Monday, June26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bayou La Batre, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:53AMSunset 8:01PM Monday June 26, 2017 5:20 PM CDT (22:20 UTC) Moonrise 8:40AMMoonset 10:26PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ632 Southern Mobile Bay-mississippi Sound- 353 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 26 2017
Tonight..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming north 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast. Smooth to a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast 8 to 13 knots. A light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots increasing to 8 to 13 knots. A light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Smooth to a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 353 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 26 2017
Synopsis..A weak surface ridge of high pressure extending over the marine area will result in light to occasionally moderate onshore flow developing during the day and light to moderate offshore flow at night through Tuesday night. A light to moderate onshore flow becomes established Wednesday and continues into the weekend as surface high pressure becomes oriented from the western atlantic to eastern gulf of mexico.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bayou La Batre, AL
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location: 30.37, -88.28     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 262059
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
359 pm cdt Mon jun 26 2017

Near term now through Tuesday
A generally zonal mid level flow pattern prevails across our
forecast area this afternoon on the base of a broad upper level
trough that extends across much of the eastern conus. A surface
ridge of high pressure meanwhile continues to build southward across
the mississippi and tennessee valley regions and into the central
gulf coast states this afternoon. Area radars are detecting no
precipitation across the area this afternoon, with visible satellite
imagery only showing scattered to occasionally broken mid and high
clouds moving overhead. A pleasantly drier airmass is in place over
our area courtesy of the building surface ridge with dewpoints in
the 50s to around 60 over most areas. The one exception is near the
immediate coast where a weak seabreeze has developed, with light
southerly winds bringing dewpoints up to near 70 around the destin
area.

Little change to the overall pattern is forecast through the next 24
hours. The broad upper trough does shift eastward some through
Tuesday afternoon, but a general zonal to slightly northwest flow
aloft continues over our area, while the surface ridge continues to
build from the ohio and tennessee valleys to the southeastern
states. Mostly clear to partly cloudy skies are expected through the
period. Dry weather is anticipated through Tuesday morning. Enough
moisture convergence and instability may become available to aid in
the development of isolated showers storms along a weak seabreeze
over the western fl panhandle and portions of southwest al by
Tuesday afternoon, but pops should be 20% or less. Lows tonight are
forecast to range in the mid to upper 60s inland to 70-75 near the
immediate coast and beaches. Highs Tuesday should warm to around 90
inland with mid to upper 80s expected along the immediate coast and
beaches. 21

Short term Tuesday night through Thursday night
The upper trough axis along the east coast of the country will move
offshore Tuesday night into Wednesday. A weak northwesterly flow on
the back side of the trough will likely keep weather conditions dry
over most of the forecast area, as precipitable water values remain
below seasonal normals for this time of year. Expect any (coastal)
showers or thunderstorms to push offshore after sunset Tuesday as
the flow aloft becomes increasingly zonal.

Boundary layer winds become more southerly for Wednesday, allowing
low-level moisture to start its return. Even with a weakness
remaining in the upper ridge over the northwestern gulf of mexico
through Thursday, any convection is expected to be dominated by
mesoscale processes (e.G., sea and bay breezes). This should allow
greater odds for seeing showers and thunderstorms for mid-week, with
the greatest coverage expected to be along and south of the us-84
corridor Wednesday. Most of the convection should be diurnally
driven, with any lingering showers or thunderstorms largely
confined to coastal areas and offshore after sunset.

Long term Friday through Monday
Weakness in the upper-level ridge weakens as it retrogrades into
northeastern mexico. This should allow broad ridging to continue
over the southern u.S., with a more-or-less zonal pattern in place.

The overall trend will indicate slightly warming afternoon
temperatures as overall soil moisture continues to decrease.

Regarding convection... I'm still struggling with a determination of
convective coverage through the long term portion of the forecast. A
generally subsident motion, thanks to broad ridging in place, will
likely limit convective coverage somewhat. However, a shortwave
trough is forecast to slightly amplify the flow by day 6 7 as it
dives toward the upper midwest. In addition, with low-level ridging
centered in the atlantic, southerly winds through the boundary layer
should continue to deepen moisture over the region. There are some
indications that precipitable water values may rise to 1 or 2
standard deviations above climatological means by the weekend.

