Thursday, May25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Valparaiso, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:45AMSunset 7:41PM Thursday May 25, 2017 11:10 AM CDT (16:10 UTC) Moonrise 5:49AMMoonset 7:39PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Destin To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 1017 Am Cdt Thu May 25 2017
.small craft should exercise caution...
Rest of today..West winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet.
Tonight..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet.
Friday..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Friday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet.
Saturday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 1017 Am Cdt Thu May 25 2017
Synopsis..A broad surface ridge of high pressure will settle over the north central and eastern gulf through early next week. A moderate to strong westerly flow early today will shift south to southwest by late today and tonight and continue through early next week. Higher winds and waves will occur during the afternoon and evening hours through early next week mainly due to a moderate seabreeze circulation forming each afternoon.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Valparaiso, FL
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location: 30.49, -86.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 251155 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
655 am cdt Thu may 25 2017

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
12z issuance...VFR conditions through 26.12z. Winds will be
southwest to west at 5 to 10 knots early today shifting south to
southwest by late afternoon and this evening, then becoming light
and variable late this evening and overnight. 32 ee

Prev discussion issued 421 am cdt Thu may 25 2017
near term now through Thursday night ... Broad upper low trof stretching
from the north central gulf states to the great lakes will continue
to lift northeast moving across the oh tn river valleys and mid
atlantic states through 12z Fri as a weak upper ridge shifts east
over the central plains states reaching the lower ms river valley by
12z fri. At the sfc a broad surface ridge ahead of the upper ridge
axis stretched across much of the western and central gulf early
this morning shifting east over much of eastern gulf and SE states
through 12z fri. With this pattern a dry cooler and more stable air
mass will continue to settle over the forecast area through tonight
resulting in near record low temps for most locations in the
forecast area early today followed by temps running 4 to 7 degrees
below seasonal averages today and tonight. As the surface ridge
shifts east today a light western flow near the surface will shift
south to southwest by late afternoon then continue through tonight
leading to the onset of better moisture return near the surface this
evening and overnight.

As mentioned above temps will be cooler than seasonal averages
through tonight with highs ranging from the lower to middle 80s for
inland and coastal locations today followed by lows in the mid to
upper 50s inland for areas generally north of the i-10 corridor and
the lower to middle 60s for all other areas stretching southward to
the immediate coast. 32 ee
short term Friday through Saturday night ... An upper level ridge
over the southern gulf of mexico builds and shifts north,
bringing increased subsidence and a quick return of temps around
to above seasonal. With a surface ridge becoming established over
the northern gulf by the end of Friday, a more organized onshore
flow will increase deep layer moisture levels through the weekend,
with rain becoming possible as early as Saturday night. Highs in
the upper 80s to around 90s, with lows ranging from mid 60s north
to mid 70s along the coast.

16
long term Sunday through Wednesday ... An upper system moves from
over the us canadian plains to over the great lakes, where it
meanders around for a day or two before opening. It pushes a
front south, which then stalls over the forecast area Monday into
Monday night, weakening the surface ridge over the northern gulf.

This will provide the focus for shra tsra development the rest of
the forecast, with highest chances being Monday, with the boundary
being its strongest, and the organized southerly flow from the
weakening surface ridge being the strongest.

As the upper system moves over the great lakes, it shifts the
upper ridge over the gulf of mexico. The result, the loss of
subsidence of the ridge in combination with increase in cloud
cover rain coverage drops daytime highs, especially over areas of
the forecast area along and northwest of i65, to below to around
seasonal levels. Overnight lows also drop a bit, but remain around
seasonal levels. Highs in the mid to upper 80s, lows in the mid
60s well inland to low 70s along the coast.

16
marine... Surface high pressure over the western gulf will shift east
across the north central and eastern gulf through early Fri then
remain settled in this position through late Sun afternoon. Surface
ridge will then shift east over much of the western atlantic in
response to next broad upper trof approaching from the west late sun
into early next week. With this pattern a moderate westerly flow
early today will shift southwest to south by late this afternoon
then continue through early next week. A weak frontal boundary will
approach from the north by Mon night then stall near the coast early
tue morning. A surface ridge will then become better established
over the north central and eastern gulf through Fri leading to
mostly a light to moderate onshore flow through the remainder of the
week. Better rain chances return to the marine area Mon into tue
ahead of the weakening frontal boundary approaching from the north.

Seas will range from 2 to 3 feet through early next week then
subside to 1 to 2 feet through the remainder of the week. 32 ee

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 37 mi41 min WNW 18 G 22 71°F 78°F1011.9 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 39 mi41 min 72°F 79°F1012.5 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 49 mi41 min NW 14 G 20 72°F 78°F1011.9 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 64 mi81 min NW 9.7 G 14 69°F 76°F3 ft1012.1 hPa (+2.1)53°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL3 mi76 minW 1210.00 miFair73°F47°F40%1012.1 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL6 mi18 minVar 5 G 1510.00 miFair77°F48°F36%1011.9 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL11 mi73 minW 1210.00 miFair73°F46°F38%1011.3 hPa
Crestview, Sikes Airport, FL21 mi18 minWNW 1110.00 miFair74°F46°F38%1012.2 hPa

Wind History from VPS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW12W11
G17
W11W15
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W7W6W5NW9NW5NW9NW7NW5NW5NW8NW8NW7NW9NW9W12NW18
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1 day ago------W17
G25
SW17
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SW14
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G19
W9SW8SW9SW9SW11SW8SW10SW6SW8W7W4W3W6W6W8W8
2 days agoS7S8S9S6S8S6S8SW5CalmSW3CalmSW3CalmSW4----SE3S4S7S12
G19
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SW16
G24
SW14
G20
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Tide / Current Tables for East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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East Pass (Destin)
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:46 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 05:49 AM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:25 AM CDT     0.71 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:46 PM CDT     New Moon
Thu -- 07:38 PM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:39 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:09 PM CDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-000.10.20.30.30.40.50.60.70.70.70.70.60.60.50.40.20.10-0-0.1-0.1-0.2

Tide / Current Tables for Shalimar, Garnier Bayou, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Shalimar
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:46 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 05:50 AM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:07 PM CDT     0.52 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:46 PM CDT     New Moon
Thu -- 07:38 PM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:40 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.1-0000.10.10.20.20.30.30.40.40.50.50.50.50.50.40.30.20.10-0-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.