Monday, January22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fairhope, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 5:20PM Monday January 22, 2018 4:17 AM CST (10:17 UTC) Moonrise 11:14AMMoonset 11:33PM Illumination 31% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 336 Am Cst Mon Jan 22 2018
Today..South winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Areas of fog in the morning. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday night..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
Friday night..Southeast winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers likely.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 336 Am Cst Mon Jan 22 2018
Synopsis..A moderate onshore wind flow will continue today and early this evening as a cold front approaches from the west. Patchy fog over inland bays and sounds and the near shore gulf waters early this morning, then showers and a few Thunderstorms developing later today as the front approaches. The front moves east across the marine area tonight, bringing a moderate to occasionally strong offshore wind flow mid to late week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairhope, AL
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location: 30.57, -87.86     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 220538 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
1138 pm cst Sun jan 21 2018

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
06z issuance... MVFR conditions through about 22.09z followed by
ifr to lifr CIGS and visibilities through 22.15z then improving to
mostly MVFR CIGS and visibilities through 23.06z. Lower CIGS and
visibilities mainly in fog and low stratus tonight and early mon
followed by low clouds along with showers and thunderstorms late
mon morning through Mon afternoon then clearing from west to east
mon evening. Winds will be mostly southeast at 6 to 12 knots
through 22.15z becoming south to southwest through 23.00z then
west to northwest through 23.06z. Higher gusts will be likely in
and around showers and thunderstorms during the late morning and
afternoon hours on mon. 32 ee

Prev discussion issued 610 pm cst Sun jan 21 2018
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance...VFR conditions through about 22.04z followed by
ifr to lifr CIGS and visibilities through 22.15z then improving
to mostly MVFR CIGS and visibilities through 23.00z. Lower cigs
and visibilities mainly in fog and low stratus tonight and early
mon followed by low clouds along with showers and thunderstorms
late Mon morning through Mon afternoon. Winds will be mostly
southeast at 6 to 12 knots through the forecast period with
higher gusts mostly in and around showers and thunderstorms
during the day on mon. 32 ee
prev discussion... Issued 357 pm cst Sun jan 21 2018
near term now through Monday ... An upper level low pressure
area deepening over northern kansas will lift slowly northeast
over southern iowa through the near term. Meanwhile, a surface
high pressure ridge across the southeast states and northeast gulf
of mexico will shift eastward and weaken in response to a surface
low pressure area forming across northern oklahoma. This surface
low pressure area will also deepening as it lifts slowly
northeast, reaching eastern iowa by late Monday afternoon. A light
southerly to southeasterly wind flow will persist across the
forecast area between these two features through Monday afternoon
as a cold front approaches from the west.

A strengthening upper level jet MAX south of the upper low will
reach a maximum speed of 130 knots north of the forecast area by
late Monday afternoon. A strengthening low level jet is expected to
develop over the forecast area after midnight, ranging from 30 to 40
knots. Mixed layer CAPE values Monday afternoon ahead of the front
are forecast to range from 300 to 600 j kg, with upper level lapse
rates reaching near 6.8 c km. With a drier air mass remaining in the
mid levels along with the above mentioned parameters, still expect a
few strong thunderstorms during the day Monday after 9 am. Strong
thunderstorm wind gusts between 35 to 45 mph and small hail are
possible with the strongest storms mid afternoon.

Patchy fog will develop tonight into Monday morning across the
southern and western portions of the forecast area as low level
moisture moves in from the gulf. Total rainfall amounts between two-
tenth to three-tenths of an inch is expected on Monday, with higher
amounts near one inch possible in areas affected by a strong
thunderstorm. 22
short term Monday night through Wednesday night ... Showers and
isolated thunderstorms will move east of the area Monday evening
as a cold front moves through the area. A cooler and drier airmass
moves into the area in the wake of the front through Wednesday.

However, no extreme cold is expected as the upper flow becomes
semi-zonal in the wake of this upper trough. Temps will actually
be very near seasonal norms. 13
long term Thursday through Sunday ... Upper ridging will build
late in the work week in advance of the next developing trough
over the western states. This will allow temps to warm back above
normal levels. Conditions remain dry through early Friday before
chances for rain increase Friday afternoon as moisture levels
begin increasing ahead of an approaching cold front. The highest
rain chances are expected during the day on Saturday into Saturday
night as the front moves through. 13
marine... Moderate southeast winds will become south to southwest on
Monday in response to the cold front approaching from the west.

Patchy fog will develop tonight into Monday morning across the bays,
sounds and near shore gulf waters, followed by showers and a few
thunderstorms developing throughout the day Monday. The front is
expected to move east across the marine area Monday night, followed
by a moderate to strong offshore flow Tuesday through Thursday.

22

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 8 mi47 min ESE 2.9 60°F 1016.6 hPa
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 10 mi92 min 57°F 1016 hPa57°F
PTOA1 11 mi47 min 56°F 56°F
WBYA1 11 mi47 min 56°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 12 mi47 min SE 1 G 1.9 56°F 52°F1016.1 hPa
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 12 mi77 min ESE 11 54°F 1016.3 hPa (-2.0)
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 13 mi47 min 58°F 51°F1015.9 hPa
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 23 mi47 min ESE 6 56°F 1015.6 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 25 mi77 min SE 8.9 G 8.9 61°F 1015.5 hPa (-2.6)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 25 mi47 min SSE 16 G 17 63°F
PPTA1 26 mi77 min 62°F 1015.9 hPa (-3.1)
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 29 mi77 min SE 12 56°F 1015.9 hPa (-2.4)
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 33 mi92 min ESE 7 56°F 1016 hPa56°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 36 mi47 min SSE 1 G 4.1 60°F 49°F1016.5 hPa
ULAM6 - 8741041 - Dock E. Port of Pascagoula, MS 37 mi47 min 52°F
RARM6 - 8741094 - Range A rear, Pascagoula, MS 38 mi47 min SE 8 G 12 61°F 1015.1 hPa
DKCM6 - 8741501 - Dock C, Pascagoula, MS 40 mi47 min SE 5.1 G 11 62°F 1015.1 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 40 mi47 min 51°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 42 mi47 min ESE 5.1 G 7 58°F 1016.2 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL8 mi22 minSE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy63°F62°F100%1015.9 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL12 mi24 minSSE 36.00 miFog/Mist59°F57°F96%1016.3 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL22 mi21 minSE 83.00 miFog/Mist58°F57°F97%1015.2 hPa
Jack Edwards Airport, AL22 mi22 minSSE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy63°F62°F100%1016.3 hPa

Wind History from CQF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE5SE11
G14
SE10SE9
G14
SE10SE8SE8E9E7E3E3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmE4E4SE5E5SE7SE6SE8SE8E5SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE4N3CalmNW4CalmW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Great Point Clear, Mobile Bay, Alabama
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Great Point Clear
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:09 AM CST     0.70 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:47 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:13 AM CST     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:24 AM CST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:19 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:27 PM CST     0.59 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:33 PM CST     Moonset
Mon -- 11:55 PM CST     0.50 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.70.70.60.60.50.30.20.10-0-000.10.20.30.40.50.50.60.60.60.50.5

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama
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Mobile (Mobile State Docks)
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:12 AM CST     0.76 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:48 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:14 AM CST     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:21 AM CST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:19 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:30 PM CST     0.63 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:33 PM CST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.70.80.70.70.60.50.40.20.10-0-000.10.20.30.40.50.60.60.60.60.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.