Tuesday, June27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Navarre Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 7:54PM Tuesday June 27, 2017 12:35 PM CDT (17:35 UTC) Moonrise 9:39AMMoonset 11:05PM Illumination 14% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 1007 Am Cdt Tue Jun 27 2017
Rest of today..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..Winds light. Smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast 8 to 13 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Smooth to a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..South winds 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 1007 Am Cdt Tue Jun 27 2017
Synopsis..Surface ridge of high pressure over the midwest will shift over the eastern seaboard and western atlantic by midweek, with light southerly flow setting up over the local marine area this afternoon. Southerly winds will become better established by midweek as the surface ridge to the north shifts east. Increasing chances for showers and storms will accompany increased moisture Wednesday through the latter half of this week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Navarre Beach, FL
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location: 30.37, -86.94     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 271721
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
1221 pm cdt Tue jun 27 2017

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
18z issuance...VFR conditions and light easterly flow prevails
through the forecast period. A few isolated showers and storms are
possible along the coast this afternoon, with any activity tapering
off after 28.00z. 49

Prev discussion issued 546 am cdt Tue jun 27 2017
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

12z issuance... MostlyVFR through the period as surface winds
veer from light northeasterly to more easterly by this taf
period's end. Mid and high clouds will continue streaming across
the area. An isolated thunderstorm is possible from 27.21 utc to
28.01 utc generally south of the i-10 corridor. 23 jmm
prev discussion... Issued 349 am cdt Tue jun 27 2017
near term now through Tuesday night ... Early this morning a stationary
front was located offshore with developing precipitation along it
across southern la east to well south of the alabama coast. Light ne
surface wind flow was in progress. Deep layer moistening is in store
next two days as upper tropospheric wave moves east out of tx today
and beings to reflect down into the mid-troposphere. This happens in
the well know 'break between two ridges.' the approach of the wave
excites the lower tropospheric winds to veer to a more SE direction
by tonight. As far as thunderstorm development today, expect them to
mostly remain offshore with the exception of the immediate coast.

The light e->ne boundary layer wind flow will oppose the developing
seabreeze and with the moisture return, so there may be some very
isolated deep convection from 20z-01z, or so. Any deep convection
will diminish during the early evening, but thunderstorm coverage
will be above average however over the al coastal waters tonight as
return flow begins and the aforementioned upper low shear zone
orients itself from ssw to nne across our area. 23 jmm
short term Wednesday through Thursday night ... Surface high
pressure over the mid atlantic states will slowly migrate offshore
by mid day Wednesday. Moisture levels begin to increase with
southerly return flow around the southwestern periphery of the
surface high. Accordingly, pops will increase into the chance
category for Wednesday afternoon.

Southerly flow will be firmly in place Thursday morning with
increasing deep layer moisture. Precipitable water values will be
above two inches with some areas approaching 2.2 inches. A subtle
weakness in the mid level height field between a strong ridge over
the southwestern atlantic and another over northern mexico will
provide modest support for upward vertical motion across the area,
which, when combined with ample deep layer moisture, will result
in likely pops for most areas Thursday afternoon. Showers and
storms will likely be ongoing near and offshore Thursday morning
and will spread inland as the day progresses. Temperatures will be
held down Thursday afternoon due to increased coverage of showers
and storms and associated cloud cover, generally low 80s are
expected with a few mid 80s across our northern counties where
storm coverage will be slightly reduced. Low temperatures Thursday
into Friday will be in the low 70s with mid 70s at the beaches.

05 rr
long term Friday through Monday ... Not much change on the large
scale pattern for Friday with a continued weakness in the mid
level height field near the area and copious gulf moisture in
place. Will show likely pops for Friday afternoon into the
evening. Coverage should decrease a few hours after sunset but
some showers and storms will be possible into the overnight.

Temperatures will be slightly warmer on Friday with mid 80s across
the area. Continued warm overnight temps with low to mid 70s
expected.

The weakness between the two ridges will begin to fill on Saturday
and Sunday leading to lower coverage of showers and storms for the
weekend. Absent much in the way of mid and upper level support,
storm initiation will likely be closely tied to mesoscale boundaries
(gulf bay breezes and old outflow boundaries from previous
convection). This pattern will continue into the first part of the
work week with generally climatological pops expected. With
decreased shower and storm coverage we will see an uptick in
afternoon high temperatures with mid to upper 80s for most Saturday
with perhaps a few 90s inland by Sunday and Monday afternoons.

05 rr
marine... Today a light NE wind flow becomes more easterly. By
early Wednesday, surface winds will become southerly and increase
and seas will then once again build solidly to around 2 feet
Wednesday night and early Thursday. Also shower and thunderstorm
coverage increases from the southwest. Waves continue around 2
feet Thursday with an increase to 3 feet in our southwestern zones
late Thursday into Friday with continued southerly flow. Greatest
coverage of showers and storms will come Thursday and Friday
before backing off modestly for the weekend period. 23 05

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 15 mi47 min 85°F 82°F1016.8 hPa
PPTA1 33 mi65 min Calm 82°F 1017.3 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 39 mi45 min NE 3.9 G 5.8 80°F 82°F1 ft1016.1 hPa (-0.5)74°F
WBYA1 47 mi47 min 81°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 57 mi65 min N 6 81°F 1016.9 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hurlburt Field, FL14 mi97 minVar 310.00 miMostly Cloudy85°F63°F49%1016.1 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL15 mi42 minN 010.00 miFair87°F69°F55%1016.7 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL20 mi1.7 hrsVar 310.00 miOvercast83°F69°F63%1016.5 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL23 mi1.7 hrsNNW 310.00 miMostly Cloudy85°F68°F59%1017.1 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL23 mi1.7 hrsENE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy88°F73°F61%1015 hPa

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Last 24hrN4S9S7SW7SW6SW4SW4CalmCalmCalmN3N4N5N3N4NW4N3CalmCalmNE3--Calm3S9
1 day agoSE12SE4SE5CalmN5N4CalmSE5CalmCalmCalmN8N4N5N4--N3N4N6N7N8NE4N5N4
2 days agoS11
G17
SW8SW8
G15
SW4SW6SW7SW8SW7SW6SW4SW3SW3CalmSW3W3N3CalmNW3N3NW4N6N6N7NW6

Tide / Current Tables for Navarre Beach, Florida (sub)
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Navarre Beach
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:47 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:38 AM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:29 AM CDT     1.66 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:53 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:04 PM CDT     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:04 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.3-0.200.20.50.70.91.11.31.51.61.61.61.61.41.20.90.60.40.1-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2

Tide / Current Tables for East Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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East Bay
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:30 AM CDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:47 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:38 AM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:26 PM CDT     1.82 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:53 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:04 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-00.10.30.50.70.91.21.41.61.71.81.81.71.61.41.20.90.70.40.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.