Wednesday, December13, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gulf Breeze, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 4:50PM Wednesday December 13, 2017 4:52 AM CST (10:52 UTC) Moonrise 3:22AMMoonset 3:09PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 328 Am Cst Wed Dec 13 2017
.small craft should exercise caution tonight...
Today..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Tonight..Southwest winds 13 to 18 knots becoming west. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Thursday..West winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Thursday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming north. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Friday..North winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 3 seconds. Chance of showers in the morning, then slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..North winds 13 to 18 knots becoming northeast. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Saturday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 1 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers.
Sunday..South winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Showers and chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet. Showers and chance of Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 328 Am Cst Wed Dec 13 2017
Synopsis..High pressure slips southeast over the gulf through the middle part of the week, bringing light to occasionally moderate southwest and westerly flow. The next in a series of cold frontal passages will bring the next wind shift late Thursday into Friday, with a moderate northwest flow in its wake. A more established onshore flow and a return to a higher chance of showers and storms sets up over the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gulf Breeze, FL
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location: 30.34, -87.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 131030
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
430 am cst Wed dec 13 2017

Near term now through Wednesday night Surface high pressure
builds over the eastern gulf through the near term, beneath a
zonal flow pattern aloft. Local winds shift to more southwesterly
and we see a slight bump in moisture as a result. Otherwise, the
near term remains dry beneath mostly clear skies. Southwest flow
and bump in moisture means low temps stay above freezing for most
tonight, with the exception being areas north of highway 84 where
temps could dip to around freezing. 49

Short term Thursday through Friday night Zonal flow aloft
will persist over the region downstream of a developing upper low
pressure area over northwest mexico. Light southwesterly to
westerly winds on Thursday afternoon will precede a weak cold
front approaching from the north. This front will move south
across the area Thursday night, bringing a northerly flow back
into the region on Friday. A few showers may occur along the coast
Friday morning with the passage of the front. Otherwise, rain-
free conditions will persist through the short term. 22

Long term Saturday through Tuesday The upper closed low
pressure area over northwest mexico will lift northeast over
western texas, and evolve into an open wave as it merges with a
strong upper level shortwave moving from west to east from the
great plains to the east coast early next week. Meanwhile, a
1025mb surface high pressure area over the southeast states
Saturday morning will move northeast as a developing surface low
pressure area across the western gulf of mexico lifts northeast
across the southern mississippi river region. Flow will follow
late Saturday and Sunday as the center of high pressure moves east
of the area.

There is better timing with this system between the ECMWF and gfs
this run, with a 40 to 60 knot low level jet setting up over the
forecast area on Sunday. A 120 to 140 upper level jet is still
expected to develop over the eastern conus, with the forecast area
residing in the favorable right entrance region on Sunday.

Adequate wind shear will certainly be in place early next week
with this system, along with upper level diffluence and mid level
lift, instability in the low to mid levels is still undefined.

The dry period will persist through midnight Saturday night,
followed rain increasing from west to east after midnight. A 90
percent chance of precipitation is forecast for Sunday. Given
the strong dynamics advertised by the models, increased to a
chance of thunderstorms embedded in the definite rain showers.

This system may bring a round of strong to marginal severe
weather with damaging winds and possible tornadoes being the main
threats if higher MLCAPE values are realized. 22

Marine Offshore flow weakens today before becoming
southwesterly and increasing back to exercise caution levels
tonight into early Thursday. A lighter west flow then sets up
Thursday before another front moves through and moderate offshore
flow develops Friday. Moderate to strong onshore flow returns by
Sunday ahead of yet another approaching front. Seas generally
around 2 to 4 feet through the end of the week, then building to 5
to 8 feet Sunday due to the onset of stronger onshore winds. 49

Preliminary point temps pops
Mobile 58 43 65 41 53 35 58 50 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 40
pensacola 58 48 66 47 56 39 58 52 0 0 0 10 20 10 10 30
destin 58 51 66 51 58 42 59 53 0 0 0 10 20 10 10 20
evergreen 59 39 65 40 52 33 58 44 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20
waynesboro 58 35 61 35 49 30 56 43 0 0 0 0 10 0 10 50
camden 58 36 62 37 50 32 57 42 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20
crestview 58 39 67 43 56 34 59 45 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 5 mi53 min 41°F 56°F1020.5 hPa (+0.0)
PPTA1 21 mi53 min 42°F 1020.7 hPa (+0.7)
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 36 mi68 min 36°F 1020 hPa35°F
WBYA1 36 mi53 min 45°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 46 mi83 min N 18 46°F 1020.7 hPa
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 46 mi53 min NNE 13 G 15 46°F
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 47 mi53 min N 5.1 40°F 1020.3 hPa (+0.0)
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 49 mi53 min N 12 G 13 46°F 1020.9 hPa (+0.4)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL8 mi1.9 hrsN 5 miFair40°F33°F77%1020.3 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL9 mi60 minN 710.00 miFair41°F32°F70%1020.5 hPa

Wind History from NPA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7W7NW8
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N11NW7NW5NW4CalmW3W3NW4NW9NW9NW5N4N5N7
1 day agoCalmCalmNW4CalmW4W4W66SW7W7
G14
SW7SW10SW5SW6SW8W7W6W5W5W7W6W4W6W6
2 days agoNW3N4N3CalmE63444SE5W4SW5W5W3CalmCalmW3W3CalmNW3NW4NW3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
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Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:21 AM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:32 AM CST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:36 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 02:09 PM CST     Moonset
Wed -- 04:49 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:35 PM CST     1.13 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.50.40.20.100000.10.10.20.20.30.40.50.70.80.91.11.11.11.10.9

Tide / Current Tables for Warrington, 2 miles south of, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Warrington
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:22 AM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:11 AM CST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:37 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 02:09 PM CST     Moonset
Wed -- 04:49 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:27 PM CST     1.03 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.30.20.100000.10.10.20.20.30.40.50.60.80.911110.80.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.