Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Belle Fontaine, AL
May 18, 2024 11:35 PM CDT (04:35 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:54 AM Sunset 7:43 PM Moonrise 3:28 PM Moonset 3:08 AM |
GMZ631 Expires:202405191515;;455592 Fzus54 Kmob 190208 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 908 pm cdt Sat may 18 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz630>632-191515- northern mobile bay-southern mobile bay-mississippi sound- 908 pm cdt Sat may 18 2024
Rest of tonight - West winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.
Sunday - Northwest winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.
Sunday night - West winds around 5 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.
Monday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Tuesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Tuesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Thursday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
Thursday night - South winds around 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 908 pm cdt Sat may 18 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz630>632-191515- northern mobile bay-southern mobile bay-mississippi sound- 908 pm cdt Sat may 18 2024
GMZ600 908 Pm Cdt Sat May 18 2024
Synopsis - A light to moderate southwesterly to westerly flow prevails through tonight, becoming light and variable early next week. A light southerly to southeasterly flow is established Tuesday afternoon and continues through Wednesday night. The onshore flow increases slightly during the late part of the week. Little change in seas is expected.
Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 190354 AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1054 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 1054 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
Convection over interior southwest and south central Alabama is associated with an outflow boundary, and this convection is anticipated to weaken to dissipation through the overnight hours while slowly progressing southeastward. Have updated pops to account for this along with other mainly modest adjustments. /29
PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 649 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024/
New AVIATION
AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 649 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
A few showers and storms are possible over south central and interior portions of southwestern Alabama as well as the western Florida panhandle this evening, otherwise dry conditions are expected through Sunday. Patchy fog may develop late tonight over much of the area, but otherwise outside of the possible convection VFR conditions are anticipated. Light southwest to westerly winds tonight become northwesterly at 5 to 10 knots on Sunday. /29
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 633 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024/
New AVIATION
AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 633 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
A few showers and storms are possible over south central and interior portions of southwestern Alabama as well as the western Florida panhandle this evening, otherwise dry conditions are expected through Sunday. Patchy fog may develop late tonight over much of the area, but otherwise outside of the possible convection VFR conditions are anticipated. Light southwest to westerly winds tonight become northwesterly at 5 to 10 knots on Sunday. /29
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 344 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024/
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
NEAR TERM...
(Now through Sunday)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
Dry conditions will persist for the rest of the afternoon and into the early evening hours tonight, but High-Res models are in decent agreement in moving the remnants of the mesoscale system currently noted on satellite over northern MS and western TN to the south across AL later in the evening hours and possibly even into the western after midnight. It appears that convection associated with this feature will likely be weakening as it drops south across the region, but a few thunderstorms will be possible this evening into the early predawn morning hours on Sunday in association with this feature. There could be an isolated strong storm, but for the most part, the airmass has been pretty much worked over and instabilities will be rather low, so no widespread organized severe weather is anticipated. The activity should also be weakening and moving fairly quickly to the south, so additional widespread heavy rainfall is not expected either. After any convection associated with this feature fully dissipates by early Sunday morning, we expect a dry day on Sunday with no PoP (for a change).
Low temperatures tonight should range from the mid 60s over most interior locations, with upper 60s to low 70s expected close to and along the coast. High temperatures on Sunday will rebound to near to above seasonal norms, ranging from the mid to upper 80s for most locations, with a few lower 80s possible along the beaches. DS/12
SHORT TERM...
(Sunday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
An eastward tilted upper level ridge has moved over the Mississippi River, with an upper level trough off the East Coast. Shortwave energy is directed south over the Southeast through the Short Term with this configuration in response, but with a drier airmass moving over the region, no rain is expected. Temperatures quickly rise back above seasonal norms, with mid 80s to around 90 expected for high temperatures Monday and Tuesday. Low temperatures in the mid 60s to low 70s are expected over most of the forecast area through the period, except for low 60s over northeastern-most portions of the forecast area.
Even with an increasing tidal cycle into mid week, light and variable flow south of the coast will bring weak onshore swell and a low risk of rip currents into mid week.
/16
LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
Into Thursday, the upper ridge shifts east a bit, then flattens Friday into Saturday, as an upper level shortwave trough approaches, then passes over the Southeast. A surface ridge builds west over the Gulf of Mexico mid week on, with organized southerly flow moving Gulf moisture inland. Guidance the last few days continues to be inconsistent with the amount and placement of the moisture return.
The latest guidance is placing the better moisture further north over the Southeast, and with that, keeping better PoPs for Friday and Saturday generally north of Highway 84. Have less confidence with this placement due to the inconsistent moisture placement recently. Temperatures remain at or above seasonal norms through the Extended.
/16
MARINE...
