Monday, May22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Shalimar, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 7:40PM Monday May 22, 2017 4:28 PM CDT (21:28 UTC) Moonrise 3:36AMMoonset 4:16PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Destin To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 344 Pm Cdt Mon May 22 2017
.small craft should exercise caution tonight...
.small craft advisory in effect from Tuesday morning through Wednesday evening...
Tonight..Southwest winds 13 to 18 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 18 to 23 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 18 to 23 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers and Thunderstorms likely after midnight.
Wednesday..West winds 18 to 23 knots. Seas 5 to 8 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..West winds 18 to 23 knots becoming northwest 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 8 feet subsiding to 4 to 6 feet.
Thursday..West winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet.
Friday..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet.
Friday night..South winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Saturday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 344 Pm Cdt Mon May 22 2017
Synopsis..An area of low pressure moving along a stalled boundary will bring an increase in showers and Thunderstorms along with increasing winds and building seas late tonight through Tuesday. A cold front will move through the marine area Wednesday with a moderate to strong west to northwest flow in the wake of the front through Wednesday night. A light southerly flow returns for the end of the week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Shalimar, FL
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location: 30.44, -86.59     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 222125
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
425 pm cdt Mon may 22 2017

Near term /now through Tuesday/ A stationary front will continue
across the central gulf coast through the the period. This boundary
will continue to provide a focus for the development of showers and
storms as shortwaves track along the boundary. The next shortwave
will approach this evening with an area of low pressure expected to
develop along the front along southern louisiana and track eastward
through the overnight hours. This will bring more organized showers
and thunderstorms to the area late this evening through Tuesday
morning. Heavy rainfall will be the main threat as precipitable
water values remain above 2 inches and a flash flood watch remains
in effect. An additional 2 to 3 inches of rain can be expected with
isolated totals as high as 5 inches possible. While deep layer shear
will also increase, instability levels are expected to be on the low
side with only a marginal risk for severe storms. The heaviest showers
and storms are expected to move east of the area Tuesday morning,
however the boundary is not expected to move much and additional
showers and thunderstorms can be expected through the day. A very
moist airmass will remain over the area through Tuesday, so additional
heavy rains can be expected. Lows tonight will range from the low to
mid 60s inland to low 70s along the coast. Highs on Tuesday will be
in the upper 70s and low 80s. 13/jc

Short term /Tuesday night through Thursday night/ As we go into
Tuesday night, the slow moving frontal boundary will likely be
situated over northwestern portions of our forecast area. The
primary axis of 2+ inch pwat will have likely shifted just east of
our forecast area by the beginning of the short term period, but
pwat still around 1.25 to 1.5 inches will still exist across the
majority of our forecast area Tuesday night into early Wednesday.

While precipitation coverages will be a little less widespread
Tuesday night than those of the near term forecast period, and
gradually tapering off from west to east during the day on
Wednesday, potential for at least some additional heavy rainfall
will continue through Tuesday night. As a result, the flash flood
watch (faa) that we already have out for the area will remain in
effect through late Tuesday night. On Wednesday with the frontal
passage, any lingering rains should be moving out of the area to
the east, with pwat quickly dropping to less than an 1 inch by
late in the day as much drier and cooler air begins to move into
the area. Surface high pressure will briefly move east across the
region Wednesday night through Thursday, allowing things to dry
out and also bringing some cooler and less humid conditions. There
could be a few lingering light showers and cloudy skies Wednesday
night into Thursday as the trailing upper trof moves east across
the region, but really not expecting too much with this. Surface
high pressure moves east of the area by Thursday night with gulf
return flow developing, while upper flow becomes nearly zonal. No
precipitation expected on Thursday. Lows Tuesday night in the 60s
over the interior and lower 70s along the coast. Highs Wednesday
in the upper 70s and lower 80s. A little cooler Wednesday night
through Thursday night, with overnight lows in the 50s over the
interior and 60s closer to the coast and daytime high on Thursday
around 80. 12/ds

Long term /Friday through Monday/ Return flow continues to moderate
atmosphere through the early part of the long term period. Stays dry
on Friday, but rain chances return over the weekend into the early
part of next week. Daytime highs in the 80s. Nighttime lows in the
mid 60s to lower 70s Friday night warming to the upper 60s to mid
70s by the early next week. 12/ds

Marine An area of low pressure moving along a stalled boundary
will bring an increase in showers and thunderstorms along with
increasing winds and building seas late tonight through Tuesday. A
cold front will move through the marine area Wednesday with a
moderate to strong west to northwest flow in the wake of the front
through Wednesday night. A light southerly flow returns for the end
of the week. 13/jc

Preliminary point temps/pops
Mobile 68 82 67 79 / 90 80 40 40
pensacola 71 79 70 79 / 80 80 60 50
destin 71 78 72 79 / 80 80 60 60
evergreen 67 79 66 79 / 90 80 60 50
waynesboro 65 82 63 77 / 90 70 40 30
camden 66 80 65 76 / 90 80 60 40
crestview 69 79 68 80 / 80 80 60 60

Mob watches/warnings/advisories
Al... Flash flood watch through late Tuesday night for alz051>060-
261>266.

High rip current risk through Wednesday evening for alz265-266.

Fl... Flash flood watch through late Tuesday night for flz201>206.

High rip current risk through Wednesday evening for flz202-204-
206.

Ms... Flash flood watch through late Tuesday night for msz067-075-076-
078-079.

Gm... Small craft advisory from 7 am Tuesday to 7 pm cdt Wednesday for
gmz650-655-670-675.

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.Gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 33 mi40 min 83°F 80°F1014.9 hPa
PCBF1 41 mi40 min SSW 7 G 8 78°F 82°F1015 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 53 mi40 min SSW 8 G 11 79°F 82°F1014.9 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 57 mi38 min SSW 5.8 G 7.8 77°F 81°F2 ft1014.6 hPa (-1.4)71°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL4 mi33 minSSW 810.00 miMostly Cloudy81°F70°F71%1014.8 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL5 mi90 minSSE 810.00 miMostly Cloudy81°F67°F64%1014.7 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL7 mi35 minS 610.00 miFair83°F77°F82%1014.4 hPa
Crestview, Sikes Airport, FL24 mi35 minS 510.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F70°F67%1014.2 hPa

Wind History from VPS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW4W5W4W5CalmNW6NW4W3N2S3NW2E4N1N1N3N4CalmS6SE6S7S8S9S6S8
1 day agoSE14
G21
SE13SE17
G23
SE13S15
G24
NE7S10N8NE9E9E9--S3SE13SE10SE4N4NW5CalmW5W9SW11SE5SW6
2 days agoS11S9SE5--------CalmE3SE7SE10S6SE5SE8E10E10SE12SE14SE13SE15
G19
SE17
G20
SE15
G20
SE15S14
G20

Tide / Current Tables for Shalimar, Garnier Bayou, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Shalimar
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:24 AM CDT     0.20 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:35 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:21 AM CDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:48 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 01:23 PM CDT     0.33 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:15 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:38 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:17 PM CDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.30.30.30.30.30.30.30.20.20.10.10.10.10.1

Tide / Current Tables for Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Harris
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:32 AM CDT     0.60 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:36 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:59 AM CDT     0.59 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:48 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:46 AM CDT     1.01 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:16 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:38 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:14 PM CDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.70.80.80.91110.90.80.70.60.50.40.40.30.30.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.