Wednesday, November14, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Shalimar, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 4:51PM Wednesday November 14, 2018 3:41 AM CST (09:41 UTC) Moonrise 12:59PMMoonset 11:52PM Illumination 38% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 338 Am Cst Wed Nov 14 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday morning...
Today..North winds 18 to 23 knots becoming northwest. Seas around 3 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Showers.
Tonight..Northwest winds 18 to 23 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers in the evening.
Thursday..Northwest winds 18 to 23 knots diminishing to 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 13 to 18 knots becoming north. Seas around 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 3 seconds.
Friday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Saturday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Sunday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot.
Sunday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 338 Am Cst Wed Nov 14 2018
Synopsis..Periods of light to moderate rain will continue over the marine area through this afternoon then slowly shift east as high pressure builds to the west. A moderate to strong northerly wind flow will continue over the marine area through tonight then diminish slowly during the day on Thursday as the broad surface ridge to the west shifts east. A light northerly wind flow is expected late in the week and over the weekend as high pressure continues to settle over the region.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Shalimar, FL
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location: 30.44, -86.59     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 140545 aac
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
1145 pm cst Tue nov 13 2018

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
06z issuance... Ifr to lifr ceilings persist through Wednesday as
light rain and low stratus continue to impact most of the area.

Expect gusty winds up to 25 knots on Wednesday afternoon. Rain
will slowly shift east and out of the area through the afternoon
and evening hours on Wednesday. 07 mb

Prev discussion issued 846 pm cst Tue nov 13 2018
discussion... See updated information for land areas below.

Update... Have updated to lower pops over the western portion of
the area for the rest of the evening, although likely categorical
pops return for this portion later tonight as another round of
rain develops. Likely to categorical pops continue over the
remainder of the area as light rain continues overnight. Made
minor adjustments to temperature dewpoint trends for the rest of
the night. 29
prev discussion... Issued 622 pm cst Tue nov 13 2018
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance... Ifr ceilings will persist through Wednesday as
light rain and low stratus continue to impact most of the area.

Expect gusty winds up to 25 knots again on Wednesday afternoon.

07 mb
prev discussion... Issued 343 pm cst Tue nov 13 2018
near term now through Wednesday ... First the bad news. An upper
low cuts off from the northern stream trough over the south
plains tonight and begins to push east into the mississippi river
valley Wednesday. Ahead of this upper low, a region of stronger
forcing overspreads the deep south and northern gulf of mexico.

Coupled with the ongoing overrunning event, expecting an uptick in
rain intensity across the area through the near term, with the
best chance for periods of heavy rainfall and localized nuisance
flooding over south-central alabama and the florida panhandle
Wednesday morning and afternoon. Temperatures will only add to the
misery. Lows tonight range from upper 30s to low 40s west of i-65
and mid to upper 40s east of i-65. Highs on Wednesday only reach
the low 50s east of i-65 and fail to escape the 40s west of i-65
due to the cloud cover, rain, and persistent cold air advection.

Now the good news. This system should be strong enough to finally
push the gloomy skies and steady rain out of our area. More
details on that in the discussion below. 49
short term Wednesday night through Friday night ... The upper
trough finally moves east of the area Wednesday night into
Thursday morning, sending the rain east of the area and bringing
clearing skies. The clearing skies and lighter winds will allow
temps to fall to near freezing or below Wednesday night into
Thursday morning across interior southeast mississippi and much
of interior southwest and south central alabama. Interior portions
of northwest florida north of i-10 could also experience a light
freeze Thursday morning. A freeze watch has been issued for much
of the area to account the possibility of a light freeze. The
upper flow becomes southwest by Friday afternoon, allowing for a
moderating trend in temps to begin. 13
long term Saturday through Tuesday ... A dry forecast expected
through the long term period as surface high pressure moves across
the area with zonal flow aloft. Mostly clear skies through the
period, but some clouds returning by Monday. Temperatures will
gradually modify through the period. 13
marine... A moderate to strong offshore flow continues over the
marine area through Thursday before relaxing Friday into the
weekend. Small craft advisories remain in effect through late
tonight, with exercise caution conditions expected thereafter.

Steady light to moderate rain and associated visibility issues
continue over the marine area through Wednesday before high pressure
builds in and pushes the rain off to the east. 49

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... Freeze watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday morning
for alz051>056-059-261>264.

Fl... Freeze watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday morning
for flz201-203.

Ms... Freeze watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday morning
for msz067-075-076-078-079.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 9 am cst Wednesday for gmz631-632-650-
655-670-675.

Small craft advisory until 3 am cst Wednesday for gmz630-633>636.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 33 mi42 min N 6 G 12 47°F 66°F1022.5 hPa (+0.0)
PCBF1 41 mi78 min N 7 G 9.9 53°F 73°F1021.5 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 53 mi42 min N 8 G 9.9 55°F 72°F1022.1 hPa (+0.4)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 57 mi32 min 14 G 19 51°F 1022.9 hPa48°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL4 mi46 minN 810.00 miLight Rain49°F47°F95%1022.7 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL5 mi1.8 hrsNNE 910.00 miLight Rain49°F46°F93%1021.7 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL7 mi49 minN 10 G 1610.00 miOvercast50°F48°F93%1021.9 hPa
Crestview, Sikes Airport, FL24 mi49 minNNE 510.00 miLight Rain48°F45°F89%1022.7 hPa

Wind History from VPS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE3CalmNW10N9N8N11N12
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N7N10N13N8N12N9N8N7N8
1 day agoE11E13E11
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E9E9E11E10E11E6SE17
G22
S12SW10S10SW4SW2W3NW3SE4E1N3SE3CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoN5N4NE4NE4NE7E5E5--E4CalmSE6SE3S3CalmCalmNE4NE4E7E8E10E9E9NE9E9

Tide / Current Tables for Shalimar, Garnier Bayou, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Harris
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:47 AM CST     1.50 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:11 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:59 AM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:13 PM CST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:50 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 10:53 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.31.41.51.51.51.41.31.110.80.60.40.30.20.10.10.10.20.30.40.50.70.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.