All-in-all, it's a conundrum between subsidence and moisture. And
given everything i'm seeing, i'll keep shower and thunderstorm
probabilities in "chance" territory through the weekend, which is a
skosh below blended guidance. 02

Marine
Weak surface ridging is forecast to extend across the northern gulf
of mexico through Tuesday night. A light to moderate offshore flow
is expected to develop in the evening through early morning hours,
with light to moderate onshore flow returning during the day,
especially near bays and sounds. A light to moderate onshore flow
becomes established Wednesday and continues into the weekend as
surface high pressure becomes oriented from the western atlantic to
eastern gulf of mexico. 21

Preliminary point temps pops
Mobile 66 89 70 86 0 10 10 30
pensacola 71 88 72 85 10 20 20 30
destin 75 88 75 85 10 20 20 30
evergreen 65 91 68 88 0 10 10 30
waynesboro 63 90 65 88 0 10 10 30
camden 65 90 68 88 0 10 10 20
crestview 67 91 70 87 0 20 20 30

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 7 mi95 min NNE 7 85°F 1018 hPa62°F
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 9 mi80 min NE 11 84°F 1017.3 hPa (-1.7)
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 9 mi50 min NE 11 84°F 1016.6 hPa
ULAM6 - 8741041 - Dock E. Port of Pascagoula, MS 12 mi50 min 83°F
RARM6 - 8741094 - Range A rear, Pascagoula, MS 12 mi50 min NNE 7 G 12 89°F 1016.3 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 14 mi80 min N 14 G 15 83°F 1016.7 hPa (-2.1)
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 15 mi50 min 80°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 15 mi80 min N 15 84°F 1016.6 hPa (-2.7)
DKCM6 - 8741501 - Dock C, Pascagoula, MS 15 mi50 min N 6 G 8.9 87°F 1016.6 hPa
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 16 mi50 min E 2.9 G 4.1 84°F 1017.5 hPa
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 17 mi50 min N 15 G 17 84°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 23 mi50 min NNE 6 G 12 85°F 79°F1017.5 hPa
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 24 mi80 min NNE 7 86°F 1016.3 hPa (-2.0)
WBYA1 24 mi50 min 82°F
PTOA1 25 mi50 min 86°F 59°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 26 mi50 min 86°F 80°F1016.9 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 27 mi50 min NNW 7 85°F 1016.9 hPa
42067 - USM3M02 30 mi100 min E 5.8 G 5.8 81°F 2 ft1017.5 hPa66°F
PPTA1 39 mi50 min S 5.1 83°F 1016.3 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 44 mi90 min SE 5.8 G 5.8 80°F 82°F1 ft1016.7 hPa (-2.0)66°F

Wind History for Range A Rear, Port of Pascagoula, MS
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Moss Point - Trent Lott International Airport, MS15 mi27 minNNE 710.00 miFair88°F59°F38%1016.6 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL21 mi24 minNE 610.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F60°F42%1016.9 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL22 mi45 minN 410.00 miFair86°F59°F40%1016.6 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL22 mi27 minN 810.00 miFair87°F60°F40%1017.1 hPa

Wind History from PQL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN5N4N5NE5N4N3NE4CalmN4NE3N3N4N5N5NE5NE65NE7NE4N8CalmN9N6NE7
1 day agoSW6SW4SW3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4N6N6N76N6N6E5E3N8N7
2 days agoS7S7
G15
4S5S43S4SW3SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS44W3N83N4W3S44SW5

Tide / Current Tables for Bayou La Batre, Mississippi Sound, Alabama
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Bayou La Batre
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:53 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:40 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:20 PM CDT     1.87 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:58 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:25 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:52 PM CDT     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.4-0.3-0.10.10.40.60.91.11.31.51.71.81.91.81.71.51.30.90.60.3-0-0.2-0.3-0.4

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current
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Mobile Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:07 AM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:52 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:39 AM CDT     2.51 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 08:39 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:37 PM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:24 PM CDT     -2.44 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:57 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:24 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.7-0.10.51.11.622.32.52.52.42.11.61.10.4-0.2-0.9-1.5-2-2.3-2.4-2.4-2.2-1.9-1.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.