Wednesday, January23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mobile, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 5:21PM Wednesday January 23, 2019 12:42 PM CST (18:42 UTC) Moonrise 9:26PMMoonset 9:51AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 952 Am Cst Wed Jan 23 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday morning...
Rest of today..Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots becoming southwest. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Showers and chance of Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Showers and chance of Thunderstorms in the evening.
Thursday..Northwest winds 13 to 18 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 2 feet.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming north. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday..North winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday night..North winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northeast. Waves less than 1 foot.
Saturday..East winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday night..East winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 2 feet.
Sunday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 952 Am Cst Wed Jan 23 2019
Synopsis..Strong southerly winds switch to the northwest late this afternoon into this evening as a strong cold front moves through, with frequent gusts to gale force over much of the area. Showers and Thunderstorms will also be likely ahead and along the front with a few strong to severe Thunderstorms possible. The offshore flow gradually subsides to a light northerly flow by Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mobile, AL
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location: 30.71, -88.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 231749
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
1149 am cst Wed jan 23 2019

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
18z issuance... MVFR to ifr conditions persist with ceilings and
visibilities lowering as the line of storms moves across the area
this afternoon. Southerly winds of 20-25 knots with gusts up to
35 knots expected through early evening. Winds remain elevated
tonight, but turn northwest as the front pushes east through the
region. High resolution models show the line of storms moving east
of mob and bfm terminals by 00z and east of pns by 02z with light
rain lingering for a few hours. 07 mb

Prev discussion issued 741 am cst Wed jan 23 2019
discussion... See updated information for land areas below.

Update... A wind advisory is now in effect for all locations in
the forecast area through 7 pm cst. Expect southeast to south
winds 25 to 30 mph with frequent gusts 30 to 35 mph.

Prev discussion... Issued 532 am cst Wed jan 23 2019
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

12z issuance... MVFR to ifr conditions through 24.12. Lower cigs
and visibilities mostly in heavy rain and light fog through
24.06z followed by mostly low stratus clouds through 24.12z. Winds
will be south at 15 to 25 knots with frequent gusts to 30 knots
through early this evening shifting west then northwest at 10 to
20 knots with slightly higher gusts through 24.12z. A wind
advisory is in effect beginning later this morning continuing
through early this evening. 32 ee
prev discussion... Issued 502 am cst Wed jan 23 2019
near term now through Wednesday night ... Expect an active weather
pattern across the north central gulf region today and early
tonight as a sharp mid to upper trof located over the central
plains and much of tx this morning quickly shifts eastward across
the north central gulf states and SE CONUS through tonight. Ahead
of this upper system the right rear quad of a 100 to 150 knot h2
jet combined with a 50 to 60 kt h85 jet located just a little
further east will enhance the threat for a few strong to possibly
severe thunderstorms later today especially over lower and eastern
sections of the forecast area generally where better surface
based instability is depicted by most of the current guidance.

This better mid to upper forcing initially moves over western and
northern sections of the forecast area early today where model
soundings depict a more elevated scenario eventually mixing down
to the sfc as the main upper system moves further east over the
region. As a result will continue with the current severe graphic
which shows the better chance for severe weather generally over
the coastal counties of al and part of nwfl east of ft walton
beach with the possibility of extending this threat further to the
east along the nwfl coast and inland generally along the east of
the i-65 corridor later this morning. Model soundings depict
strongly curved hodographs in these areas with helicity values
ranging from 400 to 600 m2 s2 from 0 to 3km which suggests a few
tornadoes will be possible along with damaging straight line winds
and maybe some isolated cases of large hail due to lower than
normal wetbulb values.

Although the threat for flooding due to heavy rainfall remains
low due to the forward progression throughout the day, model
soundings depict a very moist column for most locations by this
afternoon suggesting some minor or nuisance type flooding can't be
ruled out. Stay tuned to local media outlets or

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 0 mi49 min 64°F 53°F1011.8 hPa
PTOA1 3 mi49 min 65°F 65°F
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 6 mi43 min SE 25 69°F 1011.5 hPa (-3.1)
MBPA1 13 mi49 min 61°F 61°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 19 mi73 min ESE 25 63°F 1011.9 hPa
WBYA1 23 mi49 min 58°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 23 mi118 min 70°F 1013 hPa65°F
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 28 mi73 min SE 25 67°F 1011.5 hPa
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 29 mi103 min SSE 21 67°F 1012.9 hPa (-3.0)
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 32 mi118 min SSE 20 64°F 1014 hPa63°F
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 32 mi43 min SSE 20 G 24 66°F 1011.3 hPa (-3.1)65°F
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 33 mi73 min SSE 25 67°F 1011.5 hPa
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 33 mi49 min SSE 23 G 27 66°F 1011.8 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 36 mi49 min 58°F
PPTA1 39 mi73 min 68°F 1012.9 hPa
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 42 mi49 min SSE 16 G 19 65°F 1012.4 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 49 mi49 min S 18 G 27 67°F 55°F1013.2 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL5 mi50 minSSE 16 G 265.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist64°F63°F96%1011.5 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL11 mi47 minSSE 23 G 292.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist and Windy68°F66°F96%1011.1 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL19 mi48 minSSE 18 G 274.00 miRain and Breezy68°F68°F100%1012.2 hPa

Wind History from BFM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE12E13E13E11SE8E12E8E10SE12SE11SE12SE10SE9SE14
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G29
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1 day agoN3NE5N33CalmE7NE7E7E4E8E11E16E12E12E10E10E13E17E17E20NE7E10E12E13
2 days agoNW11
G21
NW11NW14N14NW14NW7NW6NW6NW4N8N6N5NW4N6NW6NW4N6N5N9NE8NE10--NE66

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama
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Mobile (Mobile State Docks)
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:04 AM CST     1.54 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:47 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:50 AM CST     Moonset
Wed -- 12:00 PM CST     -0.54 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:20 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:25 PM CST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.51.51.41.20.90.60.3-0-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.2-00.20.40.50.60.70.91

Tide / Current Tables for Lower Hall Landing, Tensaw River, Alabama
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Lower Hall Landing
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:20 AM CST     1.34 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:47 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:50 AM CST     Moonset
Wed -- 03:05 PM CST     -0.47 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:19 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:24 PM CST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.11.31.31.31.21.10.90.70.40.2-0-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.5-0.4-0.4-0.2-00.20.30.50.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.