Thursday, June21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Freeport, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:43AMSunset 7:53PM Thursday June 21, 2018 9:23 AM CDT (14:23 UTC) Moonrise 2:01PMMoonset 1:32AM Illumination 57% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 440 Am Cdt Thu Jun 21 2018
Today..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers in the evening. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Saturday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Monday..West winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..West winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 440 Am Cdt Thu Jun 21 2018
Synopsis..A light to occasionally moderate southwest flow will generally prevail over the marine area through early next week as high pressure ridges westward across the northern gulf. Southwesterly flow will increase Thursday night into early Saturday with a slight build in seas.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Freeport, FL
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location: 30.43, -86.2     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 211344
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
944 am edt Thu jun 21 2018

Update
Overall, the forecast is on track and just some minor changes to
pops based on the latest radar trends and newest cam runs. Should
start to see isolated to scattered storms develop over the land
areas by early afternoon. With another hot day in store and some
locations seeing heat indices in the low 100's, it's a good
reminder to seek shade and stay hydrated for anyone that does have
to be outside.

Prev discussion [622 am edt]
Near term [through today]
Mid upper ridge draped across the southeast will flatten and shunted
southward ahead of a mid level trof moving across the lower
mississippi river valley. Models aren't aggressive in developing much
precipitation but the favored areas include the fl big bend and
adjacent SW georgia counties in vicinity of the atlantic seabreeze
and the fl panhandle with the gulf seabreeze. Where it doesn't rain,
highs will be in the mid 90s and heat indices in the low to mid
100s.

Short term [tonight through Saturday]
A weak frontal boundary, in association with an upper level
trough to our north, will push through the region early Friday
afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms will form along and ahead of
the front as it moves through the region, but the greatest
coverage of thunderstorms will be over our northern al ga
counties, and along the seabreeze as it pushes northeast in the
southwest flow ahead of the front. Drier air will quickly filter
into the region later in the afternoon ending much of the
precipitation chances.

The base of the trough rotates through the southern us early
Saturday, but additional dry air behind the trough will keep
precipitation chances low on Saturday afternoon across the region.

As for temperatures, expect the low 90s through the end of the
week and slightly warmer temperatures Saturday with lower rain
chances in the forecast.

Long term [Saturday night through Thursday]
Looking ahead, the ridge of high pressure will rebuild across the
southern us Sunday into Monday. Rain chances remain low on Sunday
with limited moisture in place but expect increased chances into
next week as a backdoor front moves in from the northeast Monday
afternoon. Some agreement in the model solutions that
easterly northeasterly flow returns through next week which will
help keep temperatures lower and precipitation chances elevated.

Aviation [through 12z Friday]
No major changes made this TAF cycle. Adjusted timing of vcts at
tlh and vld based on latest hrrr guidance.VFR outside of
convection with diurnal cumulus development beginning by mid
morning and light winds from the west. Tempo MVFR conds underneath
any heavier convection that passes over a terminal.

Marine
Light winds and low seas anticipated on Thursday. A cold front on
Friday will increase the winds to 15-20 knots and seas to 2-4 feet
Friday afternoon into Saturday morning. Winds and seas lessen
Saturday afternoon and will remain low through the beginning of
next week.

Fire weather
No fire weather concerns are expected over the next several days.

Hydrology
No hydrology concerns are anticipated over the next few days with
generally drier than normal conditions expected over the next 5
days.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 96 75 92 73 93 40 10 30 10 10
panama city 88 78 87 78 89 20 20 30 10 10
dothan 94 74 91 75 92 30 20 30 10 20
albany 95 76 92 75 93 30 20 30 10 20
valdosta 96 74 92 74 93 40 20 30 10 30
cross city 90 76 90 75 91 30 10 20 10 20
apalachicola 90 78 90 77 89 20 10 20 10 10

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Update... Fieux
near term... Scholl
short term... Dobbs
long term... Dobbs
aviation... Scholl
marine... Dobbs
fire weather... Scholl
hydrology... Dobbs


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 23 mi53 min W 9.9 G 11 83°F 81°F1014.8 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 34 mi53 min W 9.9 G 12 83°F 87°F1015 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 54 mi59 min W 5.1 G 8.9 85°F 85°F1014.5 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 76 mi43 min WSW 9.7 G 12 84°F 1014.3 hPa77°F

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL14 mi30 minVar 410.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F75°F70%1014.1 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL18 mi28 minWSW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy86°F74°F70%1014.7 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL22 mi30 minWSW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy86°F75°F72%1015.1 hPa

Wind History from DTS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN3555W8W8W7W6W7W7W64W5W34W5W44W5344W74
1 day agoN6NE5E5455SW8W8SW6W7W4W5W5W443NW4CalmNW5NW4NW3CalmNW7NW4
2 days agoE6NE5S54S5SW4643343CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3N5N5N5N6

Tide / Current Tables for East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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East Pass (Destin)
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Thu -- 01:32 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:01 AM CDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:44 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:07 AM CDT     0.39 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:01 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:51 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.20.20.20.20.30.30.40.40.40.40.40.40.30.30.30.30.30.30.30.20.20.20.2

Tide / Current Tables for Shalimar, Garnier Bayou, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Shalimar
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:33 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:08 AM CDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:44 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:43 PM CDT     0.29 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:02 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:51 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.20.10.10.10.10.10.20.20.20.30.30.30.30.30.30.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.