Saturday, August18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Niceville, FL

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7/21/2018 Trying to make page Mobile Friendly

Sunrise 6:14AMSunset 7:25PM Saturday August 18, 2018 11:32 AM CDT (16:32 UTC) Moonrise 1:36PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 47% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 1039 Am Cdt Sat Aug 18 2018
Rest of today..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Tonight..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Sunday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..West winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1039 Am Cdt Sat Aug 18 2018
Synopsis..A surface ridge of high pressure will extend from the western atlantic to the central gulf of mexico through early next week. A light to occasionally moderate south to southwesterly wind flow will continue with this pattern through the forecast period. Winds and waves will be locally higher near scattered to numerous showers and Thunderstorms through early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Niceville, FL
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location: 30.5, -86.46     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 181152
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
652 am cdt Sat aug 18 2018

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
12z issuance... Scattered to numerous shra along with a few tsra
will continue to develop across the region through the day today.

Localized MVFR to ifr conditions will be possible near heavier
convection.VFR conditions should otherwise prevail outside of
this activity. Light winds early this morning should become south
to southwest 5-10 knots later this morning into this afternoon.

21

Prev discussion issued 445 am cdt Sat aug 18 2018
near term now through Saturday night ... A mid to upper level
trough axis continues to extend southwestward from the great
lakes ohio valley region to the lower mississippi valley and
central gulf coast region early this morning. A surface ridge of
high pressure meanwhile remains oriented from the western atlantic
to the east central gulf of mexico. Abundant deep layer moisture
remains entrenched across our forecast area early this morning,
with high precipitable water values averaging between 2" and 2.2".

So far radar has remained rather quiet, but isolated to scattered
rain showers are finally starting to form near the ms coast just
west and southwest of our CWA as of 4 a.M. Cdt.

Somewhat of a challenging forecast today in terms of where the
regions of best convective coverage will occur along with the
associated timing. Our general expectation is that a trend similar
to yesterday will materialize with increasing coverage of showers
and a few thunderstorms near coastal portions of southwest al and
across the western fl panhandle early this morning, followed by
gradual development of showers and storms farther inland across
south central and southwest al and eventually much of southeast ms
late this morning into this afternoon. In terms of pops, have
increased coverage to 60-70% this morning mainly southeast of a
mobile to andalusia line, with likely pops then spreading inland
across the remainder of the region during the afternoon.

Precipitable water values will continue to average between 2" and
2.25" through this afternoon, so the heavier showers and storms
will be efficient rainfall producers with potential for localized
ponding of water on area roadways and perhaps localized flooding
of low lying areas. Short range guidance also indicates a region
of surface based CAPE values up to 2000-3000 j kg across portions
of southeast ms and interior southwest and south central al this
afternoon, so a few stronger storms may develop within this region
capable of producing localized strong wind gusts over 40 mph
along with frequent cloud to ground lightning strikes. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms may linger into this evening over
interior southeast ms and southwest al before coverage gradually
diminishes. A few showers and storms may then re-develop late
tonight into the pre- dawn hours of Sunday, mainly near the coast.

Otherwise, temperatures today should be fairly similar to
readings recorded Friday with highs in the mid 80s to around 90.

Another seasonably warm and muggy night is expected tonight. 21
short term Sunday through Monday night ... An upper high pressure
system off the southeast CONUS coast will remain in place through
the short term, while an upper closed low pressure system over the
central great plains moves eastward and evolves into an open wave
before reaching the great lakes. The southern extension of the
open wave will reach into eastern texas by late Monday night. An
associated surface low pressure system will form across the
central plains by Sunday evening, and then lift east-northeast
across the lower midwest. A surface ridge of high pressure
extending from the western atlantic across the florida peninsula
and gulf of mexico will remain in place, keeping a light southerly
and moist wind flow across the forecast area.

Will keep numerous to definite showers and thunderstorms across
the area on Sunday, with scattered to numerous showers forecast on
Monday. While mainly isolated to rain-free conditions are
forecast for much of the overnight periods, there is the potential
of scattered showers and thunderstorms affecting much of the
forecast area Sunday night after midnight as over-running in the
low levels brings the gulf precipitation inland. Additional
widespread rainfall amounts through the short term will range
from 0.4 to 0.7 inch, with isolated locations affected by the
stronger thunderstorms picking up to two inches of rain. 22
long term Tuesday through Friday ... The southern extension of
the upper level trough to our west will approach and pass over
the region through midweek, followed by upper high pressure
building in from the north. As a result, kept scattered to
numerous daytime showers and thunderstorms in the forecast through
midweek. The best chance of overnight precipitation should occur
Tuesday night as a weak frontal boundary associated with the
lifting center of low pressure enters into the forecast area and
possibly moves south of the coast. Drier conditions are set for
Thursday and Friday. 22
marine... A surface ridge of high pressure will continue to extend
from the western atlantic through the central gulf of mexico
through early next week. This feature will maintain a light to
occasionally moderate south to southwest flow over the marine area
through Tuesday. There is some potential for a weak front to
bring offshore flow by next Wednesday, but this is still several
days out. Seas remain around 2 feet over the next few days. Winds,
waves and seas will be locally higher near showers and
thunderstorms. 21

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 37 mi32 min W 17 G 19 83°F 84°F1020.1 hPa (+0.0)
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 40 mi38 min S 2.9 G 4.1 78°F 84°F1020.2 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 48 mi32 min S 7 G 8.9 79°F 84°F1020.3 hPa (+0.0)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 65 mi22 min SSE 1.9 G 3.9 80°F 1019.8 hPa75°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL4 mi97 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy76°F71°F87%1020.5 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL7 mi39 minNW 410.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity77°F75°F94%1020.1 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL13 mi96 minW 11 G 202.50 miThunderstorm Rain75°F67°F79%1020.1 hPa
Crestview, Sikes Airport, FL20 mi39 minW 710.00 miLight Rain78°F73°F85%1020.4 hPa

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Last 24hrS5S6SE4S8S9--S8--SW5SW3SW4S5CalmS8CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE54CalmCalm
1 day agoS5S9S12S13S14S9S6S6S4S2N2E3SE6SE4CalmNE3CalmE3W6CalmCalmSW3SW3S3
2 days agoSE9S10S9S12S9S10S9S6S7S8S6S6S6--S6SW6CalmCalmCalmE3NE5NE3S4S5

Tide / Current Tables for East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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East Pass (Destin)
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:49 AM CDT     First Quarter
Sat -- 04:55 AM CDT     0.65 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:14 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 01:35 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:16 PM CDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:24 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.50.60.60.60.70.60.60.60.50.50.40.40.30.30.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.30.3

Tide / Current Tables for Shalimar, Garnier Bayou, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Shalimar
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:49 AM CDT     First Quarter
Sat -- 06:14 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:31 AM CDT     0.45 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:35 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:20 PM CDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:24 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.