Friday, November16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Niceville, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:12AMSunset 4:50PM Friday November 16, 2018 3:03 PM CST (21:03 UTC) Moonrise 2:12PMMoonset 12:45AM Illumination 64% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 908 Am Cst Fri Nov 16 2018
Rest of today..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Tonight..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Saturday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Saturday night..Winds light becoming northeast 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday night..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Monday..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Monday night..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Tuesday..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Tuesday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 908 Am Cst Fri Nov 16 2018
Synopsis..A light to moderate offshore flow expected early this morning, then a light northerly flow is expected late today through the weekend and into the early part of next week. Small sea state expected into the early part of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Niceville, FL
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location: 30.5, -86.46     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 162100
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
300 pm cst Fri nov 16 2018

Near term now through Saturday High pressure that has
settled over the forecast area will bring clear skies and another
night of well below seasonal low temps tonight. Lows in the mid to
upper 30s with low 40s along the coast expected. The dry and cool
airmass over the area will continue to moderate Saturday, with
sunny skies bringing highs rising into the upper 60s, closer to
seasonal norms for the date.

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Short term Saturday night through Monday night High surface
pressure dominates through much of the short term, maintaining
light north winds, clear skies, and dry weather through Monday.

The surface ridge breaks down as a weak cold front associated with
a shortwave aloft approaches from the northwest. Dry preceding
conditions and weak dynamics should limit rain potential along the
front, with only a few isolated showers possible over our
southeast mississippi and southwest alabama counties Monday
evening. Otherwise, expecting Sunday and Monday to be pleasant
with high temps in the upper 60s to low 70s. Low temps see a
gradual warming through the period, ranging from upper 30s to low
40s Saturday night and upper 40s to low 50s Monday night. 49

Long term Tuesday through Friday With a weak front pushing
offshore to start the period, could see a few lingering light
showers along the coast Tuesday morning. High pressure then
builds east across the deep south and into the southeastern states
through the middle part of next week, leading to another period
of pleasant temperatures and clear skies late Tuesday through
Wednesday.

While long range guidance diverges beyond Wednesday, there is
increasing confidence in a weak low pressure system developing
over the northwestern gulf during the latter half of next week.

The progression of this low is a bit uncertain, though all signals
seem to be pointing towards at least some chance for rain over
our area Thursday or Friday. The GFS remains the quicker solution,
pushing the low southeast into the central gulf and away from the
area, only grazing our coastal counties with some rain Wednesday
night into Thursday. The ECMWF meanwhile stalls the low over the
central gulf Thursday before lifting it north into our area as it
gets swept away by a larger cold front trough. This would keep
rain chances offshore Thursday but bring in a more soaking rain
areawide on Friday. Leaned more towards the GFS solution in the
long term given the strength of the southeastern CONUS ridge which
should act to shunt the surface low into the central gulf. Thus,
went ahead and mentioned rain in the forecast Wednesday night and
Thursday (with the best chances over southeast mississippi and
southwest alabama) and kept rain chances offshore on Friday. This
system will warrant monitoring, however, as any northward shift in
the low's track would subsequently increase rain potential across
our area during that time frame. 49

Marine Surface high pressure that has settled along the
mississippi river will bring a light to at times moderate north to
northeast flow into the coming week. A weak front moving over the
area will re-enforce the offshore flow, but am not expecting flow to
become moderate to strong due to the weak push behind the front. A
transition to more easterly flow will occur mid week as a system
approaches the area from the west.

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Preliminary point temps pops
Mobile 38 67 43 69 46 70 51 66 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
pensacola 42 67 47 69 50 70 54 68 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
destin 45 67 51 69 54 69 56 68 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
evergreen 35 67 41 69 44 69 49 65 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
waynesboro 34 67 38 66 43 66 46 62 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 10
camden 36 67 41 67 44 67 49 62 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
crestview 34 69 40 69 45 70 51 68 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 37 mi33 min NNE 6 G 8 59°F 69°F1021.5 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 40 mi183 min NNE 1.9 G 5.1 56°F 59°F1023.5 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 48 mi33 min N 7 G 8.9 58°F 65°F1021.4 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 65 mi23 min WNW 3.9 G 7.8 56°F 1022.4 hPa38°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL4 mi2.1 hrsN 810.00 miA Few Clouds60°F34°F39%1022.7 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL7 mi70 minVar 310.00 miFair60°F36°F41%1021.5 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL13 mi67 minN 310.00 miFair60°F35°F40%1021.5 hPa
Crestview, Sikes Airport, FL20 mi70 minVar 510.00 miFair61°F36°F39%1022.1 hPa

Wind History from VPS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN12
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N11N7N5N4N4N4N5N5N6N4N7N6N5CalmN5N3NE7N8------N8
1 day agoNW11N8NW8N7N10N10NW10N8NW12N11
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Tide / Current Tables for East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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East Pass (Destin)
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:05 AM CST     0.50 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:12 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 01:11 PM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:40 PM CST     0.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:48 PM CST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.50.50.50.50.50.50.40.40.30.30.20.20.20.10.10.10.10.20.20.30.30.30.4

Tide / Current Tables for Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Harris
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:09 AM CST     1.21 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:13 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 01:12 PM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:49 PM CST     Sunset
Fri -- 05:11 PM CST     0.30 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.911.11.11.21.21.21.21.110.90.80.70.60.50.40.30.30.30.40.50.60.70.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.