Thursday, December13, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bagdad, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 4:50PM Thursday December 13, 2018 5:09 PM CST (23:09 UTC) Moonrise 12:13PMMoonset 11:31PM Illumination 38% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 355 Pm Cst Thu Dec 13 2018
.small craft should exercise caution...
Tonight..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 3 feet. Showers in the evening. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely after midnight.
Friday..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers.
Saturday..West winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 2 feet.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Tuesday..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 355 Pm Cst Thu Dec 13 2018
Synopsis..A wave of low pressure moving across the northern gulf will bring strong onshore flow through tonight. Winds become southwesterly to westerly Friday and Friday night as another area of low pressure lifts across the mississippi and tennessee valley region. Northwesterly flow returns behind the passing cold front this weekend. Strong winds and rough seas will bring small craft advisory conditions to portions of the marine area through early Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bagdad, FL
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 30.57, -87.01     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus64 kmob 132201
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
401 pm cst Thu dec 13 2018

Near term now through Friday A large upper level low
pressure area over central texas late this afternoon will move east
into southern mississippi by late Friday. At the surface, an
occluded low pressure area over east texas will drift east to
northern mississippi by days end Friday. Diffluence aloft in the
upper flow and accompanied lift has resulted in the development of a
widespread area of rain with embedded heavier showers and isolated
thunderstorms, which is moving into our area from the west late this
afternoon. Models are still in good agreement in keeping the most
unstable air well off the coast, so the marginal severe threat along
the coast continues to diminish. Morning models came in showing a
slightly stronger 850 mb jet than previous runs, possibly up to 35
to 40 knots, so we did maintain the marginal severe threat for the
immediate coast although this threat is very low. The system will
move fairly quickly across the area, with the primary time for heavy
rainfall being this evening, primarily between 6pm and midnight,
then gradually ending west to east across the area after midnight.

Some locally heavy rainfall will be possible, generally 1 to 2
inches with localized amounts up to 4 inches in some isolated
locations. We did maintain the limited flood threat for those
locations that have seen the higher rainfall totals over the past
week or so. 12 ds

Short term Friday night through Sunday night An occluded system
moves northeast across the southeast to over the mid-atlantic region
by Saturday night. Cooler, drier air overspreads the area Friday
night through Saturday as the system's cold front moves northeast of
the forecast area, decreasing rain coverage over the area. Mostly
cloudy conditions are expected to persist, though. With the
cooler air, temperatures a bit below seasonal norms are expected.

Lows in the 40s with highs in the upper 50s to around 60 expected.

Sunday into Sunday night, a re-enforcing front crosses the forecast
area, ushering in additional cooler air along with clearing out
any residual cloud cover. Highs Sunday are expected to rise into
the mid to upper 50s, with lows Sunday night ranging from the
upper 30s north to low 40s along the coast.

16

Long term Monday through Thursday Monday through Wednesday,
zonal upper flow limits any additional cooler air moving over the
area early in the week, allowing temps to rebound back to
seasonal norms by Wednesday.

Guidance diverges Wednesday night through Thursday, with the
handling of a shortwave energy trough digging south over the
eastern conus. The ECMWF is advertising a deeper trough bringing a
chance of showers late Wednesday through Thursday. The gfs
advertises a shallower trough, keeping the area dry. Consensus at
this point is to bring a slight chance of showers to the area
Wednesday night through Thursday.

16

Marine Southeast winds increasing to 20 to 25 knots late this
afternoon and evening, shifting from southeast through west late
tonight through late Friday. Winds will briefly decrease somewhat
Friday morning, before increasing once again Friday afternoon
through Saturday morning. Seas building to 5 to 8 feet near shore
and 7 to 10 feet well offshore by this evening and continue through
early Saturday. Seas decrease slightly on Friday with the slightly
weaker winds, but increase once again Friday night and early
Saturday. Rough on southern mobile bay and mississippi sound, with
waves up to around 3 feet at times. Small craft advisories are in
effect for most of the marine area through Saturday morning. 12 ds

Preliminary point temps pops
Mobile 58 66 46 60 45 61 41 61 100 40 20 10 10 0 0 0
pensacola 61 69 48 62 47 61 44 61 100 60 40 10 10 0 0 0
destin 62 68 53 65 48 61 46 61 100 70 40 10 10 10 0 0
evergreen 56 69 44 59 45 58 40 62 100 50 30 10 10 0 0 0
waynesboro 54 65 43 58 45 59 37 60 90 40 30 10 10 0 0 0
camden 55 68 43 57 45 57 38 60 90 50 30 10 10 10 0 0
crestview 59 69 47 64 46 60 40 62 100 70 40 10 10 0 0 0

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... High rip current risk through late Friday night for alz265-266.

High surf advisory until 3 am cst Saturday for alz265-266.

Fl... High rip current risk through late Friday night for flz202-204-
206.

High surf advisory until 3 am cst Saturday for flz202-204-206.

Ms... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 9 am cst Saturday for gmz631-632-650-
655-670-675.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 16 mi39 min SSE 5.1 G 7 62°F 55°F1014.2 hPa
WBYA1 44 mi39 min 59°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 45 mi84 min 63°F 1013 hPa62°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 45 mi39 min 18 G 21 1012.9 hPa
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 46 mi99 min ESE 14 64°F 1012.9 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
-12
PM
-12
PM
4
PM
Last
24hr
--
NE1
E2
NE2
N2
W1
E1
G5
NE3
G6
NW3
N1
SW1
SE1
SW1
N3
G6
SW2
G5
SE3
G7
SE4
G9
E5
G9
SE3
G6
SE5
G8
SE4
G7
SE5
G8
1 day
ago
S2
N2
N1
--
N1
N1
N1
N1
NE1
N3
N1
NE1
N2
N2
N5
E2
G5
SE3
SE1
2 days
ago
N4
N3
G7
N5
G8
N4
G7
N5
G9
N3
NW3
N4
G7
N5
G8
N6
G10
N5
G8
N6
N4
G7
N4
G7
N4
N4
N5
NW4
N3
SW2
G5
S4
S5
S5
S3

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL9 mi73 minESE 1010.00 miOvercast61°F54°F78%1013.9 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL11 mi73 minESE 710.00 miOvercast60°F53°F78%1013.8 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL12 mi76 minE 96.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist61°F57°F87%1014.9 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL20 mi73 minE 610.00 miOvercast61°F52°F73%1015.1 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL22 mi73 minE 144.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist63°F62°F97%1014.2 hPa

Wind History from NDZ (wind in knots)
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
Last 24hrE4E5E7E6E8E5E5E5SE4CalmNE5NW3--E8E8E6E8E8SE12SE14SE10E9SE10E9
1 day agoW3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4Calm----CalmN3CalmNE5E4E4SE5S9S9S7SE8SE5SE5
2 days agoN9N9N5N7N6N6N9N9N8N9N9N5N7N6NW4N8N8N5N63N7N6NW3NW3

Tide / Current Tables for Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Bay Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:55 AM CST     1.27 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:36 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:12 AM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:54 PM CST     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:48 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 10:31 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.11.21.21.31.21.210.80.60.40.20.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.100.20.30.40.60.70.8

Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Lora Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:08 AM CST     1.27 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:36 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:13 AM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:30 PM CST     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:48 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 10:31 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.11.21.31.31.21.10.90.70.50.30.10-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-00.10.20.40.50.60.80.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (18,4,5,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.