Issued at 342 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
A light to moderate southwesterly to westerly flow prevails through tonight, becoming light and variable early next week. A light southerly to southeasterly flow is established Tuesday afternoon and continues through Wednesday night. The onshore flow increases slightly during the late part of the week and going into next weekend. DS/12
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 67 88 66 88 68 87 67 86 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 69 87 69 85 70 84 70 84 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 Destin 71 85 71 85 71 84 71 83 / 10 10 0 10 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 65 86 64 88 64 89 63 89 / 30 10 0 10 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 64 87 63 90 66 90 65 90 / 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Camden 64 85 63 86 64 88 64 89 / 40 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 Crestview 65 88 64 88 64 88 62 89 / 0 10 0 10 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday afternoon for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday afternoon for FLZ202-204- 206.
MS...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1054 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 1054 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
Convection over interior southwest and south central Alabama is associated with an outflow boundary, and this convection is anticipated to weaken to dissipation through the overnight hours while slowly progressing southeastward. Have updated pops to account for this along with other mainly modest adjustments. /29
PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 649 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024/
New AVIATION
AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 649 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
A few showers and storms are possible over south central and interior portions of southwestern Alabama as well as the western Florida panhandle this evening, otherwise dry conditions are expected through Sunday. Patchy fog may develop late tonight over much of the area, but otherwise outside of the possible convection VFR conditions are anticipated. Light southwest to westerly winds tonight become northwesterly at 5 to 10 knots on Sunday. /29
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 633 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024/
New AVIATION
AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 633 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
A few showers and storms are possible over south central and interior portions of southwestern Alabama as well as the western Florida panhandle this evening, otherwise dry conditions are expected through Sunday. Patchy fog may develop late tonight over much of the area, but otherwise outside of the possible convection VFR conditions are anticipated. Light southwest to westerly winds tonight become northwesterly at 5 to 10 knots on Sunday. /29
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 344 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024/
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
NEAR TERM...
(Now through Sunday)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
Dry conditions will persist for the rest of the afternoon and into the early evening hours tonight, but High-Res models are in decent agreement in moving the remnants of the mesoscale system currently noted on satellite over northern MS and western TN to the south across AL later in the evening hours and possibly even into the western after midnight. It appears that convection associated with this feature will likely be weakening as it drops south across the region, but a few thunderstorms will be possible this evening into the early predawn morning hours on Sunday in association with this feature. There could be an isolated strong storm, but for the most part, the airmass has been pretty much worked over and instabilities will be rather low, so no widespread organized severe weather is anticipated. The activity should also be weakening and moving fairly quickly to the south, so additional widespread heavy rainfall is not expected either. After any convection associated with this feature fully dissipates by early Sunday morning, we expect a dry day on Sunday with no PoP (for a change).
Low temperatures tonight should range from the mid 60s over most interior locations, with upper 60s to low 70s expected close to and along the coast. High temperatures on Sunday will rebound to near to above seasonal norms, ranging from the mid to upper 80s for most locations, with a few lower 80s possible along the beaches. DS/12
SHORT TERM...
(Sunday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
An eastward tilted upper level ridge has moved over the Mississippi River, with an upper level trough off the East Coast. Shortwave energy is directed south over the Southeast through the Short Term with this configuration in response, but with a drier airmass moving over the region, no rain is expected. Temperatures quickly rise back above seasonal norms, with mid 80s to around 90 expected for high temperatures Monday and Tuesday. Low temperatures in the mid 60s to low 70s are expected over most of the forecast area through the period, except for low 60s over northeastern-most portions of the forecast area.
Even with an increasing tidal cycle into mid week, light and variable flow south of the coast will bring weak onshore swell and a low risk of rip currents into mid week.
/16
LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
Into Thursday, the upper ridge shifts east a bit, then flattens Friday into Saturday, as an upper level shortwave trough approaches, then passes over the Southeast. A surface ridge builds west over the Gulf of Mexico mid week on, with organized southerly flow moving Gulf moisture inland. Guidance the last few days continues to be inconsistent with the amount and placement of the moisture return.
The latest guidance is placing the better moisture further north over the Southeast, and with that, keeping better PoPs for Friday and Saturday generally north of Highway 84. Have less confidence with this placement due to the inconsistent moisture placement recently. Temperatures remain at or above seasonal norms through the Extended.
/16
MARINE...
Issued at 342 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
A light to moderate southwesterly to westerly flow prevails through tonight, becoming light and variable early next week. A light southerly to southeasterly flow is established Tuesday afternoon and continues through Wednesday night. The onshore flow increases slightly during the late part of the week and going into next weekend. DS/12
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 67 88 66 88 68 87 67 86 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 69 87 69 85 70 84 70 84 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 Destin 71 85 71 85 71 84 71 83 / 10 10 0 10 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 65 86 64 88 64 89 63 89 / 30 10 0 10 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 64 87 63 90 66 90 65 90 / 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Camden 64 85 63 86 64 88 64 89 / 40 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 Crestview 65 88 64 88 64 88 62 89 / 0 10 0 10 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday afternoon for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday afternoon for FLZ202-204- 206.
