Sunrise 5:59 AM   Sunset 7:27 PM Moonrise 2:33 AM   Moonset 1:35 PM

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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 910 Pm Cdt Wed May 1 2024
Rest of tonight - Southwest winds around 5 knots late this evening, becoming light and variable. Waves 1 foot or less. Patchy fog. Thursday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Patchy fog in the morning. Thursday night - South winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Friday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Friday night - South winds around 5 knots, becoming north after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Saturday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Saturday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Sunday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Monday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.

GMZ600 910 Pm Cdt Wed May 1 2024
Synopsis - A light onshore flow will persist through the end of week and into the weekend as surface high pressure ridges into the southeast states from the western atlantic. Slightly higher winds will be possible each afternoon near the coast in association with an enhanced seas breeze circulation.

FXUS62 KTAE 020533 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 133 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

New AVIATION

NEAR TERM
(Through Thursday)
Issued at 316 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

The Sea breeze is currently making its way inland across the eastern Florida Panhandle and Big Bend with isolated showers and a few lightning strikes developing. Coverage should remain rather sparse and will quickly fade after sunset. Another round of fog, possibly locally dense, is expected tonight, mostly across the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend, though it could nudge its way into southern Alabama and southern Georgia. Lows tonight will be in the mid-60s.

Generally southeasterly flow is expected tomorrow, though another sea breeze may set up across the eastern Big Bend. This could collide with the Atlantic sea breeze late in the afternoon, yielding scattered showers and storms near the Suwannee River, eastern Big Bend, and I-75 corridor. Looking at forecast soundings, dry air aloft and steep low-level lapse rates could result in some gusty winds with the strongest storms. DCAPE values peak around 1000 J/kg in the eastern Big Bend, which usually tends to be favorable for some stronger winds during these summertime sea breeze scenarios.
Elsewhere, showers and storms are currently not expected. Highs tomorrow afternoon will peak near 90 away from the coast with mid- 80s near the beaches.

SHORT AND LONG TERM
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 316 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

High pressure will sit off the southeast Atlantic seaboard through the weekend which will lead to the chance for some seabreeze convection. In addition to that, a couple of shortwaves pass just to our north. This could enhance shower and thunderstorm development over the weekend. The best chances look to be on Saturday where we could see isolated to scattered storms in SE AL and the FL counties but up in SW GA they may be more scatter to widespread. On Sunday, the disturbance is a favors a more northern track, keeping the best chances for pop along and then within several counties of the I-75 corridor for SW GA. Monday and Tuesday, conditions should dry out in terms of precip.

Expect daytime highs generally in the upper 80s to low 90s with overnight lows generally in the low to mid 60s.


AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 120 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Fog and low stratus is likely this morning across at least the FL zones and potentially extending into SE Alabama and far SW Georgia. Conditions should improve to VFR by mid-late morning. A few showers and storms will be possible across the eastern FL Big Bend and South Central GA this afternoon, but expected coverage is too low to include at this point.

MARINE
Issued at 316 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

High pressure off the Atlantic will lead to tranquil boating conditions through the period. Light winds, generally out of the southeast, are expected with seas around 1 to 2 feet into the weekend. There may be a small chance of showers and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday morning for waters east of Apalachicola.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 316 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Generally southeasterly to southerly transport winds around 10 mph are expected each day across the area. Daily sea breeze pattern will promote winds becoming more southerly during the afternoon, especially over the Florida zones. This combined with high mixing heights during the afternoon will yield good to locally excellent dispersions each afternoon. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible Thursday afternoon near the Suwannee River and I-75 corridor and Friday afternoon across southwest Georgia. Rain chances increase on Saturday across the entire forecast area with the greatest rain chances over southwest Georgia.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 316 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

No changes to the forecast as minor river flooding remains on the Lower Suwannee this afternoon and should fall below minor flood stage in the next day or so. With rainfall amounts staying below 0.50 inches the next few days, no additional riverine flooding is expected.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 90 66 88 68 / 10 0 10 10 Panama City 84 66 84 68 / 0 0 10 0 Dothan 89 64 88 67 / 10 0 10 10 Albany 89 66 86 67 / 10 0 20 20 Valdosta 90 67 89 68 / 30 0 20 10 Cross City 90 65 89 65 / 30 0 10 10 Apalachicola 81 68 80 69 / 0 0 0 0

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 4 AM EDT /3 AM CDT/ early this morning for FLZ108-112-114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

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West Bay Creek
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Wed -- 01:52 AM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:04 AM CDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:59 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:27 AM CDT     Last Quarter
Wed -- 12:26 PM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:11 PM CDT     1.69 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:21 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Lynn Haven
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Wed -- 01:51 AM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:01 AM CDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:58 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:27 AM CDT     Last Quarter
Wed -- 12:26 PM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:47 PM CDT     1.69 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:20 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Lynn Haven, North Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet

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