Friday, July21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cinco Bayou, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:56AMSunset 7:48PM Thursday July 20, 2017 11:38 PM CDT (04:38 UTC) Moonrise 3:08AMMoonset 5:10PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Destin To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 1022 Pm Cdt Thu Jul 20 2017
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west. Seas 1 foot or less. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming south. Seas 1 foot or less then around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest. Seas around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 foot or less then around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..West winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..West winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 1022 Pm Cdt Thu Jul 20 2017
Synopsis..Weak high pressure will continue over the northern gulf through early Friday then gradually build through early next week. A mainly light onshore flow will continue Friday then become better established over the weekend. A light offshore flow near shore possible late at night. Isolated to scattered showers and Thunderstorms are expected, with the best coverage occurring the during the late night and early morning hours.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cinco Bayou town, FL
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location: 30.39, -86.58     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 210005
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
705 pm cdt Thu jul 20 2017

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
21 00z issuance... A few lingering convective cells over the
coastal counties through around 21 00z, but no more than vcts in
tafs.Otherwise,VFR conditions through most of the period, with
vcts again expected late tonight and early Friday morning, especially
near the coast, then scattered storms anywhere across the area during
the afternoon Friday. Light and variable surface winds tonight,
especially over inland areas, becoming more south to southeast
during the day on Friday. 12 ds

Prev discussion issued 401 pm cdt Thu jul 20 2017
near term now through Friday ... Latest radar loops show isolated
to scattered showers beginning to form over the western fl panhandle
moving southward towards the coast and offshore. Other light showers
were near the immediate coast of al and ms moving west, forming near
and along a developing seabreeze front advancing inland over the
coastal counties of al and nwfl. Further development will continue
through about 5 or 6 pm this afternoon then diminish slowly later
this afternoon and this evening as daytime heating begins to cool.

To the east broad mid to upper cut off low near the ga sc coast is
still progged to shift SW then W through Fri afternoon reaching the
nwfl al ms coastal areas and adjacent gulf waters by 00z sat. With
this pattern expect increased coverage of showers and thunderstorms
beginning early Fri morning generally to the east and along the
immediate coast and offshore shifting inland by afternoon. Model
soundings show drier aloft in the boundary layer this afternoon
through Sat afternoon along with slightly better lapse rates in the
lower levels and high values of instability suggesting a few storms
could be stronger compared to the last few days, possibly leading to
gusty straight line winds and frequent cloud to ground lightning
with the stronger cells. Pwats increase to 1.8 to 2.0 inches this
afternoon and continue through Fri afternoon suggesting periods of
heavy rain can be expected with most of the convection through fri
afternoon. Due to the good movement to the southwest and west the
threat of flooding looks to be minimal through the next 24 hours.

Temperatures will continue to be on the warm side through fri
afternoon with lows tonight ranging from the lower to middle 70s
inland and the mid to upper 70s along the immediate coast. Highs fri
will range from the mid 90s for most inland areas and the lower 90s
near the immediate coast. Heat indices for Fri are expected to range
from 101 to 105 degrees. 32 ee
short term Friday night through Sunday night ... A strong surface
ridge extending from the western atlantic across the gulf of mexico
will persist through the short term, resulting in a light south
to southwesterly wind flow. Meanwhile the upper closed low just
south of the forecast area will drift slowly westward along the
northern gulf coast through Saturday afternoon then stall over the
northwest gulf of mexico. The low will eventually evolve into a
weak upper trough extending from southeast texas to the southeast
conus Saturday night. A diurnal precipitation pattern will
continue across the forecast area through the short term.

Decreasing stability each day will result in scattered showers and
storms developing, followed by evening convection inland areas
dissipating. Some of the storms could be capable of producing
torrential downpours and frequent lightning.

Low temperatures each night will range from 72 to 75 degrees
inland areas, and from 76 to 79 degrees along the immediate
coast. High temperatures over the weekend will range from 88 to
93 degrees. The heat index will range from 98 to 103 degrees.

22
long term Monday through Thursday ... An upper level trough
extending south-southwest from a larger northeast trough will
persist through the long term, while embedded shortwaves move
from northwest to southeast in the base. A surface ridge extending
from the western atlantic across the gulf of mexico will remain
intact, resulting in a light and variable or light northwest wind
flow each night, followed by a developing light southwesterly flow
each afternoon. A diurnal precipitation pattern will continue
across the forecast area through the long term, with a few
afternoon storms capable of producing gusty surface winds,
torrential downpours, and frequent lightning. Little change in
temperatures through the long term. 22
marine... Surface high pressure will continue over the northern and
central gulf through the weekend though weaken somewhat late fri
into early next week as an upper low to the east retrogrades to the
west generally along the northern gulf coast. With this pattern a
light south to southwest wind flow will develop later this afternoon
and this evening, then become light and variable late tonight and
early fri, followed by a light to moderate southwest to westerly
flow through early next week. Rain chances begin to increase late
today and continue through early next week as better moisture and
lift associated with the upper system approaches from the east
combined with the moderate instability in place across much of the
region. A few strong storms will be possible this weekend especially
during the afternoon hours due to daytime heating. Thunderstorms are
expected to the move to the south and southwest through early next
week. With the better flow from the southwest seas are expected to
build to around 2 feet over the weekend then 2 to 3 feet by early
next week. 32 ee

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 33 mi51 min 82°F 87°F1017.2 hPa
PCBF1 39 mi51 min SW 8 G 8.9 84°F 1017.3 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 51 mi51 min SW 8 G 8.9 84°F 90°F1017.3 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 56 mi49 min SSW 3.9 G 5.8 86°F 88°F1 ft1016.9 hPa (+1.4)73°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL6 mi46 minN 010.00 miFair82°F75°F82%1016.7 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL6 mi1.7 hrsSW 310.00 miA Few Clouds81°F79°F95%1016.4 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL7 mi44 minN 010.00 miFair80°F75°F87%1017.4 hPa

Wind History from DTS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4NW5NW3NW5NW7N33N3N4S65SW6N135CalmN5CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3NE4NE444E3S5S66SW7SW753SW6W5W4SW3Calm
2 days agoS7S5SW53Calm--NE3NE3E3E4SE6654S43SE43Calm3Calm3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Shalimar, Garnier Bayou, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Shalimar
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:05 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:58 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 01:06 PM CDT     0.58 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:13 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:47 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:39 PM CDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.1-0-000.10.20.20.30.40.40.50.50.60.60.60.50.50.40.30.20.1-0-0.1-0.1

Tide / Current Tables for Harris, The Narrows, Florida
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Harris
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:05 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:58 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:10 AM CDT     1.98 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:13 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:47 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:27 PM CDT     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.2-0.10.10.30.50.811.31.61.81.9221.91.71.51.20.90.60.30-0.2-0.3-0.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.