Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Tallahassee, FL
May 4, 2024 4:22 PM EDT (20:22 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:48 AM Sunset 8:18 PM Moonrise 3:34 AM Moonset 3:43 PM |
GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 235 Pm Edt Sat May 4 2024 /135 Pm Cdt Sat May 4 2024/
Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight, then increasing to 5 to 10 knots late. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tuesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tuesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night - South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 235 Pm Edt Sat May 4 2024
Synopsis -
generally light south to southeast winds are expected through the middle of next week with high pressure off to our east. Seas will remain around 2 to 3 feet. Some increase in winds are possible mid to late week as the pressure gradient tightens.
generally light south to southeast winds are expected through the middle of next week with high pressure off to our east. Seas will remain around 2 to 3 feet. Some increase in winds are possible mid to late week as the pressure gradient tightens.
Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
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FXUS62 KTAE 041924 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 324 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY
NEAR TERM
(Through Sunday)
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024
Scattered showers and thunderstorms (some strong to marginally severe) this afternoon should persist into the evening hrs thanks to a couple of shortwave troughs providing some upper-level support amidst a moist/unstable airmass. Cooler temperatures aloft associated with the lead shortwave directly overhead may be supporting robust updrafts as some convection has exhibited tall cores, frequent lightning, and occasional downburst signatures.
Isolated heavy rainfall has been observed as well. The trailing shortwave is aiding in some large-scale lift for non-seabreeze driven convection north of the FL state line. Remnant outflow boundaries could also lead to lead to additional development. This activity should diminish later tonight. Fog and low stratus should develop in its place towards early tomorrow morning while low temperatures once again dip to unseasonably warm mid/upper 60s.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are poised to develop tomorrow afternoon via the seabreeze and perhaps an upstream shortwave lifting across the Upper MS Valley. Coverage appears less than today with the best chances (up to ~40%) in the Eastern FL Big Bend into South-Central GA. Forecast soundings depict a moist/unstable/semi-Inverted V profile which would support gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall. Otherwise, a building subtropical ridge from the Gulf ushers very warm conditions. High temperatures are poised to flirt with 90 degrees away from the immediate coast.
SHORT TERM
(Sunday night through Monday night)
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024
Another weak shortwave passes over the area on Monday, perhaps bringing a slight boost to our rain chances Monday afternoon. The highest rain chances will generally be closer to the I-75 corridor and the Suwannee River Valley (up to 50%), decreasing to the south and west. Some gusty winds may be possible in the stronger storms Monday afternoon. Wouldn't rule out some small hail either given the shortwave on top of us giving us cooler mid-level temperatures and slightly steeper mid-level lapse rates. Outside of storms, highs will be in the upper 80s for most areas, though closer to the mid 80s at the beaches. Lows will be in the middle to upper 60s.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024
Mid-level ridging will build across the area mid-week, then begin to flatten out as another trough approaches from the northwest.
Recent ensemble guidance trends indicate that the ridging may not be quite as robust as previous forecasts and that troughing to our north and west could be a bit more progressive and stronger. While it will still be hot, it may not be quite as hot as previously thought. Highs could still reach the mid-90s in a few spots Thursday and maybe Friday, but most will likely top out in the lower 90s. Lows will become more muggy through the week as they climb into the lower 70s.
A cold front sinks into our forecast area on Friday into Friday night, which will bring an increase in rain chances Friday afternoon. While it's too early to determine any severe potential with this system, we'll keep an eye on it as it appears there could be some overlap of adequate shear and instability on Friday.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 141 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024
Scattered SHRA (iso thunder) is evident this aftn. There is enough convective coverage to warrant prevailing VCTS at all terminals into the early evening. Potential for t-storms moving directly over a site is best over DHN/VLD where tempo groups for -TSRA were introduced. Expect a convective lull overnight/tmrw morning, but returning fog/low stratus, especially where rain has fallen. Restrictions of IFR or lower are most likely at ECP/TLH with at least MVFR elsewhere during the pre-dawn hrs.
MARINE
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024
Generally light south to southeast winds are expected through the middle of next week with high pressure off to our east. Seas will remain around 2 to 3 feet. Some increase in winds are possible mid to late week as the pressure gradient tightens.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024
Another round of showers and thunderstorms are expected tomorrow afternoon via seabreeze initiation. Convection will be capable of gusty/erratic winds and frequent lightning. Coverage should be less compared to today. Best chances are over the Eastern FL Big Bend through the I-75 corridor. Otherwise, very warm conditions are on tap for Sunday with forecast inland high temperatures around 90 and heat indices a few degrees higher.
