Friday, November16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Milton, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:15AMSunset 4:52PM Friday November 16, 2018 3:56 PM CST (21:56 UTC) Moonrise 2:14PMMoonset 12:47AM Illumination 64% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 312 Pm Cst Fri Nov 16 2018
Tonight..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming north. Waves less than 1 foot.
Saturday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast. Waves less than 1 foot.
Saturday night..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northeast. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday night..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Monday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northwest. Waves less than 1 foot.
Monday night..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Tuesday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 312 Pm Cst Fri Nov 16 2018
Synopsis..A light to occasionally moderate north to northeast flow expected into the coming week. Winds will become more easterly Wednesday as a system approaches from the west.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milton, FL
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location: 30.61, -87.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 162100
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
300 pm cst Fri nov 16 2018

Near term now through Saturday High pressure that has
settled over the forecast area will bring clear skies and another
night of well below seasonal low temps tonight. Lows in the mid to
upper 30s with low 40s along the coast expected. The dry and cool
airmass over the area will continue to moderate Saturday, with
sunny skies bringing highs rising into the upper 60s, closer to
seasonal norms for the date.

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Short term Saturday night through Monday night High surface
pressure dominates through much of the short term, maintaining
light north winds, clear skies, and dry weather through Monday.

The surface ridge breaks down as a weak cold front associated with
a shortwave aloft approaches from the northwest. Dry preceding
conditions and weak dynamics should limit rain potential along the
front, with only a few isolated showers possible over our
southeast mississippi and southwest alabama counties Monday
evening. Otherwise, expecting Sunday and Monday to be pleasant
with high temps in the upper 60s to low 70s. Low temps see a
gradual warming through the period, ranging from upper 30s to low
40s Saturday night and upper 40s to low 50s Monday night. 49

Long term Tuesday through Friday With a weak front pushing
offshore to start the period, could see a few lingering light
showers along the coast Tuesday morning. High pressure then
builds east across the deep south and into the southeastern states
through the middle part of next week, leading to another period
of pleasant temperatures and clear skies late Tuesday through
Wednesday.

While long range guidance diverges beyond Wednesday, there is
increasing confidence in a weak low pressure system developing
over the northwestern gulf during the latter half of next week.

The progression of this low is a bit uncertain, though all signals
seem to be pointing towards at least some chance for rain over
our area Thursday or Friday. The GFS remains the quicker solution,
pushing the low southeast into the central gulf and away from the
area, only grazing our coastal counties with some rain Wednesday
night into Thursday. The ECMWF meanwhile stalls the low over the
central gulf Thursday before lifting it north into our area as it
gets swept away by a larger cold front trough. This would keep
rain chances offshore Thursday but bring in a more soaking rain
areawide on Friday. Leaned more towards the GFS solution in the
long term given the strength of the southeastern CONUS ridge which
should act to shunt the surface low into the central gulf. Thus,
went ahead and mentioned rain in the forecast Wednesday night and
Thursday (with the best chances over southeast mississippi and
southwest alabama) and kept rain chances offshore on Friday. This
system will warrant monitoring, however, as any northward shift in
the low's track would subsequently increase rain potential across
our area during that time frame. 49

Marine Surface high pressure that has settled along the
mississippi river will bring a light to at times moderate north to
northeast flow into the coming week. A weak front moving over the
area will re-enforce the offshore flow, but am not expecting flow to
become moderate to strong due to the weak push behind the front. A
transition to more easterly flow will occur mid week as a system
approaches the area from the west.

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Preliminary point temps pops
Mobile 38 67 43 69 46 70 51 66 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
pensacola 42 67 47 69 50 70 54 68 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
destin 45 67 51 69 54 69 56 68 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
evergreen 35 67 41 69 44 69 49 65 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
waynesboro 34 67 38 66 43 66 46 62 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 10
camden 36 67 41 67 44 67 49 62 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
crestview 34 69 40 69 45 70 51 68 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PPTA1 36 mi56 min 61°F 1021.7 hPa (-1.7)
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 44 mi71 min 61°F 1022 hPa38°F
WBYA1 44 mi38 min 60°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 47 mi36 min 3.9 G 7.8 57°F 1022.4 hPa40°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 47 mi86 min W 5.1 57°F 1021.7 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 48 mi86 min W 1.9 60°F 1022.7 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL7 mi60 minNW 510.00 miA Few Clouds60°F39°F46%1020.6 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL8 mi2 hrsNW 410.00 miA Few Clouds59°F39°F48%1020.7 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL13 mi63 minNW 610.00 miFair62°F37°F41%1021.9 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL22 mi2 hrsN 310.00 miFair60°F35°F40%1021.5 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL23 mi2 hrsWNW 610.00 miA Few Clouds61°F37°F43%1021.9 hPa

Wind History from NDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN10NW5NW3N4NW4NW3CalmCalmCalm------------CalmNE5N4N4N6N6N6NW5NW5
1 day agoNW8NW8NW8
G17
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2 days agoN11N12N13N14N13N9N8N10N8----------N7NW6N8NW8NW8N8N7NW8N9N9

Tide / Current Tables for Milton, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Milton
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:13 AM CST     1.32 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:15 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 01:14 PM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:07 PM CST     0.33 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:50 PM CST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.11.21.21.31.31.31.31.21.10.90.80.70.50.40.40.30.30.40.50.60.70.80.9

Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:09 AM CST     1.32 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:15 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 01:14 PM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:23 PM CST     0.33 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:51 PM CST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.21.21.31.31.31.31.21.110.80.70.50.40.40.30.30.40.50.60.70.80.80.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.