Thursday, November15, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cinco Bayou, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 4:50PM Thursday November 15, 2018 10:14 PM CST (04:14 UTC) Moonrise 1:37PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 56% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 936 Pm Cst Thu Nov 15 2018
Rest of tonight..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 3 seconds.
Friday night..North winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northeast 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 3 seconds.
Saturday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Sunday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Sunday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Monday..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 3 seconds.
Monday night..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 1 foot.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 1 foot.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 936 Pm Cst Thu Nov 15 2018
Synopsis..Moderate northwest winds will continue to decrease through Friday morning. A light northerly wind flow will persist over the marine area through early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cinco Bayou town, FL
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location: 30.39, -86.58     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 160239 aab
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
839 pm cst Thu nov 15 2018

Discussion See updated information for land areas below.

Update Current temperatures are running cooler than earlier
anticipated. The current pattern over the area (clear skies and
calm winds) promotes excellent nocturnal cooling, so have updated
to lower overnight lows by 2 degrees on average. Have also
included the immediate coastal zones in the freeze warning as
expect temperatures to reach freezing in at least numerous
locations in these areas. Made other minor adjustments, update out
soon. 29

Prev discussion issued 504 pm cst Thu nov 15 2018
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance...VFR conditions and light northerly winds prevail
for the next 24 hours. 29
prev discussion... Issued 313 pm cst Thu nov 15 2018
near term now through Friday ... High pressure will build over
the area through Friday. Light winds and clear skies will allow
temps to fall into the upper 20s inland to mid and upper 30s near
the coast. The light winds will also allow widespread frost to
develop across many areas away from the coast tonight. Even
though some of the western areas in the current freeze warning
saw a freeze last night, even more widespread freezing temps and
frost is expected tonight. Clear skies on Friday along with weaker
cold air advection will allow for highs about 10 degrees warmer
than today. Highs will range from the upper 50s inland to around
60 near the coast. 13
short term Friday night through Sunday night ... Surface high
pressure settles over the forecast area. This will bring another
night of well below seasonal lows in the mid to upper 30s over
most of the area for Friday night. The area then sees an upward
trend in temperatures through the weekend as the airmass modifies,
bringing a return of seasonable temps by Sunday and Sunday night.

Highs in the upper 60s to low 70s are expected for Sunday and mid
40s to around 50 for Sunday night.

16
long term Monday through Thursday ... A shortwave system passing
north of the area Monday into Tuesday pushes a weak front across
the area Monday into Monday night. With little moisture return
ahead of the frontal passage, am expecting mainly an increase in
cloud cover the beginning of the week and drier air moving south
over the area with the passage. A bit cooler air moves over the
area, dropping temps down to a bit below seasonal levels, with
inland areas seeing the biggest drop.

Tuesday night through Thursday, the front stalls over the northern
gulf Tuesday. This stalled surface front then provides the focus for
rain over the area as another upper system moves east along the
northern gulf coast. Again, moisture return is limited ahead of the
system's passage, limiting the chance of rain, especially over
inland areas. A slight chance of rain is expected Wednesday night
into Thursday night over areas closer to the coast as it passes,
with a bit higher chances south of the coast. Temps remain generally
steady, with highs in the 60s, lows generally in the 40s.

16
marine... A moderate northwest wind flow will continue to decrease
through Friday morning as high pressure builds eastward across the
northern gulf. A light northerly wind flow will persist over the
marine area through early next week as the ridge of high pressure
settles over the north central gulf. 13

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... Freeze warning from 2 am to 8 am cst Friday for alz051>060-
261>266.

Fl... Freeze warning from 2 am to 8 am cst Friday for flz201>206.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 33 mi45 min N 2.9 G 5.1 42°F 61°F1024.4 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 51 mi45 min N 5.1 G 6 41°F 65°F1023.9 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 56 mi35 min 9.7 G 14 1024.3 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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NW5
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N6
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL6 mi82 minN 610.00 miFair43°F33°F68%1023.9 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL6 mi2.3 hrsNNW 410.00 miFair40°F34°F80%1023.2 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL7 mi80 minNNW 410.00 miFair38°F32°F81%1024.4 hPa

Wind History from DTS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW16NW13N12NW14
G20
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N14N12NW12N12
G19
NW9N14N13N11NW11
G17
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N11N9N9N10N10N6N8
1 day agoN9N12N9N11N10
G16
N6N8N13N9N7N9N8NW9NW9N9NW12N8NW10N7N11NW11N15
G23
N13NW12
2 days agoCalmCalmSE34CalmCalmCalmNW7N10N11N13N17
G22
N14
G21
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G20
N11N10
G17
N7N11
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G18
N10N8N11N15
G20
N10

Tide / Current Tables for Shalimar, Garnier Bayou, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Harris, The Narrows, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.