For Monday, we are looking at more diurnally driven storms to focus along the seabreeze, then drift north past the FL state line.
Similarly warm conditions return as highs surge into the upper 80s to near 90. Brisk southerly winds combined with mixing heights up to 5000+ ft yield widespread high dispersions Monday afternoon. By Tuesday, a strong ridge of high pressure aims to suppress convection and serve as a primer for even hotter weather as the work week progresses.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024
Localized heavy downpours are possible in the stronger showers and storms over the next couple days. PWATs are forecast to be near 1.3 to 1.6 inches, which is around the 75th-90th percentile for this time of year. These storms won't be widespread, and the heavier totals of 2-3 inches will be fairly localized. Thus, only nuisance flooding of poor drainage or urban areas is expected. Due to the sporadic nature of these storms, river systems will likely remain unphased by localized downpours.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 87 68 88 67 / 50 30 20 0 Panama City 82 68 84 69 / 10 0 10 0 Dothan 87 65 88 67 / 40 30 20 0 Albany 87 65 88 67 / 70 40 20 10 Valdosta 85 65 89 67 / 60 30 30 10 Cross City 88 65 89 66 / 50 10 40 0 Apalachicola 80 70 81 70 / 10 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Sunday night for FLZ108-112- 114-115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 324 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY
NEAR TERM
(Through Sunday)
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024
Scattered showers and thunderstorms (some strong to marginally severe) this afternoon should persist into the evening hrs thanks to a couple of shortwave troughs providing some upper-level support amidst a moist/unstable airmass. Cooler temperatures aloft associated with the lead shortwave directly overhead may be supporting robust updrafts as some convection has exhibited tall cores, frequent lightning, and occasional downburst signatures.
Isolated heavy rainfall has been observed as well. The trailing shortwave is aiding in some large-scale lift for non-seabreeze driven convection north of the FL state line. Remnant outflow boundaries could also lead to lead to additional development. This activity should diminish later tonight. Fog and low stratus should develop in its place towards early tomorrow morning while low temperatures once again dip to unseasonably warm mid/upper 60s.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are poised to develop tomorrow afternoon via the seabreeze and perhaps an upstream shortwave lifting across the Upper MS Valley. Coverage appears less than today with the best chances (up to ~40%) in the Eastern FL Big Bend into South-Central GA. Forecast soundings depict a moist/unstable/semi-Inverted V profile which would support gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall. Otherwise, a building subtropical ridge from the Gulf ushers very warm conditions. High temperatures are poised to flirt with 90 degrees away from the immediate coast.
SHORT TERM
(Sunday night through Monday night)
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024
Another weak shortwave passes over the area on Monday, perhaps bringing a slight boost to our rain chances Monday afternoon. The highest rain chances will generally be closer to the I-75 corridor and the Suwannee River Valley (up to 50%), decreasing to the south and west. Some gusty winds may be possible in the stronger storms Monday afternoon. Wouldn't rule out some small hail either given the shortwave on top of us giving us cooler mid-level temperatures and slightly steeper mid-level lapse rates. Outside of storms, highs will be in the upper 80s for most areas, though closer to the mid 80s at the beaches. Lows will be in the middle to upper 60s.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024
Mid-level ridging will build across the area mid-week, then begin to flatten out as another trough approaches from the northwest.
Recent ensemble guidance trends indicate that the ridging may not be quite as robust as previous forecasts and that troughing to our north and west could be a bit more progressive and stronger. While it will still be hot, it may not be quite as hot as previously thought. Highs could still reach the mid-90s in a few spots Thursday and maybe Friday, but most will likely top out in the lower 90s. Lows will become more muggy through the week as they climb into the lower 70s.
A cold front sinks into our forecast area on Friday into Friday night, which will bring an increase in rain chances Friday afternoon. While it's too early to determine any severe potential with this system, we'll keep an eye on it as it appears there could be some overlap of adequate shear and instability on Friday.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 141 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024
Scattered SHRA (iso thunder) is evident this aftn. There is enough convective coverage to warrant prevailing VCTS at all terminals into the early evening. Potential for t-storms moving directly over a site is best over DHN/VLD where tempo groups for -TSRA were introduced. Expect a convective lull overnight/tmrw morning, but returning fog/low stratus, especially where rain has fallen. Restrictions of IFR or lower are most likely at ECP/TLH with at least MVFR elsewhere during the pre-dawn hrs.
