Monday, March25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cinco Bayou, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 7:02PM Monday March 25, 2019 5:56 PM CDT (22:56 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 10:07AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Expires:201903260900;;334852 Fzus54 Kmob 252047 Cwfmob Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mobile Al 347 Pm Cdt Mon Mar 25 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters Okaloosa Walton County Line To Pascagoula Out 60 Nm Seas Are Given As Significant Wave Height...which Is The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves. Individual Waves May Be More Than Twice The Significant Wave Height. Winds And Seas Will Be Higher In And Around Thunderstorms. Gmz650-655-260900- Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 347 Pm Cdt Mon Mar 25 2019
.small craft should exercise caution...
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 13 to 18 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..North winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Tuesday night..North winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 13 to 18 knots becoming east 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Wednesday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Thursday..East winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Friday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Friday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Saturday..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 347 Pm Cdt Mon Mar 25 2019
Synopsis..A moderate southwesterly flow will continue over the marine area through this evening ahead of a cold front approaching from the northwest. A moderate northerly flow is expected in the wake of the front late tonight through Tuesday increasing Tuesday night into early Wednesday as cooler air continues to move south across much of the northern gulf. A light to moderate east to southeast wind flow is expected late in the week as a broad surface ridge of high pressure to the north shifts east to the atlantic coast.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cinco Bayou town, FL
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location: 30.39, -86.58     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 252202 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
502 pm cdt Mon mar 25 2019

Discussion See updated information for land areas below.

Update Radar is showing isolated convective clusters dropping
southeast over central and western alabama just north of our far
northern zones. Some of these storms have a history of producing
damaging winds and hail up to nickel to quarter size. Considering
convective trends and potential for isolated severe storms to
bring impacts this evening, the storm prediction center has issued
severe thunderstorm watch 34 in effect thru 9 pm cdt for much of
the interior. Zones have been updated to reflect watch headlines.

10

Prev discussion issued 337 pm cdt Mon mar 25 2019
near term now through Tuesday ... .A cold front which has been
approaching from the west this afternoon will advance to just west
of the i-65 corridor by early this evening, then continues through
the remainder of the area during the rest of the evening. Isolated
to scattered convection is expected at the beginning of the period
along ahead of the front, coincident with MLCAPE values around 500
j kg, which then diminishes early this evening with dry conditions
prevailing later this evening as instability dissipates. While
shear values will be low, dry air will be present aloft with wet
bulb zero values near 9 kft. This environment will maintain a low
end (primarily marginal risk) potential for severe storm development
through the early hours (until approximately 8 pm) with the main
threats from any severe storms that develop being wind gusts to 60
mph and hail up to quarter size. 29
short term Tuesday night through Thursday night ... By late
tonight and early Tue the first of two mid level short wave trofs
will shift east of the forecast area followed by another vigorous
mid level impulse shifting SE from the mid ms river valley to the
north central gulf coast and forecast area through tues night.

With the lack of sufficient moisture in the boundary layer no
significant precip is expected with this second round of forcing
tue afternoon through early Wed with maybe an isolated shower or
two forming over extreme northeastern sections of the forecast
area generally around midnight Tue night. With this pattern most
clouds will begin to clear by after sunrise on Tue and continue
through midday followed by better cloudiness in the low to mid
levels generally moving in from the northwest Tue afternoon and
early Tue night before exiting to the east southeast late tue
night into early Wed as the second mid level system shifts east of
the forecast area by 12z wed. For Wed through Thu night a sharp
mid to upper ridge of high pressure will shift east over the north
central gulf coast region leading to mostly clear skies with lower
humidity levels. Surface temps will be cooler than seasonal norms
on Tue and Tue night then slowly rebound to near seasonal levels
through Thu night.

Long term Friday through Monday ... By early Fri the upper ridge
will begin to shift east of the forecast area in response to a weak
mid level short wave tracking eastward over the northern gulf
states. Most of the longer range guidance continues to show little
to no significant precip with this weak system Fri through early
sat. By late Sat into Sun better rain chances can be expected in
response to a much deeper long wave trof and surface cold front
approaching from the west. With plenty of mid level forcing for
most locations along the northern gulf coast, sufficient moisture
in the boundary layer due to a deeper onshore flow by the weekend
combined with moderate instability near the surface better
coverage of showers and thunderstorms can be expected. With the
better instability combined with increased directional shear by
late Sat into Sat night the threat for a few strong thunderstorms
will be possible. As a result this system will have to monitored
closely later in the week. By midday Sun the surface cold front
will move across the region with plenty of residual moisture
mostly in the form of low stratus in the wake front Sun afternoon
and Sun night. The main upper trof axis will eventually clear the
region to the east on Mon leading to mostly sunny skies with
cooler temps Mon and Mon night. 32 ee
marine... A moderate southwesterly flow will continue over the
marine area through this evening ahead of a cold front approaching
from the northwest. A moderate northerly flow is expected in the wake
of the front late tonight through Tue increasing Tue night into
early Wed as cooler air continues to move south across much of
the northern gulf. A light to moderate east to southeast wind flow
is expected late in the week as a broad surface ridge of high
pressure to the north shifts east to the eastern seaboard. With
this pattern small craft will have to exercise caution late
tonight and through early Wed mostly over the open gulf waters out
to 60 nm including the lower end of mobile bay and the ms sound
east of pascagoula. 32 ee

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 33 mi39 min S 6 G 12 69°F 67°F1016.5 hPa
PCBF1 39 mi39 min SSW 8 G 11 68°F 69°F1016.9 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 56 mi47 min 9.7 G 12 1017.2 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hurlburt Field, FL6 mi3 hrsSSW 1210.00 miA Few Clouds72°F60°F69%1016.7 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL6 mi64 minVar 510.00 miFair70°F62°F76%1016.2 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL7 mi61 minSW 1010.00 miFair72°F58°F63%1016.2 hPa

Wind History from DTS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS4CalmCalm3S3S3CalmSW3CalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm4SW7SW8
G15
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G14
SW65
1 day ago4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE3E4NE5E5CalmSE7S5S6SE7S7S7
2 days agoSW7W4Calm3CalmCalmCalmCalmN3N5NW3CalmCalmCalmN3NE53E84S8S5S7S7S6

Tide / Current Tables for Shalimar, Garnier Bayou, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Harris, The Narrows, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.