Wednesday, May23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bayou La Batre, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:54AMSunset 7:48PM Wednesday May 23, 2018 5:50 AM CDT (10:50 UTC) Moonrise 2:16PMMoonset 2:24AM Illumination 61% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ632 Southern Mobile Bay-mississippi Sound- 520 Am Cdt Wed May 23 2018
Today..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming south. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming east. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Thursday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..East winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Friday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Saturday..East winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves 2 to 3 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Sunday..Southeast winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves 2 to 3 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves 2 to 3 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 520 Am Cdt Wed May 23 2018
Synopsis..A generally light to moderate onshore flow will persist over the marine area through early Friday as a weak surface ridge of high pressure remains across the eastern gulf. An east to southeast windflow is expected to strengthen and seas build late Friday through early next week in response to a developing surface low tracking northward over the central gulf. Due to the uncertainiltyy with the track and intensity of the low pressure system over the gulf winds and seas could be higher by the weekend. Stay tuned for further updates on this pattern in the central gulf throughou the week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bayou La Batre, AL
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location: 30.37, -88.28     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 231007
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
507 am cdt Wed may 23 2018

Near term now through Wednesday night A weak mid to upper trof
continues over the NW gulf and eastern texas combined with a
sharp upper ridge stretching from the fl peninsula to the mid ms
river valley helping to maintain a persistent onshore flow and
continued moisture advection across the north central gulf states
and forecast area through tonight. With this pattern the best mid
level forcing or lift is noted over coastal and eastern sections
of the forecast area early today shifting inland across the
northern and central sections of the forecast area by afternoon
and early evening, initiated also from an advancing seabreeze
circulation shifting northward over the forecast area by early to
mid afternoon. Latest model soundings continue to show pwats
generally from 1.6 to 1.7 inches across the forecast area with
good dryness aloft combined with surface based capes ranging from
1500 to 2000 j kg, thus possibly leading to a few strong
thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Lapse rates in the
boundary layer also range from 6.1 to 6.9 c km which also support
this reasoning. Gusty straight line winds, frequent cloud to
ground lightning and periods of very heavy rain can be expected
with most of the stronger thunderstorms this afternoon and
evening. Due to a saturated ground surface for most areas some
minor flooding will also be possible today and early tonight,
especially in urban settings and locations with poor drainage.

Stay tuned to local media outlets or NOAA weather radio if
threatening weather is approaching your area.

Both day and nighttime temps will continue to be moderated somewhat
due to persistent moisture aloft in the form cloudiness and precip.

Similar to yesterday highs will range from the mid to upper 80s over
eastern and coastal sections of the forecast area and the upper 80s
to around 90 to the west. 32 ee

Short term Thursday through Friday night Weak upper trof over
the western and central gulf of mexico becomes better defined
through Friday night. Surface low pressure will likely develop at
the base of this trof by early Friday over the southern gulf of
mexico and begin to lift slowly north by late Friday night. Still
quite a bit of uncertainty with regard to where and when this
surface low develops, and the direction that it ultimately moves.

While models remain different in their solutions, it does appear
that a surface low will develop and drift north or northeast
across the central or eastern gulf of mexico, beginning at the end
of the short term period (and continuing into the long term
period). The national hurricane center currently has a 50 percent
chance that the low will become a subtropical or tropical cyclone
over the central or eastern gulf over the next 5 days. If this
happens, it appears that it will be toward the end of the short
term period and into the long term period. In general, for the
short term, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will
continue, especially during the afternoon and evening hours over
land areas with some scattered convection over the near shore
coastal waters during the overnight hours. 12 ds

Long term Saturday through Tuesday The forecast during the
long term period will depend almost entirely on the timing and
movement of the anticipated gulf low pressure system. Should this
system materialize as anticipated, a movement to the north
central or northeast gulf coast looks most likely. The current ecmwf
model run is a little slower in the development and the movement
north of the system than previous runs, but continues to move the
low to the north central northeast gulf coast in the late Saturday
into Sunday night timeframe. The GFS model continues to be slower
with development and more toward the west coast of florida through
Sunday night. Both the ECMWF and GFS linger the low inland over
the southeast us through Tuesday, but in different locations, with
the ECMWF over the lower mississippi river area while the GFS is
further east over georgia and alabama. Both scenarios would
support numerous showers and storms through the long term period
with the potential for locally heavy rainfall and possible flash
flooding over portions of the forecast area. Will continue with
the trend of higher rainfall amounts closer to the coast, where
latest wpc guidance indicates 3 to 5 inches of rainfall with
locally higher amounts will be possible through Tuesday. The
potential for high surf, minor coastal flooding, and even a slight
potential for tornadic storms is there in the long term period as
the expected surface low moves into the area, but it is simply
too far in advance with the uncertainties to give any specifics on
this. We will continue to monitor this developing situation.

