inland across the florida panhandle and
perhaps into southeastern alabama by midday Thursday as an
approaching upper disturbance moves through the region. Still some
differences in the details with respect to afternoon storms. It's
possible that the cloud cover from the morning convection
effectively stabilizes southeastern alabama and they see little
additional storms through the afternoon. This does not seem to be
the case further east into southwestern georgia and into the
florida big bend where cloud cover should be more sparse, at least
early in the day. Rain chances are generally in the 60 to 70
percent range across the area. With all the cloud cover,
temperatures will be cooler than normal for this time of year,
generally in the low to mid 80s.

Model guidance shows the disturbance moving northeast of the
region by daybreak on Friday with the mid level ridge beginning to
build westward across the florida peninsula. This should put our
region in a more typical summertime pattern dominated by the daily
sea breeze circulation. With southwesterly flow around 10 kt,
this should yield fairly decent coverage of showers and
thunderstorms Friday afternoon. Will keep pops a little higher
than climatology, around 60 percent inland. Since convection
should have a later start time, expect temperatures to be a little
warmer, generally in the upper 80s to near 90 degrees.

Long term [Saturday through Wednesday]
At the start of the period, ridging will continue building over
the florida peninsula on Saturday and then into the eastern gulf
of mexico on Sunday. Our region will be on the northern periphery
of this ridge, which will provide some convective suppression
during the afternoon hours. However, both the GFS and euro do show
weak shortwaves moving through the tennessee river valley sun-tue
flattening out the northward extension of the ridge. As a result,
expect thunderstorm coverage each day through Tuesday to be near
normal levels for this time of year, which is about 40 percent.

That being said, there is some potential for a drier stretch if
the euro verifies, as it shows a significantly drier airmass
across the region than the 28 12z gfs. One additional side effect
of the ridge will be warmer than normal high temperatures sun-
tues, where some of the guidance suggests highs in the mid to
possibly even upper 90s. This would also result in high heat
indices easily in the triple digits.

By Wednesday, the mid level ridge breaks down and an approaching
trough will lead to increasing afternoon evening rain chances at
the end of the forecast period and slightly cooler afternoon
temperatures.

Aviation [through 00z Friday]
Scattered and showers and thunderstorms continue around the taf
sites this evening but with thunderstorms decreasing, tafs are
limited to showers this evening. While convection will diminish
overnight, expect showers and thunderstorms earlier tomorrow at
ecp with widespread convection pushing north and east through the
day. With a disturbance, will see much more coverage than a
typical summer day. MVFR CIGS are possible tomorrow morning.

Marine
Winds and seas will remain low through the next several days.

After high rain chances on Thursday and Friday, expect a return to
typical scattered showers and thunderstorms later in the weekend.

Fire weather
Red flag conditions are not expected over the next few days with
rh criteria well above critical thresholds. While dispersion
indices will be on the low side, they appear to stay just above 20
across the florida counties.

Hydrology
All area rivers have crested below flood stage across the region
after last week's rainfall. There is some potential for locally
heavy rainfall across the area on Thursday and into Friday as the
disturbance moves through the region. The primary impact would be
localized flooding limited mainly to urban areas. However, the
overall flood threat remains low.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 72 85 73 89 74 40 60 20 60 20
panama city 76 83 76 86 77 50 80 20 50 10
dothan 72 82 72 89 73 40 60 30 60 30
albany 72 84 72 90 73 30 70 40 60 40
valdosta 72 86 72 89 73 30 70 40 60 30
cross city 73 89 73 91 74 40 50 20 40 20
apalachicola 77 85 77 87 76 40 70 20 40 10

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Update... Pullin
near term... Camp
short term... Godsey
long term... Godsey
aviation... Fieux
marine... Godsey
fire weather... Fieux
hydrology... Godsey


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 10 mi38 min E 6 G 8 77°F 84°F1017.8 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 22 mi38 min ENE 4.1 G 5.1 76°F 87°F1017.7 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 62 mi38 min 1017.4 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 69 mi38 min SE 6 G 8 82°F 82°F1017.4 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
Last
24hr
NE3
SE3
E4
G7
E3
G6
E4
G8
E4
G8
E5
G8
E3
E3
G6
NE6
NE6
NE4
G8
E5
E3
G7
SE4
G7
SE5
G8
SE7
E6
G15
E8
G11
E4
G8
NE6
S2
E3
E3
G8
1 day
ago
N1
NE3
E2
NE3
N2
NE3
NE4
NE3
NE4
NE4
NE4
NE3
S3
S3
SW6
SW8
SW7
W2
G6
NW4
NW5
G8
N10
G15
NE9
NE5
G8
NE4
G8
2 days
ago
N3
E2
N2
N4
N3
N5
N6
N5
N4
NE4
N7
NE6
NE7
G10
N4
G7
S3
SW5
W4
SW8
SW10
W9
SW12
SW9
W7
W5

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL14 mi63 minE 310.00 miA Few Clouds77°F73°F90%1018 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL24 mi63 minESE 510.00 miA Few Clouds81°F0°F%1016.9 hPa

Wind History from ECP (wind in knots)
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
Last 24hrN4N3NE4NE3NE3CalmCalmNE3CalmNE4NE4NE4NE5E6E5SE6SE5SE12E5NE7W9NW4E5E3
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmNW7CalmNW6NW6NW10NW6N6N5N3
2 days agoCalmCalmNW4NW4NW3N6NW4NW4NW5N4N6N4N6N5CalmCalmNW4NW95N6NW76CalmN3

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City Beach (outside), St. Andrew Bay, Florida (sub)
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Panama City Beach (outside)
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:44 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:36 AM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:55 AM CDT     1.38 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:49 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:00 PM CDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:40 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-00.10.20.40.60.70.911.11.21.31.41.41.41.31.10.90.70.50.30.20.10.10.1

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City Beach, Florida
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:44 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:36 AM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:11 AM CDT     1.41 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:49 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:39 PM CDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:40 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.20.40.50.60.70.80.91.11.21.41.41.41.31.31.210.80.50.40.30.20.20.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (21,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.