Thursday, March21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Shalimar, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 6:59PM Thursday March 21, 2019 5:29 PM CDT (22:29 UTC) Moonrise 7:54PMMoonset 7:28AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Expires:201903220900;;715887 Fzus54 Kmob 212050 Cwfmob Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mobile Al 350 Pm Cdt Thu Mar 21 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters Okaloosa Walton County Line To Pascagoula Out 60 Nm Seas Are Given As Significant Wave Height...which Is The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves. Individual Waves May Be More Than Twice The Significant Wave Height. Winds And Seas Will Be Higher In And Around Thunderstorms. Gmz650-655-220900- Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 350 Pm Cdt Thu Mar 21 2019
Tonight..West winds 13 to 18 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Friday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming north. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 3 seconds.
Saturday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 3 seconds.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 3 seconds.
Sunday..East winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 3 seconds.
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Monday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Monday night..West winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..North winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..North winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 350 Pm Cdt Thu Mar 21 2019
Synopsis..A light to moderate westerly wind flow will persist over the marine area through late Friday as a broad surface ridge of high pressure over the central plains states slowly builds east. A light to occasionally moderate southerly flow is expected over the weekend as high pressure to the north shifts east to the eastern seaboard. Highest winds will likely occur near the coast and over inland bays and sounds each afternoon due to good seabreeze circulations. A better onshore flow is expect by early next week as high pressure to the north continues to shift east.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Shalimar, FL
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location: 30.44, -86.59     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 212058
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
358 pm cdt Thu mar 21 2019

Near term now through Friday A sharp upper ridge over tx and
the central plains states will shift east to the north central
gulf states by midday Sat then move east of the region by late sat
afternoon. Near the surface a broad region of high pressure
mostly inline or coupled with the upper ridge also shifts east
over the north central gulf states on Fri leading to more dry
pleasant weather across the forecast area through Fri afternoon.

For tonight believe enough cold air moving in from the west
northwest ahead of the deep ridge to the west will allow for
enough mixing to help keep overnight lows near current MOS values.

The coolest spots tonight will be over western sections of the
forecast area mainly well inland from the coast were surface winds
diminish to 4 knots or less. For Fri expect sunny skies with
better subsidence in the boundary layer especially inland from the
coast possible leading to highs a tad above the current mos
numbers along with a good seabreeze generating along the coast due
to the warmer inland temps combined with cool near shore sea
surface temps.

Lows tonight will range from the upper 30s to lower 40s for most
inland areas, generally along and north of the i-10 corridor and the
middle 40s to lower 50s further south to the immediate coast. Highs
fri will range from the upper 60s to lower 70s for most inland areas
and the middle to upper 60s near the immediate coast, due to the
cooler sea surface temps and onshore flow during the afternoon.

32 ee

Short term Friday night through Sunday night A dry northwest
mid level flow will persist across our forecast area Friday
night, before shortwave ridging aloft builds eastward across the
region on Saturday. Surface high pressure will meanwhile build
eastward across the north central gulf coast through Saturday
afternoon. Dry weather will continue across our region with this
pattern through Saturday. Lows Friday night will range from around
40 degrees to the mid 40s over the interior to the upper 40s to
around 50 near the coast. Highs Saturday afternoon should reach
near 70 along the coast and in the lower to mid 70s over inland
portions of the area.

The flow pattern aloft becomes more zonal across the region late
this weekend. A shortwave trough embedded in the flow will
translate across northern portions of ms al during the day Sunday,
before a more amplified shortwave tracks approaches the ms and tn
valley regions late Sunday night. Deeper moisture and ascent
associated with these next features should remain focused to the
north and northwest of our forecast area Sunday and Sunday night,
but may need to watch our far northwest zones (northern wayne
choctaw counties) for a possible low chance of rain approaching
toward early Monday morning. For now, we have left a dry forecast
intact through Sunday night. Lows Saturday night should range in
the mid 40s to around 50 over the interior, and lower to mid 50s
near the coast. Highs Sunday should range from around 70 to the
lower 70s near the immediate coast to the mid 70s over interior
areas. 21

Long term Monday through Thursday The upper level trough axis
will progress eastward across the tn valley and adjacent portions
of ms al ga Monday into Monday night. An associated cold front
should also push across our forecast Monday evening into late
Monday night early Tuesday morning. Ascent along the trough axis
and frontal zone will bring a chance of rain showers to our region
during the Monday afternoon and evening time frame. A lingering
low chance of showers may persist over southern coastal areas into
late Monday night depending on the timing of the cold front.

Instability will be sufficient for a few thunderstorms Monday
afternoon and evening, but meager MLCAPE values of 500 j kg or
less and modest low level shear currently looks to keep any strong
to severe storm threat very isolated limited. A dry northwest flow
aloft returns Tuesday and Wednesday, before another shortwave
ridge aloft looks to follow for Thursday. We will keep a dry
forecast going through the latter part of the extended period.

Monday looks to be the warmest day of the week with highs in the
mid to upper 70s. Temperatures otherwise remain seasonably mild
through the rest of the week. 21

Marine A light to moderate westerly wind flow will persist over
the marine area through late Fri as a broad surface ridge of high
pressure over the central plains states slowly builds east. A better
southwest component can be expected near the coast Fri afternoon due
to afternoon seabreeze effects. A light southerly flow is expected
over the weekend as high pressure to the north shifts east to the
eastern seaboard with the highest winds likely occurring near the
coast and over inland bays and sounds due to good seabreeze
circulations. A better onshore flow is expected by early next week
as high pressure to the north continues to shift east. 32 ee

Preliminary point temps pops
Mobile 44 72 45 74 50 74 56 77 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 40
pensacola 47 70 48 70 52 71 59 75 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 30
destin 51 68 51 68 54 70 60 72 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20
evergreen 42 71 42 76 45 76 53 78 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 50
waynesboro 40 71 41 74 45 74 53 74 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 50
camden 41 69 41 74 45 76 53 75 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 50
crestview 42 72 43 76 45 76 53 78 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 30

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 33 mi42 min NW 6 G 11 69°F 63°F1016.1 hPa
PCBF1 41 mi42 min W 19 G 22 63°F 65°F1015.4 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 53 mi42 min W 19 G 21 63°F 64°F1015.5 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 57 mi40 min 18 G 19 2 ft1017.4 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL4 mi34 minNNW 1310.00 miFair70°F34°F27%1015.9 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL5 mi4.6 hrsNW 14 G 2110.00 miFair67°F41°F39%1017.4 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL7 mi37 minNW 11 G 1910.00 miSmoke70°F36°F29%1015.3 hPa
Crestview, Sikes Airport, FL24 mi37 minNNW 13 G 1810.00 miFair70°F34°F27%1015.8 hPa

Wind History from VPS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8SW4W4NW3W4W5W5W5NW6W4W5W7NW5NW6NW11N15--N14
G18
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G17
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G18
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1 day agoSE6CalmNE3NE5N6N3N3N4NE6NE6E4NE4NE6NE6E5E8E8NE8E7SE4SE8SE8S9SW10
2 days agoN7N6N5N5N4N6N9N12NE11N8N7N8N7N7N8NE9NE13--N5N5NE10
G15
E9SE6E6

Tide / Current Tables for Shalimar, Garnier Bayou, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Harris
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:12 AM CDT     0.88 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:49 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:27 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:48 AM CDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:26 PM CDT     0.43 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:58 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:54 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 09:28 PM CDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.80.90.90.80.80.70.60.50.50.40.40.40.40.40.40.40.40.40.30.30.30.30.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.