Saturday, August18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Laguna Beach, FL

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Sunrise 6:10AMSunset 7:21PM Saturday August 18, 2018 11:33 AM CDT (16:33 UTC) Moonrise 1:34PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 47% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 1039 Am Cdt Sat Aug 18 2018
Rest of today..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Tonight..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Sunday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..West winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1039 Am Cdt Sat Aug 18 2018
Synopsis..A surface ridge of high pressure will extend from the western atlantic to the central gulf of mexico through early next week. A light to occasionally moderate south to southwesterly wind flow will continue with this pattern through the forecast period. Winds and waves will be locally higher near scattered to numerous showers and Thunderstorms through early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Laguna Beach, FL
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location: 30.3, -86.04     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 181331
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
931 am edt Sat aug 18 2018

Update
Precipitation coverage continues to increase across the western
fl panhandle and will expand northeast this afternoon. Forecast
is on track with no major changes.

Prev discussion [644 am edt]
Near term [through today]
An upper level trough will persist over the area between a ridge
trying to build in from the west and the bermuda ridge to our east.

Global models show a southwest to northeast oriented deep plume of
moisture cutting through all but the southeast big bend of our cwa.

Forecast pw at tallahassee this afternoon is 2.2" compared to 1.7"
at cross city. This moisture combined with daytime heating and sea
breeze interaction will result in scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms. Pops today will be tapered highest(70%) west to
lowest (20-30%) across the southeast big bend.

Short term [tonight through Monday]
The general upper-level northern stream pattern will be driven by
a couple of shortwaves through early next week. The first will
move through the ohio valley and mid-atlantic Sunday through
Sunday night, with a brief period of ridging building in ahead of
the second wave forecast to be in the middle mississippi valley
towards the end of the period. At the same time, a tutt is
forecast to move over the florida straits and across the extreme
southern gomex. Favorable upper-level forcing on the NW quadrant
of the tutt, combined with deep layer southwesterly flow will
result in an early start to shower and thunderstorm activity,
becoming more widespread through the day. The most favorable
region for widespread and potentially heavy rain will be along and
northwest of a line from apalachicola through tifton. On Monday,
drier air will move in aloft, with deep layer ridging taking hold
in the wake of the northern stream trough and tutt. Expect a more
typical scattering of summertime seabreeze convection Monday.

Long term [Monday night through Saturday]
The shortwave in the middle mississippi valley will start the
anomalous amplification of the northern stream longwave trough,
with a couple more shortwaves superpositioning over the eastern
conus through the week. Tuesday's convection will likely still be
seabreeze driven, though mid to late week storms should be more
widespread associated with the northern stream trough and
associated cold front. It's unlikely we'll get a 'clean' frontal
passage, so wet conditions should be expected as the front will
likely stall and dissipate over the southeast.

Aviation [through 12z Sunday]
Brief period of MVFR CIGS vsbys at dhn and vld this morning.

Otherwise, showers and thunderstorms currently developing along
the panhandle coast and inland near ecp this morning will
gradually spread north and east through the day. Expect at least
brief impacts from storms with gusty winds and possible MVFR
vsbys cigs.

Marine
Seasonably low winds and seas are expected over the next several
days, but could increase as we near mid-week as a cold front
approaches.

Fire weather
Outside of possible low dispersions across portions of the florida
panhandle Sunday afternoon, hazardous fire weather conditions are
not expected.

Hydrology
In general, 1-2" of rain is forecast along and west of the
apalachicola and chattahoochee rivers over the next couple of days
and around 1" to the east. Isolated higher amounts are possible
especially through the weekend. Ensemble guidance for area rivers
suggests the potential for action stage along the most reactive
basins west of the aforementioned delineation. Scattered 'nuisance'
urban and rural flooding will also be possible through the next
week.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 90 74 89 73 90 50 20 40 10 40
panama city 88 78 86 77 88 70 40 60 40 40
dothan 87 73 86 73 88 70 30 60 30 40
albany 88 73 88 73 90 60 30 60 20 30
valdosta 90 73 89 72 91 40 20 40 10 30
cross city 91 75 90 74 91 30 20 20 20 30
apalachicola 88 78 87 77 87 40 30 50 20 30

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Update... Lf
near term... Barry
short term... Harrigan
long term... Harrigan
aviation... Barry
marine... Harrigan
fire weather... Barry
hydrology... Harrigan


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 10 mi33 min W 17 G 19 83°F 84°F1020.1 hPa (+0.0)
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 22 mi33 min S 7 G 8.9 79°F 84°F1020.3 hPa (+0.0)
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 62 mi39 min S 2.9 G 4.1 78°F 84°F1020.2 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 69 mi33 min SSW 7 G 8.9 84°F 82°F1020.2 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL14 mi40 minS 67.00 miLight Rain81°F75°F82%1020.6 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL24 mi40 minNW 410.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity77°F75°F94%1020.1 hPa

Wind History from ECP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE3CalmE3CalmSE3S7SE4S4SE3CalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE4W5W5Calm--SE4S6
1 day agoS7S10S7S5S6S4SW4CalmE3CalmCalmE4NE4E5E3E5CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmS7NW5
2 days agoSE12SE11
G20
CalmE4E6S8S7SE3SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE12CalmNW3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City Beach (outside), St. Andrew Bay, Florida (sub)
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Panama City Beach (outside)
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:42 AM CDT     1.48 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:49 AM CDT     First Quarter
Sat -- 06:12 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 01:32 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:33 PM CDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:21 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.41.51.51.41.31.210.90.70.60.40.40.30.30.40.40.50.60.70.80.91.11.2

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City Beach, Florida
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Panama City Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:53 AM CDT     1.46 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:49 AM CDT     First Quarter
Sat -- 06:12 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 01:32 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:26 PM CDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:21 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.41.51.41.41.41.31.210.90.80.70.60.60.50.50.50.60.70.80.911.11.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.