Wednesday, April25, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Laguna Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:02AMSunset 7:18PM Wednesday April 25, 2018 1:05 PM CDT (18:05 UTC) Moonrise 3:12PMMoonset 3:34AM Illumination 79% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 1057 Am Cdt Wed Apr 25 2018
Rest of today..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tonight..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers.
Thursday night..West winds 13 to 18 knots becoming northwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1057 Am Cdt Wed Apr 25 2018
Synopsis..High pressure will continue over the north central gulf through Thursday then become reinforced in the wake of a cold front late Thursday and Thursday night. Expect mostly a light to moderate west to northwest wind flow through Saturday becoming east late Saturday into Sunday as high pressure shifts east.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Laguna Beach, FL
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location: 30.3, -86.04     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 251707
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
107 pm edt Wed apr 25 2018

Aviation [through 18z Thursday]
Vfr conditions will prevail through the TAF cycle. Northwest
winds will become gusty this afternoon. Winds will drop off
overnight before becoming even gustier on Thursday. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms, some possibly strong will develop in
this northwest flow on Thursday. Most of this activity will hold
off until after this TAF period, but felt it was prudent to
indicate the potential impacts to the dhn and aby terminals as
early as midday tomorrow.

Prev discussion [1002 am edt]
Near term [through today]
An upper level shortwave embedded in a large scale upper trough will
continue to move east of our area into the western atlantic ocean
today. Under this feature, a broad surface low will continue to
drift farther northeast of our area into the mid-atlantic region. In
its wake, dry conditions will prevail under mostly sunny skies
throughout the day along with west-northwesterly winds around 10 mph
or less. High temperatures will be slightly below average for this
time of year, ranging from the mid 70s to lower 80s across our
area.

Short term [tonight through Friday]
A shortwave moving over the central rockies this morning will have
moved quickly into the mississippi valley by tonight, and through
the southeast on Thursday. Models are quick to pull the shortwave
northward up the eastern seaboard, and with the removal of
synoptic forcing it's unlikely that we'll get a great deal of
rain with this system, and confidence in showers even making it
to the eastern half of the tri-state region is low. However,
there's expected to be a brief period late Thursday afternoon
where showers and thunderstorms could bring around a half inch of
rain and possibly a few strong storms along and northwest of a
line from dothan through albany. Marginally steep lapse rates and
about 50 knots or so of deep layer shear would support a damaging
wind potential during this time period. By Thursday evening, the
bulk of the shower activity will have come to an end as the cold
front continues to work through the big bend and south georgia. At
the same time, another shortwave will be diving into the
southeast, though with dry air aloft in the wake of the previous
wave, showers are not expected. That being said, it's still
expected to be cloudy on Friday as low-level moisture is advected
into the region with the secondary wave. Each afternoon will
feature a temperature gradient across the region, with low 80s in
the southeast big bend and low 70s across southeast alabama. This
will be due to the rain on Thursday and the passing upper wave on
Friday. Overnight lows will still generally be in the upper 50s.

Long term [Friday night through Wednesday]
The eastern CONUS trough will lift out of the southeast over the
weekend, with deep layer ridging building in early next week.

Expect a warming trend and no rain through the extended range
forecast period.

Marine
Winds and seas are forecast to remain just below cautionary levels
through the weekend, with a slight chance for showers on Thursday
night.

Fire weather
Although high dispersion values could develop this afternoon and
tomorrow afternoon across northern florida, rh values and wind
speeds are not expected to reach critical thresholds across our
area. As a result, no fire weather concerns are anticipated.

Hydrology
Rainfall amounts with Thursday's system will generally be less
than a half of an inch and remain confined to a small area
northwest of a line from dothan through albany. Thereafter, no
rain is expected through early next week. Thus, flooding is not a
concern at this time.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 57 80 59 78 55 0 20 10 10 10
panama city 62 75 60 72 58 0 30 10 10 10
dothan 57 73 54 72 53 0 50 10 10 10
albany 57 77 56 75 53 0 60 20 10 10
valdosta 58 81 60 79 55 0 20 20 10 10
cross city 57 81 64 78 58 0 0 20 10 10
apalachicola 63 76 62 74 58 0 10 20 0 10

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through late tonight for coastal bay-
coastal gulf.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Pullin
short term... Lahr
long term... Harrigan
aviation... Wool
marine... Lahr
fire weather... Harrigan
hydrology... Lahr


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 10 mi47 min W 14 G 15 67°F 71°F1015 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 22 mi47 min SW 12 G 15 68°F 71°F1015.1 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 62 mi47 min NW 5.1 G 8.9 73°F 70°F1015.4 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 69 mi47 min W 5.1 G 7 73°F 71°F1014.5 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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SW15
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SW16
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SE18
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G31
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL14 mi72 minNW 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F55°F52%1015.6 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL24 mi72 minVar 410.00 miFair77°F53°F43%1015 hPa

Wind History from ECP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7W13W14W13--W12SW9W5W7NW5NW3NW3CalmCalmCalmNW4W4W3W4NW9NW9NW7W11NW11
1 day agoS15SW13
G21
SW16SW15SW17
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SW9SW12SW6SW4SW6W5W5W5W5W5CalmSW3SW6W5W7--NW8W9SW7
G21
2 days agoSE9SE16
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SE16SE13
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SE7S6SE13SE7SE6S4S4SE5SE4S5S4SE4S4E3S4SW11S11
G17
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G21
S15
G20

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City Beach (outside), St. Andrew Bay, Florida (sub)
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Panama City Beach (outside)
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:24 AM CDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:33 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:05 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 03:11 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:19 PM CDT     1.05 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:17 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.10.10.10.10.20.30.50.60.70.70.80.80.80.90.9111110.90.80.6

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City Beach, Florida
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Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:48 AM CDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:33 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:05 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:17 AM CDT     0.67 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:16 AM CDT     0.63 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:11 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:31 PM CDT     0.91 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:41 PM CDT     0.90 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:17 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:03 PM CDT     0.97 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.20.10.20.20.20.30.50.60.70.70.60.60.70.80.90.90.90.90.910.90.80.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.