Saturday, March23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Shalimar, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 7:00PM Saturday March 23, 2019 9:45 AM CDT (14:45 UTC) Moonrise 10:04PMMoonset 8:45AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 415 Am Cdt Sat Mar 23 2019
Today..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south. Waves less than 1 foot.
Tonight..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming east. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Monday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northwest. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday night..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 415 Am Cdt Sat Mar 23 2019
Synopsis..A light onshore flow will develop this afternoon through Sunday as a ridge of high pressure to the north shifts east. Westerly winds and seas will build on Monday in response to a cold front approaching from the northwest. The cold front is expected to move across the marine area Monday night into early Tuesday leading to a moderate to strong northerly flow and higher seas through midweek.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Shalimar, FL
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location: 30.44, -86.59     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 231127 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
627 am cdt Sat mar 23 2019

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
12z issuance...VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24
hours. 13

Prev discussion issued 423 am cdt Sat mar 23 2019
near term now through Saturday night ... A deep layer ridge of high
pressure will continue to dominate the area today. As the ridge
slides east this afternoon a light southerly flow will develop
across coastal areas. Clear skies, light winds and low humidity will
continue today with slightly higher humidity along the coast due to
the developing onshore flow. Highs today will climb into the low to
mid 70s and lows tonight will fall into the mid 40s inland to low
50s along the coast. 13
short term Sunday through Monday night ... A broad area of
surface high pressure over the western atlantic will create
a southerly wind flow over the area on Sunday. Aloft, a dry zonal
flow will prevail. Clear to mostly clear skies are expected
Sunday, but mid and high level cloud cover will begin to advect
into the area Sunday afternoon ahead of a developing upstream
frontal system. High temperatures Sunday will be well above
normal, climbing into the mid 70s to near 80 degree mark.

Increasing cloud cover and southerly winds will also keep the
overnight lows considerably warmer, ranging from the mid 50s to
near 60s along the coast.

A cold front will push southeastward across the region Monday
afternoon and evening. Guidance has been consistent in projecting
enough ascent along and ahead of the approaching front to trigger
scattered to locally numerous showers across our region. The best
development is expected to develop over our interior zones by
Monday afternoon. Enough instability will exist for the
development of thunderstorms, but the overall amount of
instability and shear appear limited enough to keep the overall
severe weather potential low Monday afternoon into early Monday
evening. Lingering, light post frontal showers will continue into
Monday evening. The frontal boundary is expected to move out over
the gulf by midnight with light showers ending several hours
later. Highs Monday will warm into the mid to upper 70s, while
lows Monday night will fall into the upper 40s to lower 50s
inland, with mid to upper 50s near the coast.

Long term Tuesday through Friday ... Another dry weather pattern
develops on Tuesday and continues into Friday. Included a slight
chance of light rain showers Friday afternoon ahead of an upstream
developing frontal system. Model to model agreement and run to
run consistency has been lacking on the development and timing of
this system. Suspect any significant chance of precipitation will
not occur until after Friday. Temperatures will trend cooler than
climatological norms Tuesday through Wednesday... Near normal on
Thursday and warmer than normal Thursday night and Friday.

Marine... A light onshore flow will develop this afternoon
through Sunday as a ridge of high pressure to the north shifts east.

Westerly winds and seas will build on Monday in response to a cold
front approaching from the northwest. The cold front is expected to
move across the marine area Monday night into early Tuesday leading
to a moderate to strong northerly flow and higher seas through
midweek. 13

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 33 mi28 min 62°F 62°F1024.7 hPa
PCBF1 41 mi28 min 59°F 64°F1024.5 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 53 mi28 min 61°F 64°F1024.5 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 57 mi26 min 5.8 G 7.8 1024.9 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL4 mi50 minNNE 610.00 miFair58°F38°F48%1024.7 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL5 mi1.8 hrsNNE 410.00 miFair45°F40°F83%1023.2 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL7 mi53 minNE 510.00 miFair60°F37°F44%1024.1 hPa
Crestview, Sikes Airport, FL24 mi53 minN 010.00 miFair57°F39°F53%1024.9 hPa

Wind History from VPS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN11N11N7N7--N6S8S8SW6W6W6W7W7W4NW6NW6CalmN4N4NW3NW4N5N3NE6
1 day ago------NW12
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NW8--NW4W6W6W6NW7NW8NW6N7NW7N7NW6N8N11
2 days agoE8NE8E7SE4SE8SE8S9SW10S8SW4W4NW3W4W5W5W5NW6W4W5W7NW5NW6NW11N15

Tide / Current Tables for East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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East Pass (Destin)
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:46 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:45 AM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 12:42 PM CDT     0.41 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:59 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:03 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.10.10.20.20.20.20.20.30.30.30.40.40.40.40.40.30.30.20.20.10.100

Tide / Current Tables for Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Harris
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:09 AM CDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:47 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:46 AM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 02:46 PM CDT     0.97 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:00 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:04 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.