Friday, March22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Navarre, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 7:01PM Friday March 22, 2019 1:05 AM CDT (06:05 UTC) Moonrise 9:01PMMoonset 8:08AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 1016 Pm Cdt Thu Mar 21 2019
Rest of tonight..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Friday..North winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday night..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming north. Waves less than 1 foot.
Saturday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1016 Pm Cdt Thu Mar 21 2019
Synopsis..A light to moderate westerly to northerly wind flow will persist over the marine area through late Friday as a broad surface ridge of high pressure over the great plains states moves eastward. A light to occasionally moderate easterly to southerly flow is forecast over the weekend as the high pressure shifts further eastward to the eastern seaboard. Southwesterly winds on Monday will precede a cold front that is expected to move through the region late Monday night into Tuesday, bringing a return to northerly winds.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Navarre, FL
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location: 30.4, -86.84     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 220439 aab
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
1139 pm cdt Thu mar 21 2019

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
06z issuance...VFR conditions forecast next 24hrs. Light west to
northwest winds overnight. 10

Prev discussion issued 619 pm cdt Thu mar 21 2019
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance...VFR conditions forecast next 24hrs. Northwest winds
expected to become light overnight. 10
prev discussion... Issued 358 pm cdt Thu mar 21 2019
near term now through Friday ... A sharp upper ridge over tx and
the central plains states will shift east to the north central
gulf states by midday Sat then move east of the region by late sat
afternoon. Near the surface a broad region of high pressure
mostly inline or coupled with the upper ridge also shifts east
over the north central gulf states on Fri leading to more dry
pleasant weather across the forecast area through Fri afternoon.

For tonight believe enough cold air moving in from the west
northwest ahead of the deep ridge to the west will allow for
enough mixing to help keep overnight lows near current MOS values.

The coolest spots tonight will be over western sections of the
forecast area mainly well inland from the coast were surface winds
diminish to 4 knots or less. For Fri expect sunny skies with
better subsidence in the boundary layer especially inland from the
coast possible leading to highs a tad above the current mos
numbers along with a good seabreeze generating along the coast due
to the warmer inland temps combined with cool near shore sea
surface temps.

Lows tonight will range from the upper 30s to lower 40s for most
inland areas, generally along and north of the i-10 corridor and the
middle 40s to lower 50s further south to the immediate coast. Highs
fri will range from the upper 60s to lower 70s for most inland areas
and the middle to upper 60s near the immediate coast, due to the
cooler sea surface temps and onshore flow during the afternoon.

32 ee
short term Friday night through Sunday night ... A dry northwest
mid level flow will persist across our forecast area Friday
night, before shortwave ridging aloft builds eastward across the
region on Saturday. Surface high pressure will meanwhile build
eastward across the north central gulf coast through Saturday
afternoon. Dry weather will continue across our region with this
pattern through Saturday. Lows Friday night will range from around
40 degrees to the mid 40s over the interior to the upper 40s to
around 50 near the coast. Highs Saturday afternoon should reach
near 70 along the coast and in the lower to mid 70s over inland
portions of the area.

The flow pattern aloft becomes more zonal across the region late
this weekend. A shortwave trough embedded in the flow will
translate across northern portions of ms al during the day Sunday,
before a more amplified shortwave tracks approaches the ms and tn
valley regions late Sunday night. Deeper moisture and ascent
associated with these next features should remain focused to the
north and northwest of our forecast area Sunday and Sunday night,
but may need to watch our far northwest zones (northern wayne
choctaw counties) for a possible low chance of rain approaching
toward early Monday morning. For now, we have left a dry forecast
intact through Sunday night. Lows Saturday night should range in
the mid 40s to around 50 over the interior, and lower to mid 50s
near the coast. Highs Sunday should range from around 70 to the
lower 70s near the immediate coast to the mid 70s over interior
areas. 21
long term Monday through Thursday ... The upper level trough axis
will progress eastward across the tn valley and adjacent portions
of ms al ga Monday into Monday night. An associated cold front
should also push across our forecast Monday evening into late
Monday night early Tuesday morning. Ascent along the trough axis
and frontal zone will bring a chance of rain showers to our region
during the Monday afternoon and evening time frame. A lingering
low chance of showers may persist over southern coastal areas into
late Monday night depending on the timing of the cold front.

Instability will be sufficient for a few thunderstorms Monday
afternoon and evening, but meager MLCAPE values of 500 j kg or
less and modest low level shear currently looks to keep any strong
to severe storm threat very isolated limited. A dry northwest flow
aloft returns Tuesday and Wednesday, before another shortwave
ridge aloft looks to follow for Thursday. We will keep a dry
forecast going through the latter part of the extended period.

Monday looks to be the warmest day of the week with highs in the
mid to upper 70s. Temperatures otherwise remain seasonably mild
through the rest of the week. 21
marine... A light to moderate westerly wind flow will persist over
the marine area through late Fri as a broad surface ridge of high
pressure over the central plains states slowly builds east. A better
southwest component can be expected near the coast Fri afternoon due
to afternoon seabreeze effects. A light southerly flow is expected
over the weekend as high pressure to the north shifts east to the
eastern seaboard with the highest winds likely occurring near the
coast and over inland bays and sounds due to good seabreeze
circulations. A better onshore flow is expected by early next week
as high pressure to the north continues to shift east. 32 ee

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 20 mi36 min WNW 4.1 G 7 57°F 62°F1018.9 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 44 mi26 min 9.7 G 12 1019.5 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 61 mi36 min Calm 57°F 1020 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hurlburt Field, FL9 mi70 minWNW 610.00 miFair58°F48°F72%1018.1 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL17 mi70 minWNW 610.00 miFair51°F47°F85%1018.6 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL20 mi13 minNW 510.00 miFair54°F45°F72%1019 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL20 mi13 minVar 410.00 miSmoke60°F46°F62%1018.2 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL23 mi70 minWNW 510.00 miFair49°F46°F90%1017.2 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL24 mi10 minNW 510.00 miFair48°F43°F83%1017.3 hPa

Wind History from HRT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW7NW5CalmW3NW7NW7N9N14N15
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NW9--W7W5W6NW6
1 day agoN5NE5NE7NE6NE4NE6NE6E7E12E14E8E5SE9
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SE11S9S9S6SW6CalmCalmCalmCalmNW4NW6
2 days agoNE13NE11NE10NE10NE8NE9NE9NE10NE13NE10NE6N10N12NE13E11NE6NE7SE5CalmNE4N4N6N4N5

Tide / Current Tables for Navarre Beach, Florida
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Navarre Beach
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:19 AM CDT     0.66 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:38 AM CDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:49 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:07 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 11:20 AM CDT     0.61 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:27 PM CDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:00 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:01 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.60.60.40.30.30.40.50.60.60.60.60.60.60.40.30.1000.10.20.20.30.3

Tide / Current Tables for Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Harris
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:12 AM CDT     0.64 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:48 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:07 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 09:53 AM CDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:12 PM CDT     0.71 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:59 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:00 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.