Wednesday, March29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gulf Breeze, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 7:07PM Wednesday March 29, 2017 6:06 PM CDT (23:06 UTC) Moonrise 7:56AMMoonset 9:01PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 330 Pm Cdt Wed Mar 29 2017
Tonight..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming south. A light chop becoming smooth to a light chop. Patchy fog after midnight.
Thursday..South winds 8 to 13 knots increasing to 13 to 18 knots. Smooth to a light chop becoming choppy. Patchy fog in the morning. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Thursday night..South winds 13 to 18 knots becoming west 8 to 13 knots. Choppy becoming a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots. A light chop becoming smooth to a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the morning.
Friday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop becoming smooth.
Saturday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast. Smooth to a light chop.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop.
Sunday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 13 to 18 knots. Choppy. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..South winds 13 to 18 knots. Choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 330 Pm Cdt Wed Mar 29 2017
Synopsis..Southerly winds will increase and seas will build through Thursday evening ahead of a developing storm system approaching from the west. A few strong to severe Thunderstorms will be possible Thursday afternoon into Thursday night. A light to moderate west to northwest flow is expected in the wake of the front on Friday. Onshore flow will strengthen again Sunday night into Monday ahead of the next storm system.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gulf Breeze, FL
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location: 30.34, -87.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 291940
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
240 pm cdt Wed mar 29 2017

Near term /now through Thursday/ Strong to severe thunderstorms
are still forecast for Thursday as a strong storm system approaches
the region from the west. A large upper level trough with embedded
closed low pressure area over north central oklahoma will advance
eastward over the central and southern great plains tonight and
approach the mississippi river on Thursday. A surface low pressure
area over the eastern portions of kansas and oklahoma this evening
will lift northeast, reaching illinois by late Thursday afternoon,
with an associated frontal boundary advancing just east of the
mississippi river.

A deep southerly wind flow ahead of the system will advect moisture
northward across the region, with precipitable water values climbing
to between 1.4 to 1.6 inches on Thursday. The severe weather
parameters in the GFS and NAM models continue to be higher when
compared to the ecmwf, with MLCAPE values between 900 to 1400 j/kg
Thursday afternoon compared to 300 to 600 j/kg from the ecmwf. Sfc-
1km storm relative helicity values from all models range from 70 to
140 m2/s2. A 35 to 45 knot low level jet is also expected to
accompany this system, along with bulk shear values around 35 knots.

Upper level lapse rates are still expected to be in 7 to 7.5 c/km
range. The pre-storm environment still favors the development of
strong to severe thunderstorms Thursday afternoon. Damaging winds,
large hail, and isolated tornadoes are all possible with this system.

Low temperatures tonight will range from 58 to 65 degrees. High
temperatures Thursday will range from 78 to 83 degrees inland areas,
and from 73 to 77 degrees along the coastal sections. /22

Short term /Thursday night through Saturday night/ The cold
front and associated line of storms is expected to move east of
the area by early Friday morning. Strong to severe thunderstorms
will remain possible along the line and with any storms ahead of
the line. The severe threat will end Friday morning as the cold
front moves east of the area. A drier airmass moves into the area
on Friday as shortwave ridging builds over the area. Upper ridging
continues to build over the area on Saturday with temps warming
into the low and mid 80s. Moisture levels increase Saturday night
ahead of another developing system. However, no precip is expected
through Saturday night. /13

Long term /Sunday through Wednesday/ A very active pattern will
continue through the extended range. Moisture levels increase
rapidly on Sunday into Sunday night as a strong southern stream
shortwave digs across southern plains. This system is forecast to
take on a negative tilt across the lower mississippi river valley
Sunday night. Meanwhile, a surface low tracks from the arklatex
to western tennessee with a trailing cold front moving across the
area Sunday night into Monday. Parameters look favorable for all
modes of severe thunderstorms during this period along with very
heavy rainfall. All interests across the area should continue to
monitor future developments. A dry period follows through Tuesday,
before yet another system brings showers and thunderstorms back
into the area on Wednesday. /13

Marine A light to moderate southerly wind flow will continue to
increase through Thursday ahead of a deep area of low pressure and
surface cold front advancing east to the mississippi river. South
winds at 15 to 20 knots can be expected by midday Thursday through
Thursday evening then shifting west to northwest late Thursday
evening through the overnight hours and diminish to 10 to 15 knots.

Expect scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to approach
from the west Thursday afternoon and move east of the marine area by
early Friday morning. A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be
possible with this pattern. Small craft should exercise caution
Thursday afternoon and evening. Southerly winds redevelop over the
weekend building by early next week as another upper system
approaches from the west. /22

Preliminary point temps/pops
Mobile 65 77 58 81 / 0 70 70 10
pensacola 66 77 62 78 / 0 60 80 10
destin 66 75 65 75 / 0 50 80 20
evergreen 59 81 59 80 / 0 50 80 10
waynesboro 63 79 54 79 / 10 60 60 0
camden 60 81 58 78 / 0 50 80 10
crestview 58 81 61 81 / 0 40 80 10

Mob watches/warnings/advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.Gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 5 mi49 min S 6 G 8.9
PPTA1 21 mi67 min ESE 8.9 75°F 1014.9 hPa (-2.4)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 28 mi77 min ESE 12 G 14 72°F 73°F3 ft1014.7 hPa (-2.6)68°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 35 mi67 min SE 12 1014.2 hPa
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 36 mi82 min 78°F 65°F
WBYA1 36 mi49 min 78°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 46 mi67 min SE 16 73°F 1014.2 hPa (-3.0)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 46 mi49 min SE 18 G 19 73°F
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 47 mi37 min S 8.9 75°F 1014.2 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 49 mi67 min ESE 15 G 16 73°F 1014.2 hPa (-2.5)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL8 mi71 minSSE 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy76°F64°F67%1015.2 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL9 mi74 minSE 1210.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F64°F64%1015.3 hPa

Wind History from NPA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS9S8S7SW6S8S7S5S4S4S5S6SE6CalmCalmSE6SE8SE11SE9SE11S9
G20
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1 day agoS8S8S10S7S8S8S8S7S9S7S9S8SW5SW6SW7SW9S9S12S10S13S13S14SW10S9
2 days agoS9S7S8S9S10S8S7S7S5S4SE4CalmS4E3SE4SE8SE9S11S10SE11SE13S10S11S10

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
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Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:27 AM CDT     0.70 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:38 AM CDT     0.69 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:41 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:55 AM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:08 PM CDT     0.99 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:05 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:00 PM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 10:02 PM CDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.50.60.70.70.70.70.70.70.80.80.91110.90.80.60.40.30.10.100.1

Tide / Current Tables for Warrington, 2 miles south of, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Warrington
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:19 AM CDT     0.64 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:17 AM CDT     0.63 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:41 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:56 AM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:00 PM CDT     0.90 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:06 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:41 PM CDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:01 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.60.60.60.60.60.60.70.70.80.80.90.90.90.80.70.50.40.20.1000.10.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.