Thursday, June22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Shalimar, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:44AMSunset 7:53PM Thursday June 22, 2017 1:35 PM CDT (18:35 UTC) Moonrise 4:27AMMoonset 6:23PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Destin To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 1012 Am Cdt Thu Jun 22 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday morning...
.tornado watch 363 in effect until 1 pm cdt this afternoon...
Rest of today..South winds 20 to 25 knots with frequent higher gusts. Seas 9 to 12 feet subsiding to 8 to 10 feet. Showers late in the morning. Chance of Thunderstorms. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tonight..South winds 18 to 23 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. Seas 7 to 9 feet subsiding to 6 to 7 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..South winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..South winds 13 to 18 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 1012 Am Cdt Thu Jun 22 2017
Synopsis..Strong southerly flow will continue to bring hazardous conditions for small marine craft over area bays, sounds, to over the coastal waters of alabama and the western florida panhandle extending out 60 nautical miles through early Friday. Large swells will persist through Friday morning. Winds, seas and swell begin to abate over the weekend, but the chance of showers and storms will continue.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Shalimar, FL
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location: 30.44, -86.59     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 221730
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
1230 pm cdt Thu jun 22 2017

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
18z issuance... Very complex forecast situation through the
afternoon and into the overnight hours tonight. Southerly winds
will remain sustained at 15 knots with gusts up to around 30
knots within passing showers and storms this afternoon but should
subside after sunset. Ceilings will generally be borderline
MVFR ifr outside of rain and storms but will drop to ifr lifr in
and near convection. Visibility will generally be atVFR levels
but will drop to a mile or less within heavy rain and storms. Low
cigs will persist through the period. 05 rr
prev discussion... Issued 502 am cdt Thu jun 22 2017

Impacts associated with cindy continue through today
Near term now through Thursday night ... Area radars detecting
eastern outer rain bands associated with tropical storm cindy as
it makes landfall in southwestern louisiana. Numerous to definite
rain showers along with embedded scattered thunderstorms will
persist throughout the day. Some of the showers and storms will
again be capable of producing periods of heavy rainfall and brief
isolated tornadoes. The precipitation will then taper off from
southeast to northwest tonight as cindy continues to move
northward, but scattered showers and a few thunderstorms should
persist past midnight west of the alabama river.

A moderate to strong southerly wind flow will persist through
today, especially along the coastal sections. As a result, a
coastal flood warning will remain in effect for southwest alabama
through 6 pm today, and a coastal flood advisory will remain in
effect for the western florida panhandle. A high surf advisory
and a high rip current risk also remains in effect along the
beaches of alabama and the western florida panhandle. In
addition... Expanded the wind advisory to include the central
portions of mobile and baldwin counties for today.

The periods of heavy rainfall will mainly occur today and this
evening, with widespread total rainfall amounts ranging from 1 to
3 inches. Locally higher amounts of 4 to 8 inches are certainly
possible, especially where the more persistent rain bands set up.

High temperatures today will be in the lower 80s. Low
temperatures tonight will be in the mid 70s inland areas, and
upper 70s along the coast. 22
short term Friday through Saturday night ... With the remnants
of tropical storm cindy swept up, up and away in the mid-latitude
westerlies, the plume of deep tropical moisture over the local
area pushes west and north as it's squeezed between high pressure
building overhead from the western atlantic and a sagging frontal
boundary draped over the central mississippi river valley. With
this shift, expect shower and thunderstorm activity on Friday and
Saturday to remain mostly limited to the western and northern
halves of the local area, with the best chances west and north of
interstate 65. Meanwhile, winds continue to relax and temperatures
return to near-seasonal levels, with afternoon highs in the upper
80's and overnight lows in the low to mid 70's each day and
night, respectively. 49
long term Sunday through Wednesday ... Heading into Sunday, the
aforementioned frontal boundary continues to push southeast
before stalling over or just north of the local area. As a result,
expect scattered showers and thunderstorms to continue across the
local area into early next week as a weak mid-level impulse takes
advantage of the underlying summertime airmass south of the
stalled front. The front is then progged to sag south to the coast
by midweek, perhaps providing some relief from the wet weather
for inland areas, before pushing off to the east as the next
impulse approaches and unsettled weather returns. The return of
unsettled weather through the long term period will be accompanied
by below-seasonal daytime temperatures, with highs in the low to
mid 80's each afternoon. Lows will remain in the low to mid 70's
each night. 49
marine... Strong southerly flow will continue to bring hazardous
conditions for small craft over the bays, sounds and coastal
waters of alabama and the western florida panhandle and out 60
nautical miles through early Friday. Large swells will persist
into Thursday. Small craft will need to exercise caution through
Friday evening until winds and seas subside further. 22

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... Flash flood watch through late tonight for alz051>060-261>266.

Coastal flood warning until 6 pm cdt this evening for alz261>266.

Wind advisory until 6 pm cdt this evening for alz263>266.

High rip current risk through late tonight for alz265-266.

High surf advisory until 6 am cdt Friday for alz265-266.

Fl... Flash flood watch through late tonight for flz201>206.

Wind advisory until 6 pm cdt this evening for flz202-204-206.

High rip current risk through late tonight for flz202-204-206.

Coastal flood advisory until 6 pm cdt this evening for flz202-
204-206.

High surf advisory until 6 am cdt Friday for flz202-204-206.

Ms... Flash flood watch through late tonight for msz067-075-076-078-
079.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 10 am cdt Friday for gmz631-632-650-
655-670-675.

Small craft advisory until 4 am cdt Friday for gmz630-633>635.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 33 mi54 min 83°F 79°F1014.7 hPa
PCBF1 41 mi48 min SSE 19 G 21 82°F 83°F1016.7 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 53 mi48 min SSE 19 G 23 83°F 82°F1016.8 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 57 mi46 min SSE 21 G 25 81°F 80°F8 ft1013.3 hPa (+0.5)78°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL4 mi41 minSSE 20 G 245.00 miFog/Mist and Breezy84°F77°F81%1015.8 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL5 mi1.7 hrsSSE 20 G 2510.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy84°F75°F76%1015 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL7 mi43 minSSE 13 G 238.00 miOvercast87°F84°F91%1015.4 hPa
Crestview, Sikes Airport, FL24 mi43 minS 14 G 249.00 miMostly Cloudy84°F75°F74%1015.3 hPa

Wind History from VPS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE13
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1 day agoNE7NE7E5NE7NE8NE8NE9
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2 days agoS9SE11SE8SE14SE13SE10SE5SE9NE4NE3E7E6E4--SE4NE4NE5E7E6NE4NE5NE4E5NE5

Tide / Current Tables for Shalimar, Garnier Bayou, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Shalimar
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:27 AM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:45 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 01:13 PM CDT     0.53 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:23 PM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:51 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:30 PM CDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.1-000.10.10.20.20.30.30.40.40.50.50.50.50.50.40.30.20.10-0-0.1-0.1

Tide / Current Tables for Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Harris
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:27 AM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:45 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:33 AM CDT     1.81 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:23 PM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:52 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:52 PM CDT     -0.38 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.2-0.100.20.40.60.91.11.31.51.71.81.81.71.61.41.20.90.60.30.1-0.1-0.3-0.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.