MS...None.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| EFLA1 | 6 mi | 48 min | 77°F | 72°F | ||||
| MBPA1 | 7 mi | 48 min | 74°F | 71°F | ||||
| CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL | 9 mi | 156 min | 81°F | 30.34 | ||||
| DILA1 | 13 mi | 48 min | W 4.1G | 76°F | 78°F | 29.94 | ||
| DPHA1 | 13 mi | 186 min | 76°F | 78°F | 29.37 | |||
| FRMA1 | 15 mi | 48 min | WSW 5.1G | 77°F | 29.94 | 77°F | ||
| MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL | 15 mi | 48 min | W 2.9G | 74°F | 79°F | 29.94 | ||
| WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL | 15 mi | 51 min | 0 | 71°F | 29.95 | 71°F | ||
| BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL | 17 mi | 186 min | 78°F | 29.88 | ||||
| GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS | 17 mi | 51 min | WSW 5.1 | 75°F | 29.98 | 72°F | ||
| PTOA1 | 17 mi | 48 min | 75°F | 69°F | ||||
| OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL | 19 mi | 48 min | 75°F | 77°F | 29.96 | |||
| PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS | 24 mi | 48 min | 76°F | |||||
| PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS | 26 mi | 48 min | SW 9.9G | 76°F | 29.94 | |||
| 42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy | 40 mi | 36 min | W 7.8G | 77°F | 78°F | 29.94 | 73°F | |
| PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL | 48 mi | 48 min | W 4.1G | 74°F | 29.93 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KCQF H L SONNY CALLAHAN,AL | 13 sm | 20 min | calm | 7 sm | Clear | 70°F | 68°F | 94% | 29.94 | |
| KBFM MOBILE DOWNTOWN,AL | 14 sm | 42 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 73°F | 68°F | 83% | 29.95 | |
| KMOB MOBILE RGNL,AL | 19 sm | 39 min | SW 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 73°F | 70°F | 89% | 29.95 | |
| KPQL TRENT LOTT INTL,MS | 22 sm | 42 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 72°F | 66°F | 83% | 29.94 |
Fowl River
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:08 AM CDT Moonset
Sat -- 04:19 AM CDT 0.70 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:56 AM CDT Sunrise
Sat -- 12:09 PM CDT 1.13 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:27 PM CDT Moonrise
Sat -- 07:42 PM CDT Sunset
Sat -- 08:03 PM CDT 0.77 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:08 AM CDT Moonset
Sat -- 04:19 AM CDT 0.70 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:56 AM CDT Sunrise
Sat -- 12:09 PM CDT 1.13 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:27 PM CDT Moonrise
Sat -- 07:42 PM CDT Sunset
Sat -- 08:03 PM CDT 0.77 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Fowl River, Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.9 |
| 1 am |
| 0.9 |
| 2 am |
| 0.8 |
| 3 am |
| 0.7 |
| 4 am |
| 0.7 |
| 5 am |
| 0.7 |
| 6 am |
| 0.7 |
| 7 am |
| 0.8 |
| 8 am |
| 0.9 |
| 9 am |
| 0.9 |
| 10 am |
| 1 |
| 11 am |
| 1.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 1 |
| 3 pm |
| 1 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.8 |
Mobile Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:46 AM CDT -0.49 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 03:07 AM CDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:39 AM CDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:56 AM CDT Sunrise
Sat -- 08:39 AM CDT 0.21 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 12:29 PM CDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:51 PM CDT -0.08 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 03:26 PM CDT Moonrise
Sat -- 05:36 PM CDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:41 PM CDT Sunset
Sat -- 08:46 PM CDT 0.09 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:46 AM CDT -0.49 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 03:07 AM CDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:39 AM CDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:56 AM CDT Sunrise
Sat -- 08:39 AM CDT 0.21 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 12:29 PM CDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:51 PM CDT -0.08 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 03:26 PM CDT Moonrise
Sat -- 05:36 PM CDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:41 PM CDT Sunset
Sat -- 08:46 PM CDT 0.09 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -0.5 |
| 1 am |
| -0.5 |
| 2 am |
| -0.4 |
| 3 am |
| -0.4 |
| 4 am |
| -0.2 |
| 5 am |
| -0.1 |
| 6 am |
| 0 |
| 7 am |
| 0.1 |
| 8 am |
| 0.2 |
| 9 am |
| 0.2 |
| 10 am |
| 0.2 |
| 11 am |
| 0.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 0 |
| 1 pm |
| -0 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 3 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 5 pm |
| -0 |
| 6 pm |
| 0 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.1 |
Mobile, AL,
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