Tuesday, June25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Park, GA

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Sunrise 6:30AMSunset 8:41PM Tuesday June 25, 2019 10:40 PM EDT (02:40 UTC) Moonrise 12:44AMMoonset 12:50PM Illumination 39% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 936 Pm Edt Tue Jun 25 2019 /836 Pm Cdt Tue Jun 25 2019/
Rest of tonight..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..East winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light to moderate chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday through Friday night..East winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 936 Pm Edt Tue Jun 25 2019
Synopsis.. A wet pattern will be in place this weekend. Light to moderate northerly winds will become easterly Thursday. Seas will be 1 to 2 feet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Park, GA
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location: 30.72, -83.13     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 260131
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
931 pm edt Tue jun 25 2019

Update
The afternoon storms have weakened with lingering storms
approaching tlh from the west. Pops will stay relatively low
overnight with an increase tomorrow afternoon. Otherwise, forecast
is on track.

Prev discussion [739 pm edt]
Near term [through tonight]
Southwesterly flow aloft prevails on the western periphery of
mid upper ridging, with weak southwesterly flow at the surface near
the center of high pressure. A theta-e boundary is noted from west
to east along the fl al ga state lines. The afternoon seabreeze in
the panhandle is forecast to interact with this boundary in the next
couple of hours and result in scattered to numerous storms around
the i-10 corridor. With some mid-level dry air in place, delta theta-
e values, and subsequently the wmsi, will be elevated today. This
means that the more robust storms that develop will have a good
chance of producing severe wind gusts and possibly some small hail.

Storms will generally drift northeast into southeast alabama and
extreme southwest ga through the evening. Storms should come to an
end everywhere by 10-11pm edt.

Short term [Wednesday through Thursday night]
In the upper levels a ridge will be over the region with possibly a
shortwave moving through tomorrow afternoon. At the surface weak
high pressure will be over the southeast. Low level flow will be
northerly becoming easterly Thursday. With northerly winds
instability will be lower tomorrow and Thursday. The best chance for
storms will be on Thursday with pops of 30 to 50 percent. Highs will
be in the lower to mid 90s. Lows will be in the lower 70s.

Long term [Friday through Tuesday]
In the upper levels a ridge will be over the region. At the surface
weak high pressure will be over the southeast. Low level flow will
be easterly becoming southerly this weekend. A wet pattern will
return this weekend with pops of 40 to 50 percent Friday, Saturday
and Sunday. Early next week pops will be lower around 30 percent.

Highs will be in the low to mid 90s. Lows will be in the low to mid
70s.

Aviation
[through 00z Thursday]
vfr conditions are expected to persist across regional terminals
overnight and in to tomorrow afternoon. Thunderstorms lingering
from the afternoon may impact ecp tonight 01z-03z. Dhn and aby
both have a slight probability of thunderstorm activity tomorrow
afternoon, however the confidence of timing and probability is low
at the time of this taf.

Marine
A wet pattern will be in place this weekend. Light to moderate
northerly winds will become easterly Thursday. Seas will be 1 to 2
feet.

Fire weather
Aside from high dispersion indices, hazardous fire weather
conditions are not expected.

Hydrology
Local rivers are below action stage and steady. Afternoon and
evening showers and thunderstorms are expected this week. The
stronger storms with heavier downpours may produce localized
flooding especially ponding on roadways and flooding of low lying
areas. Less than one inch of rain if forecast over the next three
days.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 73 96 72 93 71 20 20 10 50 30
panama city 77 92 76 90 75 20 10 10 50 30
dothan 71 93 72 94 72 20 30 10 30 30
albany 73 94 73 94 72 0 30 0 20 10
valdosta 73 96 72 94 70 0 10 10 40 20
cross city 73 96 73 93 71 10 20 10 40 20
apalachicola 76 92 76 90 75 10 20 10 30 40

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk until 9 am edt 8 am cdt Wednesday for
coastal bay-coastal franklin-coastal gulf-south walton.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Update... Nguyen bowen
near term... Harrigan
short term... Mcd
long term... Mcd
aviation... Nguyen bowen
marine... Mcd
fire weather... Dvd
hydrology... Mcd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 67 mi41 min WNW 8 G 11 88°F 1018 hPa (+1.0)72°F
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 77 mi107 min W 6 G 7 85°F 84°F1016.4 hPa
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 88 mi53 min Calm G 1.9

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valdosta Regional Airport, GA9 mi48 minN 010.00 miFair79°F71°F77%1018.1 hPa
Moody Air Force Base, GA18 mi45 minN 010.00 miFair80°F74°F84%1017.6 hPa

Wind History from VLD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3CalmS4SW3S3CalmCalmCalmCalm345345553Calm4--CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm33Calm3345433SW5W7
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2 days agoCalmN13N7NE5S7S3CalmCalmCalm3Calm33333S4445CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Spring Warrior Creek, Florida
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Spring Warrior Creek
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Tue -- 01:45 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:09 AM EDT     0.85 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:48 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:38 AM EDT     2.76 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:04 PM EDT     1.47 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:36 PM EDT     2.40 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:39 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.310.90.91.21.72.12.52.72.82.62.42.11.81.61.51.51.722.22.42.42.32

Tide / Current Tables for Rock Islands, Florida
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Rock Islands
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:46 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:10 AM EDT     0.85 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:48 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:44 AM EDT     2.79 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:05 PM EDT     1.47 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:42 PM EDT     2.43 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.310.90.91.21.62.12.52.72.82.72.42.11.81.61.51.51.722.22.42.42.32.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Moody AFB, GA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.