Wednesday, September26, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Belle Fontaine, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 6:46PM Tuesday September 25, 2018 11:23 PM CDT (04:23 UTC) Moonrise 7:29PMMoonset 7:03AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 1000 Pm Cdt Tue Sep 25 2018
Rest of tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..South winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast. Waves less than 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..South winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Thursday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Friday night..East winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..East winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..East winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..East winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1000 Pm Cdt Tue Sep 25 2018
Synopsis..A weak ridge of high pressure will remain over the marine area into the late part of the week while gradually weakening as a cold front moves into the interior southeastern states and stalls. A generally light onshore flow continues through Thursday, with winds increasing slightly and becoming more easterly late in the week and over the weekend. Little change in seas expected.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Belle Fontaine, AL
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location: 30.57, -88.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 260250 aab
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
950 pm cdt Tue sep 25 2018

Discussion See updated information for land areas below.

Update Have updated to keep chance pops near the coast
overnight while the remainder of the area will have slight chance
pops. Made other minor adjustments. 29

Prev discussion issued 618 pm cdt Tue sep 25 2018
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance... Starting off the period with a chaotic sky where
cigs are at multiple levels. Convection is very isolated in
coverage and well away from terminals. Appears this will remain so
this evening with cig bases at mid to high levels. A general light
south to southeast wind. Morning convection possible around
daybreak Wednesday and may reduce CIGS and vsby to MVFR
categories at times. 10
prev discussion... Issued 352 pm cdt Tue sep 25 2018
near term now through Wednesday ... A longwave trough axis over the
central portion of the country this afternoon will shift east to the
great lakes by the end of the day Wednesday. This will bring a
surface cold front that is currently located over the plains states
toward our region tonight and into the interior portions of the deep
south on Wednesday, but generally hang up just to the north of our
forecast area. This will keep our area in the warm and moist airmass
already in place. Increasingly convergent low mid level flow in
advance of the approaching front and the gradually weakening surface
high pressure ridge to the east will only act to increase the
moisture flux axis over our area (as water vapor satellite imagery
continues to clearly show). Deep layer moisture (pwat's generally
just over 2 inches) will continue to be sufficient to produce
locally heavy rainfall in the showers and thunderstorms that are
expected to occur across the region. Rains have not been as
widespread as expected this afternoon, but still enough to maintain
the likely pops with late afternoon instability (especially over
western and eastern portions of the forecast area where south to
north moving cells are off and on lifting across the same general
locations). Most of this activity is expected to diminish after
sunset this evening, but marine and coastal showers and storms are
again expected to develop late tonight and early Wednesday morning.

In addition, as the frontal boundary stalls just to our northwest on
Wednesday increased larger scale low mid level forcing will exist,
so we do expect a better coverage on Wednesday. Highest rain chances
will generally be west of i-65 where near categorical pops are
indicated. Rainfall will continue to be locally heavy at times, with
amounts up to 2 inches per hour possible. Some locally higher
amounts will also remain a possibility in areas where heavier
showers and storms repeatedly train across the same areas. We
maintained the limited flood threat for our area, extending it a
little further north into southwest alabama and interior southeast
mississippi. Lows tonight ranging from the lower 70s inland to
mid upper 70s near and at the coast. Highs on Wednesday generally in
the mid upper 80s. 12 ds
short term Wednesday night through Friday night ... A weak front
will move toward the gulf coast late in the week and stall out
just north of the area Thursday into Friday as it becomes
parallel to the upper level flow. Meanwhile, sfc high pressure
from the western atlantic into the southeast will continue to
maintain an southerly flow across the central gulf coast. This
will continue the very moist conditions with periods of scattered
to locally numerous showers and thunderstorms. Due to the
increased clouds and rain coverage, high temps will only reach
the mid 80s in most areas. 13
long term Saturday through Tuesday ... The stalled boundary will
wash out through early next week as upper ridging expands across
the southeast states. Slightly lower precipitable water values
under the ridge will lead to a lower coverage of showers and
thunderstorms for the start of the new work week. As rain coverage
decreases, temps will warm back into the upper 80s to around 90.

13
marine... A weak ridge of high pressure will remain over the marine
area into the late part of the week while gradually weakening as a
cold front moves into the interior southeastern states and stalls. A
generally light onshore flow continues through Thursday. Winds
increase slightly and become more predominant easterly late in the
week and through the weekend as stronger high pressure redevelops
to the north. Little overall change in seas expected. Scattered to
occasionally numerous showers and storms expected over the marine
area through the period, with locally higher winds and seas expected
near the stronger storms. Little change in seas expected. 12 ds

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MBPA1 3 mi35 min 84°F 77°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 6 mi35 min SSW 2.9 G 5.1 82°F 85°F1018.9 hPa
PTOA1 8 mi35 min 83°F 78°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 10 mi41 min 82°F 86°F1018.8 hPa
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 10 mi53 min ESE 11 83°F 1018 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 11 mi53 min ESE 4.1 80°F 1019.6 hPa
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 17 mi98 min 78°F 1018 hPa76°F
WBYA1 18 mi35 min 83°F
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 18 mi53 min SE 8 83°F 1018.3 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 22 mi83 min SSE 8.9 G 11 84°F 1018.3 hPa (+1.4)76°F
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 23 mi53 min SSE 8.9 84°F 1019 hPa
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 23 mi98 min S 9.9 84°F 1019 hPa78°F
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 24 mi35 min SSE 9.9 G 11 83°F 1018.6 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 29 mi41 min 86°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 33 mi35 min S 8.9 G 12 83°F 1019.3 hPa
PPTA1 35 mi53 min 84°F 1018.6 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 45 mi33 min SE 9.7 G 9.7 84°F 1 ft1018.7 hPa79°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 48 mi41 min Calm G 2.9 83°F 84°F1019.1 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL5 mi30 minS 310.00 miA Few Clouds83°F77°F82%1019 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL11 mi27 minSSE 310.00 miFair78°F75°F90%1018.8 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL14 mi48 minN 010.00 miFair75°F75°F100%1019 hPa

Wind History from BFM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE11SE9SE10SE7
G17
S3NW4SE83E3S4SE6S4SE7SE7S7SE8S10S4S4S5S4S8S5S3
1 day agoE7E9E9E11E8SE5SE63S6CalmCalmNE4SW11
G16
SE5SE7SE8S8S7SE8SE9E11E14E13E10
2 days ago--SE9E6E8E7E8E7E7N5N6E11E10E9SE6SE6SE5SE9SE8S8S5SE10E8SE11E10

Tide / Current Tables for Fowl River, Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.