12 ds

Marine With a persistent upper trof to the west combined with a
sharp ridge to the east a light to moderate onshore flow will
continue over the marine area through early fri. A better onshore
flow is expected by Fri and will continue through early next week in
response to a developing surface low advancing northward over the
central gulf. Due to the uncertainty with the track and intensity
of the developing low over the gulf, higher winds and seas will
be possible compared to the current forecast. Scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue over the marine
area both day and night through early Fri followed by better
coverage late Fri through early next week due to the developing
system over the central gulf. Stay tuned for further updates
throughout the week on this developing pattern over the central
gulf. 32 ee

Preliminary point temps pops
Mobile 89 70 88 68 87 68 85 67 60 30 70 50 70 60 80 60
pensacola 86 73 86 72 85 71 83 71 60 30 70 50 70 60 80 60
destin 83 75 83 74 83 73 81 74 60 30 70 50 60 60 80 70
evergreen 87 69 88 67 86 67 84 68 80 40 70 50 70 50 70 60
waynesboro 88 69 87 67 86 67 83 67 70 50 70 40 70 50 70 60
camden 87 70 86 69 86 68 83 68 70 40 60 50 70 50 70 60
crestview 86 70 87 68 86 67 83 68 70 30 70 40 70 50 60 60

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 7 mi66 min E 1.9 75°F 1017 hPa71°F
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 9 mi81 min E 1 78°F 1016.3 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 9 mi81 min N 6 79°F 1016.6 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 14 mi51 min W 8.9 G 11 76°F 1016.6 hPa (+0.3)71°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 15 mi81 min S 4.1 78°F 1016.6 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 15 mi51 min 81°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 16 mi51 min NE 1.9 G 1.9 76°F 1017.2 hPa (-0.0)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 17 mi51 min WSW 1 G 1.9 77°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 23 mi51 min SSW 1 G 1.9 74°F 1016.4 hPa (-0.4)
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 24 mi51 min SW 7 80°F 1016.3 hPa
WBYA1 24 mi51 min 81°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 24 mi66 min 73°F 1016 hPa72°F
PTOA1 25 mi51 min 78°F 74°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 26 mi51 min 1016.3 hPa (-0.4)
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 27 mi51 min E 1.9 75°F 1016.6 hPa (-0.7)
PPTA1 39 mi51 min 80°F 1016.3 hPa (-0.7)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 44 mi41 min SSE 5.8 G 9.7 79°F 1016.5 hPa74°F

Wind History for Range A Rear, Port of Pascagoula, MS
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Moss Point - Trent Lott International Airport, MS15 mi58 minN 08.00 miFair69°F66°F93%1016.4 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL21 mi1.9 hrsN 010.00 miFair71°F69°F94%1016.4 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL22 mi76 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy72°F71°F100%1016.6 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL22 mi58 minN 010.00 miFair72°F71°F97%1016.7 hPa

Wind History from PQL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmN3W3N53S8S54S7SW6S5S5SW4S3CalmN5CalmCalmN4N3CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoNE3CalmE5NE53NE3N74SW6CalmCalm3SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmE4Calm545S8SE9S8S9SE8S3CalmCalmCalmNE3E3E3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Bayou La Batre, Mississippi Sound, Alabama
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Bayou La Batre
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:24 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:30 AM CDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:54 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 01:17 PM CDT     1.07 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:16 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:45 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.40.30.30.40.50.60.70.80.9111.11.11.11.111110.90.90.80.7

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current
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Mobile Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:23 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:08 AM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:54 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:53 AM CDT     0.93 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 02:15 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:48 PM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:44 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:16 PM CDT     -0.80 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.3-1.2-0.9-0.7-0.4-00.20.50.70.80.90.90.90.80.70.60.40.2-0-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.7-0.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.