Friday, August18, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Shalimar, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:14AMSunset 7:25PM Friday August 18, 2017 1:06 PM CDT (18:06 UTC) Moonrise 2:52AMMoonset 4:59PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Destin To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 1000 Am Cdt Fri Aug 18 2017
Rest of today..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northwest. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Seas around 2 feet then 1 foot or less. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest 3 to 8 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming 3 to 8 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 1000 Am Cdt Fri Aug 18 2017
Synopsis..Surface high pressure continue across the northern gulf of mexico today, weakening slightly Saturday as a weak front approaches from the north. This will result in a light west to southwest wind flow through late Saturday, but briefly northwesterly late night and early morning hours. Weak high pressure builds north of the area Sunday into early next week with winds becoming more east to southeasterly. Little change in seas expected. Winds and seas higher in and around isolated to scattered showers and storms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Shalimar, FL
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location: 30.44, -86.59     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 181736
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
1236 pm cdt Fri aug 18 2017

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
18z issuance...VFR conditions prevail through the period, with the
exception of locally lower CIGS vis in and around isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, with the
greatest coverage expected over the southern half of the local
area. Winds generally out of the west around 5 to 10 knots today
become light and variable overnight, before shifting to more
northwesterly early Saturday morning. 49

Prev discussion issued 415 am cdt Fri aug 18 2017
near term now through Friday night ... Convection was rather limited
yesterday afternoon as compared to previous couple of days, as
expected, although there were a few showers and storms around. For
today, expect similar conditions but perhaps a few more showers
and storms this afternoon mainly confined to the southern half of
the forecast area. Upper ridging weakens slightly in the near
term, with the tail end of a weak mid upper level shortwave moving
west to east across the forecast area today. Meanwhile, a surface
high pressure ridge axis along the gulf coast this morning is
expected to drift further offshore through tonight as a weak
front trof drifts well south into the area. Subsidence will be a
little less pronounced today, and the surface front trof moving in
from the north will provide a low level focus. This combined with
pwat's still ranging from around 1.3 inches over northern inland
zones to near 2.0 inches at the coast, should result in isolated
to scattered convection across southern portions of the forecast
area this afternoon. No severe threat expected with the isolated
to scattered storms, but localized heavy rain, lightning and brief
strong gusty winds can be expected with any storms that do
develop. Most of the convective activity will be this afternoon,
diminishing quickly after sunset with loss of instability. With
abundant sunshine today, especially early, should be another hot
day today, but high temps likely a few degrees lower than
yesterday in most locations. MAX temps this afternoon are
generally expected to be in the lower 90s for most locations,
except for along the immediate coast where some upper 80s are
possible. Low temps tonight still warm, in the low to mid 70s
inland and mid to upper 70s at the coast. Muggy conditions
continue. 12 ds
short term Saturday through Sunday night ... On the southern
periphery of a mid level ridge nosing westward over the deep
south over the weekend, a well defined upper level trof moves
westward over the gulf. Deep layer moisture, with precipitable
water (pwat) values around 1.5 inches on Saturday, lies between 1
and 2 standard deviations below the climatological mean as we
begin the latter half of august. Although there is some influence
of larger scale subsidence from ridge aloft and on the northern
and western flank of westward moving upper trof to the south,
cannot discount a chance of showers and storms during the heat and
instability of the day as deep layer moisture will be adequate.

Daytime highs on Saturday most locations look to rise to between
93 and 96. Heat index values lift to between 102 and 107.

Overnight lows Saturday night 72 to 75 interior to mid to upper
70s coast, with potential of late night showers and storms closer
to the coast and offshore.

As the axis of the upper trof pivots slowly west over the central
gulf on Sunday, highest deep layer moisture recovers to around
1.8 inches along the coast thru the day. Considering this and
transitioning to the more favored eastern side of the trof for
better shower and storm potential, will mention a mid range chance
probability. Over the interior, deep layer moisture looks to
remain about a third of an inch lower in pwat and larger scale
subsidence associated with more upper ridging there suggests a
lower probability than that along the coast. Daytime highs on
Sunday mid 90s along and north of i-10 to lower 90s closer to the
coast. Heat index values 102 and 107. 10
long term Monday through Thursday ... Upper ridge axis off the
southeast us coast, builds west thru the middle of next week,
pushing gulf upper trof westward to the texas coast by Tuesday. A
marked increase in pwat is seen Monday thru Wednesday with values
increasing to between 2.0 and 2.1 inches on average. Thus, will
mention a chance of daily storms during the better instability of
each day. A diurnal decrease in night-time convection over the
interior while maintaining small probabilities closer to the
coast and offshore overnight, which is common in summer. Highs in
the lower to mid 90s interior to 87 to 90 coast. Heat index values
to mostly range 100 to 105. Overnight lows in the mid 70s
interior, 77 to 80 closer to the coast. 10
marine... A surface high pressure ridge axis will continue to extend
west across the northern and eastern gulf of mexico through today,
but begin to weaken slightly by Saturday as a weak front approaches
the gulf coast from the north. This pattern will result in a
generally light west to southwest wind flow through late Saturday,
but at times a brief northwesterly component in the late night and
early morning hours. High pressure will again build to the east of
the marine area Sunday into the early part of next week with winds
becoming more predominant east to southeast. Little change in seas
expected, generally remaining 2 feet or less through most of the
period, increasing slightly by late Monday into Tuesday. Winds and
seas will however be locally higher in and around isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms. 12 ds

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 33 mi48 min 91°F 87°F1016.7 hPa
PCBF1 41 mi48 min WSW 8.9 G 9.9 87°F 1016.9 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 53 mi48 min W 7 G 8.9 90°F 88°F1016.9 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 57 mi76 min WNW 9.7 G 9.7 84°F 87°F1 ft1016.7 hPa (+0.0)80°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL4 mi71 minN 810.00 miMostly Cloudy93°F72°F51%1016.8 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL5 mi2.2 hrsNNW 1110.00 miFair91°F70°F51%1016.4 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL7 mi73 minN 610.00 miFair95°F73°F51%1016.3 hPa
Crestview, Sikes Airport, FL24 mi73 minNNW 910.00 miA Few Clouds93°F73°F54%1016.7 hPa

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Last 24hrSW6SW12
G17
NW6SW6W6SW6SW5W4SW4W5W3W3W4NW5W5NW3NW3CalmNW9NW8NW10NW7N8NW5
1 day agoNE4CalmCalmSW9SW7SW7SW5W5W5CalmCalmCalmCalmN1NW3NW3NW2NW2NW4NW6W5CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoNW3S4CalmS3W3Calm4W4CalmCalmCalmCalmNW2CalmNW2N2N3NW2N4CalmW43CalmS8

Tide / Current Tables for Shalimar, Garnier Bayou, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Shalimar
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:51 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:15 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:03 PM CDT     0.58 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:58 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:24 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:36 PM CDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
00.10.10.20.20.30.30.40.40.50.50.60.60.60.50.50.40.30.20.10.10-0-0

Tide / Current Tables for Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Harris
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:52 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:15 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:08 AM CDT     2.02 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:59 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:25 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:39 PM CDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.30.50.711.21.41.71.82221.91.81.61.31.10.80.60.40.20.100

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.