Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gulf Breeze, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:47AMSunset 7:43PM Sunday May 26, 2019 10:42 AM CDT (15:42 UTC) Moonrise 1:24AMMoonset 12:36PM Illumination 49% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Expires:201905270330;;494597 Fzus54 Kmob 261518 Cwfmob Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mobile Al 1018 Am Cdt Sun May 26 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters Okaloosa Walton County Line To Pascagoula Out 60 Nm Seas Are Given As Significant Wave Height...which Is The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves. Individual Waves May Be More Than Twice The Significant Wave Height. Winds And Seas Will Be Higher In And Around Thunderstorms. Gmz650-655-270330- Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 1018 Am Cdt Sun May 26 2019
Rest of today..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Monday..South winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds.
Monday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Tuesday..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds.
Tuesday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Wednesday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Thursday..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1018 Am Cdt Sun May 26 2019
Synopsis..A surface ridge stretching west over the northern gulf of mexico will bring light to occasionally moderate mainly southeast to south winds to the marine area through mid week. The persistent onshore flow, which increases slightly by mid week, will bring a gradual, slight building in seas offshore as the week progresses.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gulf Breeze, FL
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location: 30.34, -87.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 261138 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
638 am cdt Sun may 26 2019

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
12z issuance...VFR conditions expected through the period, with
light southerly evening and overnight winds become southeast to
south around 10 knots during the day.

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Prev discussion issued 451 am cdt Sun may 26 2019
near term now through Sunday night ... Upper level high pressure
remains in place over the eastern CONUS and gulf of mexico through
the near term. Guidance is consistent in the strength of the ridge
being maintained from yesterday, but with a slug of higher
moisture levels moving inland over the area from the gulf today,
heat indices will see an increase from yesterday, with maximum
values of 100 to 106 expected. Temperatures will also see a slight
increase from yesterday, with highs ranging from the upper 90s
west to near 100 over eastern portions of the forecast area. Highs
around 90 are expected close to the coast. With the well above
seasonal temperatures, records for the date are threatened. Record
highs for today for the area are:
mobile 96 set in 1962 and 1953
pensacola 98 set in 2012 and 1953
tonight will continue the well above seasonal trend with lows
ranging from the upper 60s inland to mid 70s close to the coast.

The increase in moisture levels will also bring a greater chance
of fog development after midnight tonight, so added fog into the
forecast beginning after midnight and lasting to the first hours
after sunrise.

Have kept the high risk of rip currents on area beaches for today.

Guidance for buoy 42040 is advertising a 2-3 foot 6 sec period
swell lasting through today before easing tonight into Monday.

This is lower than the current 3ft 6 sec observations for the last
day or two. Bumping the forecast up to match the observation, the
high risk today will become a moderate risk tonight into Monday.

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short term Monday through Tuesday night ... The upper level ridge
centered over the deep south, the northern gulf of mexico, and the
north florida peninsula will shift slightly southeastward through
the short term. This shift is in response to an upper closed low
pressure area over the desert southwest, embedded in a large
western CONUS trough, lifting northeast to the northern plains,
while the trough moves only slightly eastward. This will have
little to no effect on the movement of the surface ridge of high
pressure stretching from the western atlantic across the southeast
states and eastern gulf, thus maintaining the light southerly wind
flow and influx of boundary layer moisture from the gulf across
the forecast area. However, we will still be influenced by a dry
westerly to southwesterly mid to upper level wind flow, and when
combined with subsidence from the upper ridge, the dry conditions
will persist through Tuesday night. The strong high pressure
systems will also keep temperatures well above seasonal norms for
the short term, with high temperatures Monday in the mid to upper
90 over inland areas, with mid 90s on Tuesday. High temperatures
along the coastal sections will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

Afternoon heat indices will generally range from the mid 90s to
lower 100s across the entire forecast area both days. Low temps
Monday night will drop into the mid to upper 60s inland areas, and
range from 70 to 75 degrees along the coastal sections. Low temps
Tuesday night will be slightly warmer. With the boundary layer
moisture remaining, there is a continued chance of fog forming
after midnight each night. 22
long term Wednesday through Saturday ... A series of upper level
shortwaves and disturbances moving through the upper trough over
the western CONUS will eject eastward, passing north of the
forecast area. This will seemingly flatten the upper ridge over
the region and push it southward, with mid and upper level
moisture advecting in from the west. A weak cold front associated
with a surface low over the midwest states will approach the
region from the northwest on Thursday, possibly entering in the
forecast area Thursday night and stalling on Friday. The dry
conditions will persist through Wednesday night, followed by a
chance of showers and thunderstorms returning to the forecast area
Thursday and Friday. Isolated showers and thunderstorms remain
possible Friday night and Saturday along the stalled boundary.

Temperatures will remain above seasonal levels, just not as high
as the levels we are currently experiencing. 22
marine... A surface ridge will continue to stretch west over the
northern gulf of mexico though the week. Light to occasionally
moderate winds are expected. A slight increase in the average
speed along with continued onshore flow will bring a slow build in
seas through the week. 16

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... High rip current risk through this evening for alz265-266.

Fl... High rip current risk through this evening for flz202-204-206.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 5 mi43 min E 1.9 G 5.1 91°F 84°F1021 hPa (+0.0)
PPTA1 21 mi43 min 87°F 1021.3 hPa (+0.7)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 28 mi63 min 2 ft
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 35 mi103 min ENE 5.1 85°F 1020.7 hPa (+1.0)
WBYA1 36 mi43 min 82°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 36 mi118 min 87°F 1021 hPa71°F
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 46 mi43 min SE 7 G 8 86°F 1020.9 hPa (+0.5)
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 47 mi43 min Calm 86°F 1021 hPa (+0.0)
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 49 mi43 min SE 6 G 7 85°F 1020.8 hPa (+0.4)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL8 mi47 minE 510.00 miFair90°F64°F44%1020.7 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL9 mi50 minSE 510.00 miFair90°F64°F44%1020.7 hPa

Wind History from NPA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr5S7S96S74S5SW4SW3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmN3E6E5
1 day agoE7SE9SE8S9S10S9S9SW7S6SW3S3S3S3S4S3S3NW3CalmCalmN3N4N4N5N5
2 days agoSE12SE12SE11S9S12S10SE8S6SE9S9SE9S6S4CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE6E7SE7SE9

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
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Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:23 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:39 AM CDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:49 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:34 AM CDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 12:36 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:04 PM CDT     1.16 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:42 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.30.20.10.10.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.911.11.11.21.11.110.90.80.7

Tide / Current Tables for Warrington, 2 miles south of, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Warrington
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:24 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:18 AM CDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:49 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:34 AM CDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 12:37 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:56 PM CDT     1.06 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:42 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.10.10.10.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.90.9111.1110.90.80.70.60.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.