Tuesday, July17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Hosford, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 8:41PM Tuesday July 17, 2018 1:17 AM EDT (05:17 UTC) Moonrise 10:45AMMoonset 11:25PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 907 Pm Edt Mon Jul 16 2018
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Wednesday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Thursday night and Friday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Friday night and Saturday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 907 Pm Edt Mon Jul 16 2018
Synopsis.. Low seas of 1-2 feet will shift to 2-3 feet with the weakening of high pressure and the approach of a surface front. Winds will remain southwest to west and 10-15 knots throughout the week. Chances of showers and Thunderstorms are expected each day.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hosford, FL
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location: 30.31, -84.67     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 162336
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
736 pm edt Mon jul 16 2018

Near term [through tonight]
Most showers and thunderstorms will dissipate shortly after sunset.

A 20 to 40 percent chance for a shower or thunderstorm remains
overnight, with the higher chance near the coast. Lows will be in
the mid 70s.

Aviation [through 00z Wednesday]
Most of the showers and thunderstorms will dissipate shortly
after sunset. MostlyVFR conditions are expected overnight with
the exception of MVFR CIGS at ecp. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are expected again tomorrow throughout the afternoon
and evening. Possibly in the morning hours also near the coast.

Vfr conditions are expected outside of thunderstorms. As always,
gusty winds are possible in and around thunderstorms.

Prev discussion [349 pm edt]
Short term [Tuesday through Wednesday night]
A surface trough and accompanying frontal system will approach the
area as we enter the short term. The frontal boundary will combine
with the usual seabreeze thunderstorms, resulting in widespread
showers over the next few days. With pw values exceeding 2"
throughout the period, these widespread slow-moving storms have the
potential to bring heavy rain and minor flooding to the cwa. High
temperatures will range from the upper 80s to the lower 90s while
lows hover around the mid-70s.

Long term [Thursday through Monday]
Weak trough, combined with 2.2+ pw values, will allow for likely
pops through the end of the week. While an upper level trough
slides across the eastern CONUS over the weekend, pops return to
the high end chance range (50%). Behind the trough, drier air is
possible for the beginning of the work week. While pops are still
in the chance range (30-50%) for Monday, it's our best chance over
the next week to see more normal values, but with the higher pops
oriented across the eastern half of the cwa. Highs will be in the
lower 90s with lows in the mid 70s with the upper 70s along the
coast.

Marine
Low seas of 1-2 feet will shift to 2-3 feet with the weakening of
high pressure and the approach of a surface front. Winds will
remain southwest to west and 10-15 knots throughout the week.

Chances of showers and thunderstorms are expected each day.

Fire weather
Red flag conditions will not occur for the next several days with a
very moist airmass in place.

Hydrology
The area remains in a wet pattern with widespread 2-4" of rain
expected over the next week. While widespread flooding is not
expected with this, isolated areas of heavy rain may result in
minor flooding, particularly in urbanized areas. In addition, this
could result in a few rivers reaching action stage over the next
week, particularly in the smaller basins.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 75 88 75 89 75 30 60 30 60 20
panama city 77 88 77 89 78 30 50 40 60 30
dothan 74 89 74 89 73 40 60 40 60 30
albany 74 90 76 90 74 40 60 40 70 30
valdosta 74 89 74 90 74 30 60 20 70 20
cross city 75 89 75 88 75 30 60 50 70 60
apalachicola 78 87 80 88 79 40 40 50 70 50

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Mcd
short term... Fieux skeen
long term... Fieux
aviation... Mcd
marine... Fieux skeen
fire weather... Dvd
hydrology... Fieux


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 27 mi84 min WNW 1.9 G 2.9 81°F 87°F1016.9 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 38 mi93 min W 2.9 81°F 77°F
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 44 mi30 min W 1.9 G 2.9 79°F 87°F1017.4 hPa

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tallahassee - Tallahassee International Airport, FL18 mi25 minN 010.00 miFair77°F73°F90%1017.1 hPa
Quincy Municipal Airport, FL21 mi23 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F73°F94%1017.6 hPa

Wind History from TLH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE3SE4E5CalmCalmCalmCalmSE34SE5NW8NE5S5CalmS4SW6SW8W5N8NE3CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE43NE7S13SW7SW10SW7W7SW7W4NW5CalmN3SE3SE5
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4N63W6CalmW7N6S3W3SW3CalmCalmW3N5NE4SE4E3

Tide / Current Tables for Panacea, Dickerson Bay, Florida
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Panacea
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:18 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:38 AM EDT     3.43 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:21 PM EDT     0.98 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:09 PM EDT     3.65 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:39 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.20.61.42.22.93.43.43.12.51.91.311.11.52.12.83.43.63.53.12.41.71.1

Tide / Current Tables for Shell Point, Florida
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Shell Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:39 AM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:10 AM EDT     1.52 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:36 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:00 PM EDT     1.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:58 PM EDT     2.08 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.100.20.50.91.21.41.51.51.41.21.111.11.31.51.822.121.81.51.10.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.