MARINE
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024
Generally light south to southeast winds are expected through the middle of next week with high pressure off to our east. Seas will remain around 2 to 3 feet. Some increase in winds are possible mid to late week as the pressure gradient tightens.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024
Another round of showers and thunderstorms are expected tomorrow afternoon via seabreeze initiation. Convection will be capable of gusty/erratic winds and frequent lightning. Coverage should be less compared to today. Best chances are over the Eastern FL Big Bend through the I-75 corridor. Otherwise, very warm conditions are on tap for Sunday with forecast inland high temperatures around 90 and heat indices a few degrees higher.
For Monday, we are looking at more diurnally driven storms to focus along the seabreeze, then drift north past the FL state line.
Similarly warm conditions return as highs surge into the upper 80s to near 90. Brisk southerly winds combined with mixing heights up to 5000+ ft yield widespread high dispersions Monday afternoon. By Tuesday, a strong ridge of high pressure aims to suppress convection and serve as a primer for even hotter weather as the work week progresses.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024
Localized heavy downpours are possible in the stronger showers and storms over the next couple days. PWATs are forecast to be near 1.3 to 1.6 inches, which is around the 75th-90th percentile for this time of year. These storms won't be widespread, and the heavier totals of 2-3 inches will be fairly localized. Thus, only nuisance flooding of poor drainage or urban areas is expected. Due to the sporadic nature of these storms, river systems will likely remain unphased by localized downpours.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 87 68 88 67 / 50 30 20 0 Panama City 82 68 84 69 / 10 0 10 0 Dothan 87 65 88 67 / 40 30 20 0 Albany 87 65 88 67 / 70 40 20 10 Valdosta 85 65 89 67 / 60 30 30 10 Cross City 88 65 89 66 / 50 10 40 0 Apalachicola 80 70 81 70 / 10 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Sunday night for FLZ108-112- 114-115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL | 28 mi | 149 min | S 11G | 80°F | 56 ft | 30.02 | 72°F | |
| APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL | 58 mi | 83 min | SW 4.1 | 81°F | 30.06 | 73°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KTLH TALLAHASSEE INTL,FL | 7 sm | 29 min | SSE 08 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 84°F | 70°F | 62% | 29.98 |
St. Marks
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:16 AM EDT 2.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:34 AM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:50 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 07:01 AM EDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:56 PM EDT 3.25 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:42 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 07:42 PM EDT 0.48 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:16 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:16 AM EDT 2.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:34 AM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:50 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 07:01 AM EDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:56 PM EDT 3.25 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:42 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 07:42 PM EDT 0.48 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:16 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
St. Marks, St. Marks River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2.9 |
| 1 am |
| 2.9 |
| 2 am |
| 2.6 |
| 3 am |
| 2.1 |
| 4 am |
| 1.5 |
| 5 am |
| 0.9 |
| 6 am |
| 0.5 |
| 7 am |
| 0.4 |
| 8 am |
| 0.6 |
| 9 am |
| 1.1 |
| 10 am |
| 1.8 |
| 11 am |
| 2.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.1 |
St. Marks River Entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:33 AM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 05:56 AM EDT 0.44 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:50 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 12:21 PM EDT 3.50 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:42 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 06:38 PM EDT 0.54 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:16 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:33 AM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 05:56 AM EDT 0.44 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:50 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 12:21 PM EDT 3.50 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:42 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 06:38 PM EDT 0.54 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:16 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
St. Marks River Entrance, Florida (2) (expired 1995-12-31), Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.1 |
| 1 am |
| 2.9 |
| 2 am |
| 2.4 |
| 3 am |
| 1.7 |
| 4 am |
| 1.1 |
| 5 am |
| 0.6 |
| 6 am |
| 0.4 |
| 7 am |
| 0.6 |
| 8 am |
| 1.1 |
| 9 am |
| 1.8 |
| 10 am |
| 2.6 |
| 11 am |
| 3.2 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 3 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 1 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.8 |
Tallahassee, FL,
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